Prediction Of Tsitsipas Vs Sonego H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships 2025?

What Time Will Stefanos Tsitsipas Play Against Lorenzo Sonego?

Tsitsipas and Sonego are on the Day 1 Schedule at Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships 2025 on Monday 24 February 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Stefanos Tsitsipas, a 26-year-old Greek tennis player, has a 3-0 head-to-head record against his upcoming opponent Lorenzo Sonego. Their previous meetings include matches at the 2021 ATP Masters 1000 Miami, where Tsitsipas won 6-2 7-6(2), the 2021 ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati, where Tsitsipas won 5-7 6-3 6-4, and the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Rome, where Tsitsipas won 6-3 7-6(3).

Tsitsipas, currently ranked No. 11 in the world, achieved his career-high ranking of No. 3 in August 2021. He has an impressive record of 11 wins against top-3 opponents, including 2 wins against world No. 1, 4 wins against world No. 2, and 5 wins against world No. 3. Additionally, Tsitsipas has reached the semi-finals of six Grand Slam tournaments, notably making it to the finals of the 2021 Roland Garros and the 2023 Australian Open, where he lost to Novak Djokovic on both occasions.

In his early career, Tsitsipas became the youngest champion of the Next Gen ATP Finals in 2018 at the age of 20. He then won the Nitto ATP Finals in 2019 at the age of 21, becoming the youngest champion of that tournament since Lleyton Hewitt in 2001. Tsitsipas has also won 11 ATP Tour titles, including three ATP Masters 1000 Monte Carlo titles in 2021, 2022, and 2024. However, he is still seeking his first ATP 500 title, having lost in all 11 finals he has reached in this category.

A notable achievement of Tsitsipas is being the youngest player, among 30 others, to defeat Djokovic, Federer, and Nadal before turning 21. He defeated Djokovic at the 2018 Toronto, Federer at the 2019 Australian Open, and Nadal at the 2019 Madrid, sweeping the “Big 3.”

On the other hand, Lorenzo Sonego is a 29-year-old Italian tennis player currently ranked No. 35 in the world. In 2021, he reached a career-high ranking of No. 21. Sonego had a successful year, winning the Cagliari titles in singles and doubles, becoming the first Italian champion on home soil in singles since 2006 and in doubles since 2005 (with Andrea Vavassori).

Sonego broke into the top 50 rankings after winning his first ATP Tour title at the 2019 Antalya, where he saved a championship point against Miomir Kecmanovic. At the 2025 Australian Open, he reached his first Grand Slam quarter-final at the age of 29, defeating former champion Stan Wawrinka and the 2024 Next Gen ATP finalists, Francisco Fonseca and Tien Minh Nguyen. This achievement made Sonego the oldest Italian quarter-finalist in a Grand Slam since 1970.

In 2022, Sonego won his third singles title at the Metz tournament, going undefeated and defeating former champions Gilles Simon and Hubert Hurkacz along the way. He also had a significant upset in 2020 when he defeated world No. 1 Novak Djokovic 6-2 6-1 en route to the final of the Vienna tournament. This victory made Sonego the first lucky loser to defeat Djokovic and equalled the fewest games ever conceded to Djokovic in a match.

In his career, Sonego has achieved 149 tour-level wins and is now seeking his 150th win. If he achieves this feat, he will become the fourth active Italian player to do so, joining Fabio Fognini with 426 wins, Jannik Sinner with 270 wins, and Matteo Berrettini with 191 wins. However, Sonego has a challenging record against the top 20 players on hard courts, with a 7-28 win-loss record. He is currently looking for his first win since defeating world No. 13 Frances Tiafoe at the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai, having lost all 12 matches against top 20 players since then.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Tsitsipas will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Sonego, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Sonego prediction.