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Denis Shapovalov vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Shapovalov vs Tiafoe analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Denis Shapovalov vs Frances Tiafoe Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Shapovalov 5 - 2 Tiafoe

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Shapovalov has won 47.91% of points on their second serve, while Tiafoe has won 50.41%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Shapovalov, in recent form, has won 45.56% of their opponent's second serve points, while Tiafoe has won 48.31%. The same stats for first serve returns are 28.62% and 27.05% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Shapovalov has saved 67.82% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Tiafoe has saved 63.44% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Shapovalov has won 46.88% of matches played (W/L 15/ 17), with Tiafoe winning 50% (W/L 25/ 25) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Shapovalov has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 62% (W/L 77/ 47), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 49% (W/L 22/ 23). Tiafoe has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 114/ 68), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 49/ 43).
  • Player level: In the last year, Shapovalov has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 35.71% of matches (W/L 5/ 9), where as Tiafoe has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 58.33% of matches (W/L 14/ 10). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 7 times before with Shapovalov winning 5 times and Tiafoe being victorious 2 times. They have played 18 sets in total, with Shapovalov winning 11 and Tiafoe winning 7. The last match between Shapovalov and Tiafoe was at the French Open - Paris, 30-05-2024, Second, Clay with Denis Shapovalov getting the victory 6-7(4) 6-4 6-2 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:51:36.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Shapovalov and Tiafoe have played a deciding set 2 times, with Shapovalov winning 2 times and Tiafoe 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 3 tiebreaks against each other with Shapovalov winning 1, and Tiafoe 2.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Shapovalov has played against opponents with an average rank of 136.81 while Tiafoe has played against players with an average rank of 153.3.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Shapovalov has won 25% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Tiafoe has won 42% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Shapovalov has converted 37.5% of breakpoint opportunities, and Tiafoe has converted 33.7% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Denis Shapovalov

7

Total

0

Mast

2

Chall

0

Slam

1

Main

4

Minor

111

Rank

10

High

25

Age

L

Plays

5

Total

2

3

Hard

2

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

1

Grass

0

28

Rank

10

High

26

Age

R

Plays

Frances Tiafoe

11

Total

0

Mast

6

Chall

0

Slam

4

Main

1

Minor

5

Total

2

3

Hard

2

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

1

Grass

0

L L W L W W L L W L

Form

L L L W L W L W L L

59% (289-199)

Career Total W/L

59% (356-249)

43% (12-16)

YTD W/L

46% (13-15)

$8,045,475

Career Prize Money

$7,024,490

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Shapovalov VS Tiafoe H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Denis Shapovalov Frances Tiafoe
All H2H Matches 5 2
Sets Won 11 7
Games Won 97 85
Aces (Total) 67 21
DFs Total 52 15
Avg Match Time 1:51:36 1:51:36
1st Serve % 57% (321/562) 58% (339/580)
1st Serve Win% 80% (256/321) 70% (236/339)
2nd Serve Win% 51% (122/241) 56% (134/241)
BPs Won% (Total) 32% (19/59) 21% (12/58)
Return Points W% 36% (210/580) 33% (184/562)
Best of 3 Sets W% 67% (4/6) 33% (2/6)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 33% (1/3) 67% (2/3)
Deciding Set Win% 100% (2/2) 0% (0/2)
1st set W, W 100% (3/3) 50% (4/2)
1st set W, L 0% (3/0) 50% (4/2)
1st set L, W 50% (4/2) 0% (3/0)

Shapovalov VS Tiafoe H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-7(4) 6-4 6-2 6-4
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Frances Tiafoe
55% ( 76 of 137)
1st Serve %
50% ( 74 of 147)
21
Aces
1
10
Double Faults
4
82% ( 62 of 76)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 52 of 74)
52% ( 32 of 61)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 37 of 73)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
5% ( 1 of 20)
31% ( 43 of 137)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 58 of 147)
152
Total Points Won
132
6-1 6-4
cross
Frances Tiafoe
Player
Denis Shapovalov
52% ( 26 of 50)
1st Serve %
49% ( 30 of 61)
5
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
9
88% ( 23 of 26)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 22 of 30)
58% ( 14 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 11 of 31)
23% ( 3 of 13)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
26% ( 13 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 28 of 61)
65
Total Points Won
46
6-3 6-4
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Frances Tiafoe
57% ( 38 of 67)
1st Serve %
64% ( 37 of 58)
11
Aces
0
10
Double Faults
1
79% ( 30 of 38)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 25 of 37)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 11 of 21)
22% ( 2 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
33% ( 22 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 22 of 58)
67
Total Points Won
58
6-4 6-2
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Frances Tiafoe
59% ( 29 of 49)
1st Serve %
66% ( 45 of 68)
6
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
0
93% ( 27 of 29)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 28 of 45)
50% ( 10 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 10 of 23)
21% ( 3 of 14)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
24% ( 12 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 30 of 68)
67
Total Points Won
50
6-7(5) 6-4 6-2
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Frances Tiafoe
69% ( 63 of 91)
1st Serve %
61% ( 64 of 105)
7
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
6
76% ( 48 of 63)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 40 of 64)
64% ( 18 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 25 of 41)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
27% ( 25 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 40 of 105)
106
Total Points Won
90
7-6(6) 3-6 7-5
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Frances Tiafoe
53% ( 54 of 102)
1st Serve %
56% ( 55 of 99)
10
Aces
5
13
Double Faults
1
81% ( 44 of 54)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 36 of 55)
48% ( 23 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
64% ( 28 of 44)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
34% ( 35 of 102)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 35 of 99)
102
Total Points Won
99
7-5 6-4
cross
Frances Tiafoe
Player
Denis Shapovalov
72% ( 38 of 53)
1st Serve %
56% ( 31 of 55)
3
Aces
8
0
Double Faults
3
84% ( 32 of 38)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 23 of 31)
60% ( 9 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 13 of 24)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
23% ( 12 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 19 of 55)
60
Total Points Won
48

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Denis Shapovalov Frances Tiafoe
YTD W/L 43% (12/16) 46% (13/15)
Sets Win/Loss 47% (33/37) 48% (34/37)
Games Win/Loss 51% (362/351) 49% (356/367)
Hard Win/Loss 38% (3/5) 50% (6/6)
Clay Win/Loss 45% (5/6) 45% (5/6)
Indoor Hard W/L 50% (3/3) 50% (1/1)
Grass Win/Loss 33% (1/2) 33% (1/2)
Aces pg 0.71 0.56
Aces Total 250 198
DFs per game 0.51 0.2
DFs Total 180 69
Avg Match Time 1:52:49 1:58:14
Avg Opp Rank 135.5 171.04
1st Serve % 58% (1302/2260) 58% (1354/2340)
1st Serve W% 77% (999/1302) 73% (989/1354)
2nd Serve W% 48% (459/958) 50% (497/986)
BPs Won% Total 38% (66/176) 34% (61/181)
Return Pts W% 35% (792/2267) 35% (793/2281)
Slam W/L 50% (2/2) 50% (2/2)
Masters W/L 56% (5/4) 20% (1/4)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 36% (5/9) 56% (10/8)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/1) 0% (0/1)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 42% (10/24) 48% (11/23)
Best of 5 Sets W% 50% (2/4) 40% (2/5)
TBs Win% (Total) 27% (4/15) 56% (9/16)
Deciding Set W% 25% (2/8) 43% (3/7)
1st set W, W 73% (15/11) 86% (14/12)
1st set W, L 27% (15/4) 14% (14/2)
1st set L, W 8% (13/1) 7% (14/1)

Denis Shapovalov Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
cross
Matteo Berrettini
Player
Denis Shapovalov
68% ( 39 of 57)
1st Serve %
53% ( 28 of 53)
3
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
4
85% ( 33 of 39)
1st Serve Won
86% ( 24 of 28)
56% ( 10 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 14 of 25)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
25% ( 14 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
28% ( 15 of 53)
58
Total Points Won
52
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Matteo Martineau
61% ( 59 of 96)
1st Serve %
70% ( 50 of 71)
9
Aces
4
10
Double Faults
3
80% ( 47 of 59)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 36 of 50)
43% ( 16 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 13 of 21)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
14% ( 1 of 7)
34% ( 33 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
31% ( 22 of 71)
85
Total Points Won
82
W
7-6(5) 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Aleksandar Vukic
Player
Denis Shapovalov
62% ( 33 of 53)
1st Serve %
52% ( 38 of 73)
3
Aces
9
0
Double Faults
8
82% ( 27 of 33)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 25 of 38)
70% ( 14 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 18 of 35)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
23% ( 12 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 30 of 73)
71
Total Points Won
55
L
6-3 7-6(0) H2H
R3
cross
Hubert Hurkacz
Player
Denis Shapovalov
72% ( 80 of 111)
1st Serve %
56% ( 70 of 125)
9
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
6
79% ( 63 of 80)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 47 of 70)
61% ( 19 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 27 of 55)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
26% ( 29 of 111)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 51 of 125)
133
Total Points Won
103
L
6-3 7-6(0) 4-6 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Frances Tiafoe
55% ( 76 of 137)
1st Serve %
50% ( 74 of 147)
21
Aces
1
10
Double Faults
4
82% ( 62 of 76)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 52 of 74)
52% ( 32 of 61)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 37 of 73)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
5% ( 1 of 20)
31% ( 43 of 137)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 58 of 147)
152
Total Points Won
132
W
6-7(4) 6-4 6-2 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Luca Van Assche
57% ( 52 of 92)
1st Serve %
57% ( 44 of 77)
8
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
1
79% ( 41 of 52)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 32 of 44)
60% ( 24 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 20 of 33)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
29% ( 27 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 25 of 77)
90
Total Points Won
79
W
6-3 6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Tallon Griekspoor
Player
Denis Shapovalov
57% ( 59 of 104)
1st Serve %
64% ( 62 of 97)
5
Aces
10
6
Double Faults
4
85% ( 50 of 59)
1st Serve Won
82% ( 51 of 62)
62% ( 28 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
57% ( 20 of 35)
100% ( 2 of 2)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
25% ( 26 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
27% ( 26 of 97)
104
Total Points Won
97
L
6-7(7) 7-6(4) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Federico Coria
54% ( 31 of 57)
1st Serve %
79% ( 50 of 63)
1
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
0
71% ( 22 of 31)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 25 of 50)
58% ( 15 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 6 of 13)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
35% ( 20 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 32 of 63)
69
Total Points Won
51
W
7-5 6-0 H2H
R1
cross
Luciano Darderi
Player
Denis Shapovalov
54% ( 67 of 123)
1st Serve %
55% ( 66 of 119)
3
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
14
64% ( 43 of 67)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 46 of 66)
50% ( 28 of 56)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 19 of 53)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
42% ( 52 of 123)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 54 of 119)
125
Total Points Won
117
L
6-7(4) 6-3 7-6(4) H2H
R3
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Denis Shapovalov
78% ( 47 of 60)
1st Serve %
64% ( 55 of 86)
10
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
5
79% ( 37 of 47)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 37 of 55)
54% ( 7 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 10 of 31)
21% ( 3 of 14)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
27% ( 16 of 60)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 39 of 86)
83
Total Points Won
63
L
6-4 7-5 H2H

Frances Tiafoe Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Rinky Hijikata
Player
Frances Tiafoe
68% ( 48 of 71)
1st Serve %
45% ( 34 of 75)
6
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
6
77% ( 37 of 48)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 23 of 34)
35% ( 8 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 22 of 41)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
37% ( 26 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 30 of 75)
75
Total Points Won
71
L
7-5 4-6 1-0 ret. H2H
QF
cross
Jack Draper
Player
Frances Tiafoe
65% ( 62 of 95)
1st Serve %
69% ( 82 of 118)
31
Aces
12
3
Double Faults
3
85% ( 53 of 62)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 60 of 82)
61% ( 20 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 17 of 36)
17% ( 1 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
23% ( 22 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 41 of 118)
114
Total Points Won
99
L
5-7 6-4 7-6(1) H2H
R2
cross
Frances Tiafoe
Player
Yannick Hanfmann
61% ( 61 of 100)
1st Serve %
79% ( 67 of 85)
13
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
3
79% ( 48 of 61)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 49 of 67)
46% ( 18 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 8 of 18)
20% ( 1 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 11)
34% ( 34 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 28 of 85)
94
Total Points Won
91
W
7-5 7-6(5) H2H
R2
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Frances Tiafoe
55% ( 76 of 137)
1st Serve %
50% ( 74 of 147)
21
Aces
1
10
Double Faults
4
82% ( 62 of 76)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 52 of 74)
52% ( 32 of 61)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 37 of 73)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
5% ( 1 of 20)
31% ( 43 of 137)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 58 of 147)
152
Total Points Won
132
L
6-7(4) 6-4 6-2 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Frances Tiafoe
Player
Mattia Bellucci
54% ( 82 of 151)
1st Serve %
59% ( 90 of 153)
14
Aces
17
2
Double Faults
11
77% ( 63 of 82)
1st Serve Won
84% ( 76 of 90)
59% ( 41 of 69)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 25 of 63)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
31% ( 47 of 151)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 52 of 153)
156
Total Points Won
148
W
6-3 3-6 6-7(6) 6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Arthur Rinderknech
Player
Frances Tiafoe
52% ( 43 of 82)
1st Serve %
56% ( 49 of 88)
8
Aces
13
5
Double Faults
2
86% ( 37 of 43)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 37 of 49)
49% ( 19 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 17 of 39)
22% ( 2 of 9)
Break Points Won
11% ( 1 of 9)
32% ( 26 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 34 of 88)
90
Total Points Won
80
L
7-6(7) 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Frances Tiafoe
Player
Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
57% ( 39 of 68)
1st Serve %
71% ( 59 of 83)
3
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
6
77% ( 30 of 39)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 42 of 59)
59% ( 17 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 7 of 24)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
31% ( 21 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 34 of 83)
81
Total Points Won
70
W
7-6(5) 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Dominik Koepfer
Player
Frances Tiafoe
57% ( 39 of 69)
1st Serve %
52% ( 32 of 61)
5
Aces
5
5
Double Faults
2
69% ( 27 of 39)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 21 of 32)
67% ( 20 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 14 of 29)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
32% ( 22 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 26 of 61)
73
Total Points Won
57
L
6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Federico Coria
Player
Frances Tiafoe
72% ( 46 of 64)
1st Serve %
50% ( 25 of 50)
0
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
3
52% ( 24 of 46)
1st Serve Won
44% ( 11 of 25)
56% ( 10 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 8 of 25)
78% ( 7 of 9)
Break Points Won
50% ( 4 of 8)
47% ( 30 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
62% ( 31 of 50)
65
Total Points Won
49
L
6-1 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Pedro Cachin
Player
Frances Tiafoe
64% ( 70 of 110)
1st Serve %
52% ( 54 of 103)
9
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
69% ( 48 of 70)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 37 of 54)
50% ( 20 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 26 of 49)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
38% ( 42 of 110)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 40 of 103)
108
Total Points Won
105
L
7-6(1) 3-6 6-4 H2H

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