Thiago Moura Monteiro vs Mitchell Krueger Prediction – ATP Mutua Madrid Open – 21st April 2025 Best Bets

Thiago Moura Monteiro and Mitchell Krueger Prediction Head To Head Summary

Monteiro vs Krueger Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Monteiro has a 77.52% chance to win this match.

Monteiro → 1.29. Krueger → 3.7.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Monteiro vs Krueger Upcoming Match Details:

Monteiro will play Krueger on Clay court in the Q1 round at the ATP Mutua Madrid Open event in Madrid Men’s Singles 2025 on 21st April 2025.

Head-to-Head: Monteiro 1-0 Krueger

The current Head to Head score is 1-0. Monteiro comes into this match with a ranking of 94 , while Krueger is ranked 150.

Monteiro vs Krueger Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Krueger has won 49% of points on his second serve, while Monteiro has won 49% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Krueger has won 26% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Monteiro has won 23%. The same stats for second serve return points are 48% and 45% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Krueger has been saving 57% of his breakpoints, and Monteiro has saved 60% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Krueger performs best on Clay, winning 56% (W/L 120/93) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 38% (W/L 9/15). Monteiro performs best on Clay, winning 60% (W/L 425/278), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 9/14).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Mitchell Krueger has converted 38% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Thiago Moura Monteiro has converted 32% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Thiago Moura Monteiro played Elmer Moller in the First round at the Oeiras 4 Challenger and lost 6-3 6-7(2) 6-1 in 02:37:34 . Mitchell Krueger played Mathys Erhard in the Quarterfinals at the Tallahassee Challenger and lost 4-6 7-6(3) 7-6(3) in 03:13:17.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Thiago Moura Monteiro and Mitchell Krueger

Of their last 10 matches played, Monteiro has won 7, while Krueger has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Monteiro has won 55% of his own 2nd serve points and 38% of return points , while Krueger has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Monteiro Vs Krueger

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Monteiro has won 16 titles in his career, while Mitchell Krueger has won 9 events. Monteiro has won 51% (57631 of 113699) of points played in his entire career, and Krueger has achieved 50% (47799 of 95266). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Monteiro has won 55% of tie breaks in his entire career (222 of 407), whereas Mitchell Krueger has won 46% (129 of 278). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Thiago Moura Monteiro has an 69.15% probability of winning this match.

Thiago Moura Monteiro vs Mitchell Krueger Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Thiago Moura Monteiro To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Thiago Moura Monteiro has a 69.15% chance of winning and Mitchell Krueger has a 30.85% chance of taking the victory. We tip Monteiro to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Mutua Madrid Open – Madrid, go here.