Prediction of Denis Shapovalov [29th] vs Marcos Giron [45th] Head-to-Head At The
By Wojtek Kolan
Form
W W W L W L W L L L
Form
W L W W W L L W L LH2H: Shapovalov 1 - 3 Giron
They have played 9 sets in total, with Shapovalov winning 2 and Giron winning 7. The last match between Shapovalov and Giron was at the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo, 07-04-2025, First, Clay with Marcos Giron getting the victory 6-3 7-6(5).
| Players | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | 1 |
| Marcos Giron | 3 |
| Shapovalov | Stats | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| 60% (12-8) | YTD Win/Loss | 58% (11-8) |
| 1 | Head-to-Head | 3 |
| 29 | Ranking | 45 |
| 10 | Highest Rank | 37 |
| 26 | Age | 31 |
| L | Plays | R |
| 9 | Titles | 9 |
| 60% (323-218) | Career Total W/L | 57% (390-290) |
| $9,214,620 | Career Prize Money | $3,137,420 |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 0 |
| 1 | Hard H2H | 1 |
| 0 | Clay H2H | 2 |
Recent Performance Stats (Last 6 Months)
Shapovalov VS Giron H2H Matches played
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-3 7-6(5) |
Stats 
Marcos Giron
Player
Denis Shapovalov
57%
(
54 of
95)
1st Serve %
52%
(
31 of
60)
1
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
4
61%
(
33 of
54)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
23 of
31)
61%
(
25 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
55%
(
16 of
29)
100%
(
2 of
2)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
39%
(
37 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
21 of
60)
79
Total Points Won
76
|
||||
| 4-6 6-3 6-2 |
Stats
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Marcos Giron
69%
(
55 of
80)
1st Serve %
65%
(
54 of
83)
3
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
0
62%
(
34 of
55)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
37 of
54)
68%
(
17 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
34%
(
10 of
29)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
60%
(
3 of
5)
36%
(
29 of
80)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
36 of
83)
87
Total Points Won
76
|
||||
| 7-5 6-2 |
Stats
Marcos Giron
Player
Denis Shapovalov
52%
(
26 of
50)
1st Serve %
49%
(
31 of
63)
2
Aces
9
0
Double Faults
13
73%
(
19 of
26)
1st Serve Won
77%
(
24 of
31)
67%
(
16 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
22%
(
7 of
32)
38%
(
5 of
13)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
30%
(
15 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
32 of
63)
67
Total Points Won
46
|
||||
| 6-2 7-5 |
Stats
Marcos Giron
Player
Denis Shapovalov
64%
(
36 of
56)
1st Serve %
50%
(
28 of
56)
3
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
8
78%
(
28 of
36)
1st Serve Won
75%
(
21 of
28)
65%
(
13 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
12 of
28)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
27%
(
15 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
23 of
56)
64
Total Points Won
48
|
||||
Shapovalov VS Giron H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | H2H Matches | 3 |
| 2 | Sets Won | 7 |
| 39 | Games Won | 50 |
| 21 | Aces (Total) | 8 |
| 28 | Total Double Faults | 2 |
| 1:36:36 | Average Match Time | 1:36:36 |
| 56% (145/259) | 1st Serve % | 60% (170/284) |
| 70% (102/145) | 1st Serve Win % | 69% (117/170) |
| 46% (52/114) | 2nd Serve Win % | 56% (64/114) |
| 40% (8/20) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 50% (13/26) |
| 36% (103/284) | Return Points Win % | 41% (105/259) |
| 25% (1/4) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 75% (3/4) |
| 0% (0/0) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (0/1) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 100% (1/1) |
| 100% (1/1) | Deciding Set Win % | 0% (0/1) |
| 0% (0/0) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 75% (4/3) |
| 0% (0/0) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 25% (4/1) |
| 25% (4/1) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/0) |
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
Denis Shapovalov vs Marcos Giron Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Shapovalov 1 - 3 Giron
Editorial Prediction:
Analyzing the second serve performance over the past six months reveals that Denis Shapovalov has a slight edge, winning 45.84% of points on his second serve, compared to Marcos Giron’s 42.91%. This statistic is a critical predictor of match outcomes and suggests Shapovalov might have a slight advantage in tighter service games.
In terms of return game statistics, Shapovalov has demonstrated superior skills in recent months by capturing 45.01% of his opponent's second serve points. Giron, on the other hand, has secured 42.27% of these points. Both players' first serve return statistics diverge, with Shapovalov lagging slightly at 22.05% compared to Giron's 25.51%, an indicator of Giron's potential to capitalize on return opportunities in this matchup.
Under pressure, Giron exhibits a stronger performance by saving 58.64% of breakpoints, eclipsing Shapovalov's 55.07%. This difference is crucial for predicting outcomes in high-stakes moments within matches. Additionally, recent performance overview shows Shapovalov with a 63.93% match success rate (39 wins out of 61 matches) compared to Giron’s 53.7% win rate (29 wins out of 54 matches), further reinforcing the Canadian's status as the favorite.
Looking at career surface statistics, Shapovalov and Giron both excel indoors on hard courts. Shapovalov has a win percentage of 63% on indoor hard surfaces, whereas Giron is close with 60%. Conversely, their worst performances are on grass for Shapovalov (winning 50%) and on clay for Giron (winning 42%). These figures suggest both players are likely to perform well on similar surfaces.
Examining the ATP Tour matches over the past year, Shapovalov has a stronger showing on the Main tour with a 71.88% win rate. In contrast, Giron's performance lags slightly at 61.54%, inherently linking their success to the caliber of events each has been competing in.
The head-to-head statistic between Shapovalov and Giron stands at 2-1 in favor of Giron, with a 5-2 advantage in sets, including a decisive win by Shapovalov at the 2025 Abierto Mexicano Telcel in Acapulco. Despite Giron's advantage in direct encounters, Shapovalov's victory in a previous event might influence his odds in this contest.
In scenarios involving deciding sets, Shapovalov holds a clear upper hand, winning 56% of these tight finishes compared to Giron's 43%. While neither player has a history of tiebreaks against each other, current trends and historical performance under extreme pressure favor Shapovalov.
Both Shapovalov and Giron have faced opponents of similar strength over the past year, averaging ranks of approximately 81. Notably, the ability of Shapovalov to convert 29.17% of his breakpoints, juxtaposed with Giron's more efficient 32.12%, introduces an element of unpredictability to breakpoint opportunities during live betting scenarios.
Taking all these factors into account, Shapovalov emerges as the likely victor of this matchup. His overall record, recent form, and ability to perform under pressure suggest he will outmaneuver Giron in their upcoming encounter.
Denis Shapovalov Recent Matches Played
Before:
| OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 |
Stats
Diego Dedura-Palomero
Player
Denis Shapovalov
74%
(
39 of
53)
1st Serve %
66%
(
27 of
41)
0
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
3
77%
(
30 of
39)
1st Serve Won
81%
(
22 of
27)
71%
(
10 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
5 of
14)
33%
(
1 of
3)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
25%
(
13 of
53)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
14 of
41)
54
Total Points Won
40
|
7-6(2) 3-0 ret. | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Marcos Giron
Player
Denis Shapovalov
57%
(
54 of
95)
1st Serve %
52%
(
31 of
60)
1
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
4
61%
(
33 of
54)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
23 of
31)
61%
(
25 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
55%
(
16 of
29)
100%
(
2 of
2)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
39%
(
37 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
21 of
60)
79
Total Points Won
76
|
6-3 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Taylor Fritz
Player
Denis Shapovalov
64%
(
38 of
59)
1st Serve %
71%
(
37 of
52)
9
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
6
84%
(
32 of
38)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
23 of
37)
57%
(
12 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
8 of
15)
75%
(
3 of
4)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
25%
(
15 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
21 of
52)
65
Total Points Won
46
|
7-5 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Thiago Agustin Tirante
51%
(
55 of
108)
1st Serve %
67%
(
68 of
101)
6
Aces
8
11
Double Faults
1
75%
(
41 of
55)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
49 of
68)
53%
(
28 of
53)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
15 of
33)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
43%
(
3 of
7)
36%
(
39 of
108)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
37 of
101)
106
Total Points Won
103
|
6-3 6-7(1) 7-6(3) | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Denis Shapovalov
71%
(
45 of
63)
1st Serve %
53%
(
31 of
59)
2
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
8
69%
(
31 of
45)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
23 of
31)
56%
(
10 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
10 of
28)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
35%
(
22 of
63)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
26 of
59)
67
Total Points Won
55
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Adam Walton
61%
(
42 of
69)
1st Serve %
64%
(
30 of
47)
2
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
2
69%
(
29 of
42)
1st Serve Won
57%
(
17 of
30)
41%
(
11 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
24%
(
4 of
17)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
20%
(
2 of
10)
42%
(
29 of
69)
Rtn Points Won
55%
(
26 of
47)
66
Total Points Won
50
|
6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Player
Denis Shapovalov
70%
(
57 of
81)
1st Serve %
54%
(
51 of
94)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
65%
(
37 of
57)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
32 of
51)
50%
(
12 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
19 of
43)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
57%
(
4 of
7)
40%
(
32 of
81)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
43 of
94)
92
Total Points Won
83
|
7-6(3) 7-6(1) | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Marcos Giron
69%
(
55 of
80)
1st Serve %
65%
(
54 of
83)
3
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
0
62%
(
34 of
55)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
37 of
54)
68%
(
17 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
34%
(
10 of
29)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
60%
(
3 of
5)
36%
(
29 of
80)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
36 of
83)
87
Total Points Won
76
|
4-6 6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Alex Michelsen
57%
(
30 of
53)
1st Serve %
61%
(
34 of
56)
3
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
5
67%
(
20 of
30)
1st Serve Won
47%
(
16 of
34)
74%
(
17 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
11 of
22)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
30%
(
16 of
53)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
29 of
56)
66
Total Points Won
43
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Nishesh Basavareddy
46%
(
26 of
57)
1st Serve %
64%
(
47 of
74)
6
Aces
1
9
Double Faults
2
77%
(
20 of
26)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
26 of
47)
55%
(
17 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
11 of
27)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
35%
(
20 of
57)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
37 of
74)
74
Total Points Won
57
|
7-5 6-2 | H2H | ||
view more
Marcos Giron Recent Matches Played
Before:
| OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 |
Stats
Miomir Kecmanovic
Player
Marcos Giron
64%
(
78 of
121)
1st Serve %
60%
(
75 of
126)
4
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
3
71%
(
55 of
78)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
54 of
75)
60%
(
26 of
43)
2nd Serve Won
51%
(
26 of
51)
23%
(
3 of
13)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
33%
(
40 of
121)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
46 of
126)
127
Total Points Won
120
|
6-2 6-7(2) 7-6(9) | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Jack Draper
Player
Marcos Giron
63%
(
27 of
43)
1st Serve %
46%
(
21 of
46)
5
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
0
81%
(
22 of
27)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
14 of
21)
56%
(
9 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
24%
(
6 of
25)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
28%
(
12 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
57%
(
26 of
46)
57
Total Points Won
32
|
6-1 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Marcos Giron
Player
Denis Shapovalov
57%
(
54 of
95)
1st Serve %
52%
(
31 of
60)
1
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
4
61%
(
33 of
54)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
23 of
31)
61%
(
25 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
55%
(
16 of
29)
100%
(
2 of
2)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
39%
(
37 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
21 of
60)
79
Total Points Won
76
|
6-3 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Jordan Thompson
Player
Marcos Giron
61%
(
58 of
95)
1st Serve %
61%
(
65 of
106)
12
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
4
72%
(
42 of
58)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
48 of
65)
59%
(
22 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
49%
(
20 of
41)
18%
(
2 of
11)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
33%
(
31 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
38 of
106)
102
Total Points Won
99
|
3-6 6-4 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Arthur Fils
Player
Marcos Giron
63%
(
51 of
81)
1st Serve %
57%
(
50 of
88)
4
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
63%
(
32 of
51)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
35 of
50)
70%
(
21 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
16 of
38)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
35%
(
28 of
81)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
37 of
88)
90
Total Points Won
79
|
6-2 2-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Marcos Giron
Player
Alexei Popyrin
60%
(
67 of
111)
1st Serve %
44%
(
38 of
86)
7
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
4
64%
(
43 of
67)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
27 of
38)
64%
(
28 of
44)
2nd Serve Won
58%
(
28 of
48)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
7%
(
1 of
15)
36%
(
40 of
111)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
31 of
86)
102
Total Points Won
95
|
5-7 6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Marcos Giron
Player
Casper Ruud
61%
(
70 of
115)
1st Serve %
60%
(
61 of
101)
4
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
8
74%
(
52 of
70)
1st Serve Won
77%
(
47 of
61)
42%
(
19 of
45)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
14 of
40)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
27%
(
3 of
11)
38%
(
44 of
115)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
40 of
101)
111
Total Points Won
105
|
7-6(4) 3-6 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Marcos Giron
Player
Nikoloz Basilashvili
63%
(
45 of
72)
1st Serve %
49%
(
46 of
93)
11
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
73%
(
33 of
45)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
32 of
46)
59%
(
16 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
51%
(
24 of
47)
29%
(
2 of
7)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
32%
(
23 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
37 of
93)
86
Total Points Won
79
|
7-5 7-6(3) | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Marcos Giron
69%
(
55 of
80)
1st Serve %
65%
(
54 of
83)
3
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
0
62%
(
34 of
55)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
37 of
54)
68%
(
17 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
34%
(
10 of
29)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
60%
(
3 of
5)
36%
(
29 of
80)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
36 of
83)
87
Total Points Won
76
|
4-6 6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 | w/o | H2H | |||
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 60% (323/218) | Win/Loss | 57% (390/290) |
| 57% (781/598) | Sets Win/Loss | 56% (924/732) |
| 53% (7171/6459) | Games Win/Loss | 52% (8412/7750) |
| 0.59 | Aces Per Game | 0.36 |
| 3949 | Aces Total | 2840 |
| 0.41 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.17 |
| 2712 | Total Double Faults | 1349 |
| 1:41:31 | Average Match Time | 1:29:6 |
| 300.12 | Average Opponent Rank | 436.16 |
| 59% (23365/39811) | 1st Serve % | 62% (27318/44361) |
| 76% (17709/23365) | 1st Serve Win % | 72% (19624/27318) |
| 52% (8498/16445) | 2nd Serve Win % | 51% (8705/17042) |
| 39% (1291/3341) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 39% (1646/4221) |
| 36% (14666/40442) | Return Points Win % | 38% (17364/45691) |
| 59% (269/453) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 59% (373/637) |
| 60% (49/82) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 37% (14/38) |
| 50% (124/247) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 52% (146/282) |
| 57% (101/176) | Deciding Set Win % | 49% (121/245) |
| 87% (303/263) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 83% (393/327) |
| 13% (303/40) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 16% (393/64) |
| 24% (236/57) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 21% (287/61) |
Other Predictions
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