Prediction of Carlos Alcaraz [2nd] vs Denis Shapovalov [29th] Head-to-Head At The
By Wojtek Kolan
Form
W W W W W W W W W L
Form
W W W L W L W L L LHead-2-Head: Alcaraz 2 - 0 Shapovalov
They have played 5 sets in total, with Alcaraz winning 5 and Shapovalov winning 0. The last match between Alcaraz and Shapovalov was at the BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells, 11-03-2025, Third, Hard with Carlos Alcaraz getting the victory 6-2 6-4.
| Players | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 2 |
| Denis Shapovalov | 0 |
| Alcaraz | Stats | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| 83% (24-5) | YTD Win/Loss | 60% (12-8) |
| 2 | Head-to-Head | 0 |
| 2 | Ranking | 29 |
| 1 | Highest Rank | 10 |
| 21 | Age | 26 |
| R | Plays | L |
| 26 | Titles | 9 |
| 79% (313-81) | Career Total W/L | 60% (323-218) |
| $27,845,500 | Career Prize Money | $9,214,620 |
| 2 | YTD Titles | 1 |
| 1 | Hard H2H | 0 |
| 1 | Clay H2H | 0 |
Recent Performance Stats (Last 6 Months)
Alcaraz VS Shapovalov H2H Matches played
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-2 6-4 |
Stats 
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Denis Shapovalov
71%
(
45 of
63)
1st Serve %
53%
(
31 of
59)
2
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
8
69%
(
31 of
45)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
23 of
31)
56%
(
10 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
10 of
28)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
35%
(
22 of
63)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
26 of
59)
67
Total Points Won
55
|
||||
| 6-1 6-4 6-2 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Denis Shapovalov
73%
(
58 of
80)
1st Serve %
56%
(
49 of
87)
0
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
10
66%
(
38 of
58)
1st Serve Won
51%
(
25 of
49)
68%
(
15 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
14 of
38)
44%
(
7 of
16)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
34%
(
27 of
80)
Rtn Points Won
55%
(
48 of
87)
101
Total Points Won
66
|
||||
Alcaraz VS Shapovalov H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2 | H2H Matches | 0 |
| 5 | Sets Won | 0 |
| 30 | Games Won | 13 |
| 2 | Aces (Total) | 2 |
| 6 | Total Double Faults | 18 |
| 1:46:47 | Average Match Time | 1:46:47 |
| 72% (103/143) | 1st Serve % | 55% (80/146) |
| 67% (69/103) | 1st Serve Win % | 60% (48/80) |
| 63% (25/40) | 2nd Serve Win % | 36% (24/66) |
| 46% (11/24) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 30% (3/10) |
| 51% (74/146) | Return Points Win % | 34% (49/143) |
| 100% (1/1) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 0% (0/1) |
| 100% (1/1) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 0% (0/1) |
| 0% (0/0) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (0/0) | Deciding Set Win % | 0% (0/0) |
| 100% (2/2) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (2/0) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (0/0) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (2/0) |
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Alcaraz 2 - 0 Shapovalov
Editorial Prediction:
Alcaraz and Shapovalov have stepped onto the tennis court, rackets armed and with statistics primed to argue who might have the upper hand. It turns out their second serve performances danced a close tango over the past six months, with Shapovalov cha-cha-ing slightly ahead at 45.97%, beating Alcaraz’s sway of 45.32%. Talk about a second serve showdown, eh?
When it comes to return game mastery, Shapovalov took a slight lead again, snatching 42.91% of points on their opponent’s second serve, as opposed to Alcaraz’s respectable 40.47%. First serve returns, however, really throw a curveball, with Alcaraz serving up 23.54% compared to Shapovalov’s 21.61%. Statisticians might be biting their nails because these numbers are great explainers of who tilts the scales in this head-to-head drama.
Under pressure? Alcaraz seems to have his cool party trick right, escaping from 56.2% of breakpoints. Shapovalov, while not far behind, shows a still impressive stat at 55.08%, making these players a cliffhanger’s perfect match.
The past year paints Alcaraz as quite the victorious warrior, winning 82.86% of his skirmishes (W/L 58/12), while Shapovalov, although not the ultimate conqueror, held his ground firmly with a 64.52% success rate (W/L 40/22). Now, let's skate onto their favorite surfaces: Alcaraz seems to glide effortlessly on grass with an 89% win rate (W/L 24/3), despite slipping a bit on indoor hard courts at 66%. Shapovalov, however, prefers the sparkle of indoor hard courts with a win rate of 63% (W/L 81/48), while seeming to trip a little on grass at an even 50% balance (W/L 24/24).
If we're talking player level, Alcaraz has gallivanted around the Grand Slam scene, claiming victories in 90.48% of his matches (W/L 19/2). Shapovalov, meanwhile, hones his craft on the Main Tour, charming a 69.7% winning rate (W/L 23/10). Of course, dissecting their event levels is crucial in determining the fan favorite.
In their previous head-to-head rendezvous, Alcaraz waved his victory flag after a slam-dunk win at the French Open with Shapovalov not yet weaving a win (set count 3-0 in Alcaraz's favor). Though they haven’t tangoed with tiebreaks, or waltzed into deciding sets before, Alcaraz takes the cake with a 73% deciding set victory rate over the last year, alongside Shapovalov's 56% shimmy.
So, what does the crystal ball of statistics say about this upcoming encounter? With grass being Alcaraz’s stage and seeing his past performances wrapped in golden ribbons of victory, it seems the odds and ends knit Alcaraz as the titan likely to walk away with the triumph coat. But keep those eyes peeled and stats in mind because tennis is, after all, a sport of surprising twirls.
Carlos Alcaraz Recent Matches Played
Before:
| OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F |
Stats
Holger Rune
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
72%
(
52 of
72)
1st Serve %
70%
(
40 of
57)
0
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
69%
(
36 of
52)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
26 of
40)
55%
(
11 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
9 of
17)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
35%
(
25 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
22 of
57)
69
Total Points Won
60
|
7-6(6) 6-2 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Arthur Fils
74%
(
39 of
53)
1st Serve %
64%
(
36 of
56)
2
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
4
77%
(
30 of
39)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
21 of
36)
64%
(
9 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
10 of
20)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
26%
(
14 of
53)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
25 of
56)
64
Total Points Won
45
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Alex De Minaur
69%
(
43 of
62)
1st Serve %
52%
(
40 of
77)
0
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
6
72%
(
31 of
43)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
23 of
40)
47%
(
9 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
51%
(
19 of
37)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
35%
(
22 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
35 of
77)
75
Total Points Won
64
|
7-5 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Laslo Djere
71%
(
35 of
49)
1st Serve %
62%
(
31 of
50)
4
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
3
77%
(
27 of
35)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
18 of
31)
57%
(
8 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
7 of
19)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
29%
(
14 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
25 of
50)
60
Total Points Won
39
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Ethan Quinn
70%
(
46 of
66)
1st Serve %
61%
(
51 of
83)
0
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
3
65%
(
30 of
46)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
27 of
51)
45%
(
9 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
34%
(
11 of
32)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
41%
(
27 of
66)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
45 of
83)
84
Total Points Won
65
|
6-2 7-6(6) | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
72%
(
56 of
78)
1st Serve %
63%
(
43 of
68)
3
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
1
70%
(
39 of
56)
1st Serve Won
49%
(
21 of
43)
50%
(
11 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
13 of
25)
75%
(
6 of
8)
Break Points Won
22%
(
2 of
9)
36%
(
28 of
78)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
34 of
68)
84
Total Points Won
62
|
3-6 6-1 6-0 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
66%
(
48 of
73)
1st Serve %
68%
(
74 of
109)
0
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
65%
(
31 of
48)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
47 of
74)
64%
(
16 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
34%
(
12 of
35)
16%
(
3 of
19)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
36%
(
26 of
73)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
50 of
109)
97
Total Points Won
85
|
7-6(2) 6-4 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Arthur Fils
61%
(
62 of
101)
1st Serve %
60%
(
62 of
103)
3
Aces
0
7
Double Faults
5
69%
(
43 of
62)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
45 of
62)
49%
(
19 of
39)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
13 of
41)
36%
(
5 of
14)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
39%
(
39 of
101)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
45 of
103)
107
Total Points Won
97
|
4-6 7-5 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Daniel Altmaier
59%
(
35 of
59)
1st Serve %
46%
(
24 of
52)
0
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
2
60%
(
21 of
35)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
12 of
24)
63%
(
15 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
13 of
28)
71%
(
5 of
7)
Break Points Won
10%
(
1 of
10)
39%
(
23 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
27 of
52)
63
Total Points Won
48
|
6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Francisco Cerundolo
54%
(
41 of
76)
1st Serve %
60%
(
33 of
55)
1
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
5
68%
(
28 of
41)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
17 of
33)
54%
(
19 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
9 of
22)
75%
(
6 of
8)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
38%
(
29 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
29 of
55)
76
Total Points Won
55
|
3-6 6-0 6-1 | H2H | ||
view more
Denis Shapovalov Recent Matches Played
Before:
| OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 |
Stats
Diego Dedura-Palomero
Player
Denis Shapovalov
74%
(
39 of
53)
1st Serve %
66%
(
27 of
41)
0
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
3
77%
(
30 of
39)
1st Serve Won
81%
(
22 of
27)
71%
(
10 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
5 of
14)
33%
(
1 of
3)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
25%
(
13 of
53)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
14 of
41)
54
Total Points Won
40
|
7-6(2) 3-0 ret. | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Marcos Giron
Player
Denis Shapovalov
57%
(
54 of
95)
1st Serve %
52%
(
31 of
60)
1
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
4
61%
(
33 of
54)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
23 of
31)
61%
(
25 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
55%
(
16 of
29)
100%
(
2 of
2)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
39%
(
37 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
21 of
60)
79
Total Points Won
76
|
6-3 7-6(5) | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Taylor Fritz
Player
Denis Shapovalov
64%
(
38 of
59)
1st Serve %
71%
(
37 of
52)
9
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
6
84%
(
32 of
38)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
23 of
37)
57%
(
12 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
8 of
15)
75%
(
3 of
4)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
25%
(
15 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
21 of
52)
65
Total Points Won
46
|
7-5 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Thiago Agustin Tirante
51%
(
55 of
108)
1st Serve %
67%
(
68 of
101)
6
Aces
8
11
Double Faults
1
75%
(
41 of
55)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
49 of
68)
53%
(
28 of
53)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
15 of
33)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
43%
(
3 of
7)
36%
(
39 of
108)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
37 of
101)
106
Total Points Won
103
|
6-3 6-7(1) 7-6(3) | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Denis Shapovalov
71%
(
45 of
63)
1st Serve %
53%
(
31 of
59)
2
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
8
69%
(
31 of
45)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
23 of
31)
56%
(
10 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
10 of
28)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
35%
(
22 of
63)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
26 of
59)
67
Total Points Won
55
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Adam Walton
61%
(
42 of
69)
1st Serve %
64%
(
30 of
47)
2
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
2
69%
(
29 of
42)
1st Serve Won
57%
(
17 of
30)
41%
(
11 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
24%
(
4 of
17)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
20%
(
2 of
10)
42%
(
29 of
69)
Rtn Points Won
55%
(
26 of
47)
66
Total Points Won
50
|
6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Player
Denis Shapovalov
70%
(
57 of
81)
1st Serve %
54%
(
51 of
94)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
65%
(
37 of
57)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
32 of
51)
50%
(
12 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
19 of
43)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
57%
(
4 of
7)
40%
(
32 of
81)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
43 of
94)
92
Total Points Won
83
|
7-6(3) 7-6(1) | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Marcos Giron
69%
(
55 of
80)
1st Serve %
65%
(
54 of
83)
3
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
0
62%
(
34 of
55)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
37 of
54)
68%
(
17 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
34%
(
10 of
29)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
60%
(
3 of
5)
36%
(
29 of
80)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
36 of
83)
87
Total Points Won
76
|
4-6 6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Alex Michelsen
57%
(
30 of
53)
1st Serve %
61%
(
34 of
56)
3
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
5
67%
(
20 of
30)
1st Serve Won
47%
(
16 of
34)
74%
(
17 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
11 of
22)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
30%
(
16 of
53)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
29 of
56)
66
Total Points Won
43
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Nishesh Basavareddy
46%
(
26 of
57)
1st Serve %
64%
(
47 of
74)
6
Aces
1
9
Double Faults
2
77%
(
20 of
26)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
26 of
47)
55%
(
17 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
11 of
27)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
35%
(
20 of
57)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
37 of
74)
74
Total Points Won
57
|
7-5 6-2 | H2H | ||
view more
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 79% (313/81) | Win/Loss | 60% (323/218) |
| 72% (734/281) | Sets Win/Loss | 57% (781/598) |
| 57% (5567/4158) | Games Win/Loss | 53% (7171/6459) |
| 0.27 | Aces Per Game | 0.59 |
| 1306 | Aces Total | 3949 |
| 0.19 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.41 |
| 898 | Total Double Faults | 2712 |
| 1:56:6 | Average Match Time | 1:41:31 |
| 185.62 | Average Opponent Rank | 300.12 |
| 66% (19296/29397) | 1st Serve % | 59% (23365/39811) |
| 70% (13497/19296) | 1st Serve Win % | 76% (17709/23365) |
| 55% (5590/10101) | 2nd Serve Win % | 52% (8498/16445) |
| 42% (1501/3534) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 39% (1291/3341) |
| 42% (13206/31222) | Return Points Win % | 36% (14666/40442) |
| 78% (244/312) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 59% (269/453) |
| 86% (67/78) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 60% (49/82) |
| 65% (106/164) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 50% (124/247) |
| 70% (84/120) | Deciding Set Win % | 57% (101/176) |
| 93% (284/263) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 87% (303/263) |
| 7% (284/21) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 13% (303/40) |
| 44% (108/48) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 24% (236/57) |
Other Predictions
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