Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Michelsen Prediction – ATP Acapulco – 27th February 2025 Best Bets

Denis Shapovalov and Alex Michelsen Prediction Head To Head Summary

Shapovalov vs Michelsen Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Shapovalov has a 60.89% win this match.

Shapovalov → 1.58. Michelsen → 2.47.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Shapovalov vs Michelsen Upcoming Match Details:

Shapovalov will play Michelsen on Hard court in the Second round at the ATP Abierto Mexicano Telcel event in Acapulco Men’s Singles 2025 on 27th February 2025.

Head-to-Head: Shapovalov 0-0 Michelsen

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Shapovalov comes into this match with a ranking of 32 , while Michelsen is ranked 34.

Shapovalov vs Michelsen Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Michelsen has won 45% of points on his second serve, while Shapovalov has won 46% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Michelsen has won 26% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Shapovalov has won 20%. The same stats for second serve return points are 45% and 43% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Michelsen has been saving 56% of his breakpoints, and Shapovalov has saved 55% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Michelsen performs best on I.hard, winning 77% (W/L 34/10) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 38% (W/L 8/13). Shapovalov performs best on I.hard, winning 63% (W/L 81/48), and performs worse on Grass, winning 50% (W/L 24/24).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Alex Michelsen has converted 31% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Denis Shapovalov has converted 27% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Denis Shapovalov played Nishesh Basavareddy in the First round at the Abierto Mexicano Telcel – Acapulco and won 7-5 6-2 in 01:38:25 . Alex Michelsen played Bu Yunchaokete in the First round at the Abierto Mexicano Telcel – Acapulco and won 2-6 7-6(5) 7-6(5) in 02:53:14.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Denis Shapovalov and Alex Michelsen

Of their last 10 matches played, Shapovalov has won 8, while Michelsen has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Shapovalov has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points , while Michelsen has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Shapovalov Vs Michelsen

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Shapovalov has won 12 titles in his career, while Alex Michelsen has won 4 events. Shapovalov has won 51% (40034 of 78524) of points played in his entire career, and Michelsen has achieved 52% (15735 of 30462). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Shapovalov has won 52% of tie breaks in his entire career (121 of 234), whereas Alex Michelsen has won 55% (46 of 83). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Denis Shapovalov has an 60.89% probability of winning this match.

Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Michelsen Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Denis Shapovalov To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Denis Shapovalov has a 60.89% chance of winning and Alex Michelsen has a 39.11% chance of taking the victory. We tip Shapovalov to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Michelsen

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the Abierto Mexicano Telcel – Acapulco, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Denis Shapovalov

• Shapovalov vs Ruud H2H (1-2) , could play in The Semifinals
• Shapovalov vs Mendez H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Shapovalov vs Fokina H2H (1-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Shapovalov vs Tiafoe H2H (5-2) , could play in The Semifinals
• Shapovalov vs Paul H2H (2-2) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Shapovalov vs Giron H2H (0-2) , could play in The Quarterfinals

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Alex Michelsen

• Michelsen vs Ruud H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Michelsen vs Mendez H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Michelsen vs Fokina H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Michelsen vs Tiafoe H2H (0-1) , could play in The Semifinals
• Michelsen vs Paul H2H (0-2) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Michelsen vs Giron H2H (0-2) , could play in The Quarterfinals