Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Tu has won 52% of points on his second serve, while Alcaraz has won 57% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Tu has won 32% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Alcaraz has won 35%. The same stats for second serve return points are 52% and 55% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Tu has been saving 57% of his breakpoints, and Alcaraz has saved 65% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Tu has won 57% of matches played (W/L 21/16) with Alcaraz winning 86% (W/L 32/5).
Surface prediction: Tu performs best on Hard, winning 66% (W/L 118/60) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 54% (W/L 14/12). Alcaraz performs best on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 24/3), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 13/10).
In play break point conversion prediction: Li Tu has converted 37% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Carlos Alcaraz has converted 46% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Carlos Alcaraz played Gael Monfils in the Second round at the Western & Southern Open – Cincinnati and lost 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4 in 02:30:34 . Li Tu played Jesper De Jong in the Q3 round at the U.S. Open – New York and won 3-6 6-1 7-5 in 02:07:00.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Carlos Alcaraz and Li Tu
Of their last 10 matches played, Alcaraz has won 8, while Tu has won 8. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Alcaraz has won 59% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points , while Tu has won 52% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points.
Megan@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Alcaraz Vs Tu
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Alcaraz has won 22 titles in his career, while Li Tu has won 10 events. Alcaraz has won 53% (27656 of 52152) of points played in his entire career, and Tu has achieved 52% (15887 of 30559). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Alcaraz has won 65% of tie breaks in his entire career (93 of 144), whereas Li Tu has won 54% (50 of 93). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Carlos Alcaraz has an 94.97% probability of winning this match.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Li Tu Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Carlos Alcaraz has a 94.97% chance of winning and Li Tu has a 5.03% chance of taking the victory. We tip Alcaraz to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Alcaraz vs Tu
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Carlos Alcaraz vs Li Tu here.
To see the full prediction for Alcaraz vs Tu at U.S. Open – New York, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com U.S. Open Day 1 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the U.S. Open – New York, go here.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Carlos Alcaraz
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for sports with a methodical approach to statistics, offering a fresh perspective on game outcomes, player performances, and season trends.
His work is characterized by a deep understanding of statistical models, a passion for uncovering hidden patterns, and an ability to communicate complex analysis in an accessible and engaging way.
He is particularly known for his tennis head to head predictions, which have proven remarkably accurate over the years.
