Prediction Of Sinner Vs Safiullin H2H, Who Will Win At ATP China Open 2024?

What Time Will Jannik Sinner Play Against Roman Safiullin?

Sinner and Safiullin are on the Day 3 Schedule at China Open 2024 on Saturday 28 September 2024. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Jannik Sinner and Roman Safiullin have faced each other twice before, with Sinner leading the head-to-head 2-0. The first match took place at the 2022 ATP Cup in Australia, where Sinner won 7-6(6) 6-3 on hard court. The second match occurred in the Wimbledon quarterfinals in 2023, with Sinner winning 6-4 3-6 6-2 6-2 on grass.

Tennis Data Innovations Insights is a company that uses algorithmic software to process ball and player tracking data in real-time. Their software calculates various aspects of the game, including shot type, shot quality, situation, phase of play, and tactics for every shot. More information about their insights can be found at the ATP Tour website.

According to the 52-week averages provided by Tennis Data Innovations Insights, Jannik Sinner has a 25% conversion score in attack, a 71% steal score, a serve quality of 8.1, a return quality of 8.0, a forehand quality of 8.8, and a backhand quality of 8.4. On the other hand, Roman Safiullin has a 27% conversion score in attack, a 71% steal score, a serve quality of 7.9, a return quality of 6.3, a forehand quality of 7.7, and a backhand quality of 6.8. The tour average for these categories is a 24% conversion score in attack, a 67% steal score, a serve quality of 7.9, a return quality of 6.5, a forehand quality of 7.5, and a backhand quality of 7.1.

It is noted that Roman Safiullin spends more time in attack compared to the average player, but he is facing a player who is far from average in Jannik Sinner.

Jannik Sinner, 23 years old, is the current World No. 1 in the ATP rankings. He achieved his career-high ranking in 2024 and has a win-loss record of 56-5 for the year, including 6 titles. Sinner had an impressive rise from being unranked in 2018 to becoming the No. 1 teenager in 2020. He broke into the Top 10 at the age of 20 in 2021 and made history as the first Italian World No. 1 in the PIF ATP Rankings in June 2024. In the 2024 Australian Open, Sinner defeated 10-time champion Novak Djokovic in the semifinals and came back from two sets down in the final against Daniil Medvedev to secure his first Grand Slam title. He became the first Italian champion in Australian Open history and the second Italian man to win a Grand Slam title in the Open Era. Sinner also won the 2024 US Open, making him one of the few players to capture both hard court Grand Slams in the same season. Additionally, his 2023 season was highlighted by winning the ATP Masters 1000 title in Toronto and reaching the semifinals of the Nitto ATP Finals and the championship match of the Davis Cup, leading Italy to its first title since 1976.

Currently, Sinner is on a 12-match winning streak, having won titles at ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati and the US Open. He aims to reach his 13th quarterfinal of the season in as many events played by defeating Safiullin. If he achieves this, he will tie Alexander Zverev for the most wins on the ATP Tour this season (57). Sinner has an impressive record in tiebreaks, winning 15 out of the last 16 played and boasting a 19-6 record in 2024.

In terms of the 2024 ATP Tour win leaders, Alexander Zverev holds the top position with a win-loss record of 57-18. Jannik Sinner follows closely behind with a record of 56-5. Casper Ruud, Taylor Fritz, and Carlos Alcaraz complete the top five.

Moving on to Roman Safiullin, he is 27 years old and currently ranked World No. 69, with a career-high ranking of No. 36. In 2024, Safiullin has a win-loss record of 14-21, with his best result being a semifinal appearance in Brisbane. He broke into the top 100 in August 2022 and achieved his career-high ranking in January 2024. In 2023, Safiullin had a successful season, earning 20 wins and reaching his first ATP Tour final in Chengdu. He also defeated world No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz at the ATP Masters 1000 Paris as a qualifier to reach the third round. Notably, Safiullin reached the quarterfinals of Wimbledon as the lowest-ranked player since Nick Kyrgios in 2014. He has additional accomplishments, such as defeating Stefanos Tsitsipas, a two-time champion and world No. 4, to reach his first ATP Tour semifinal in Marseille in 2022. Safiullin had a successful junior career, with a record of 105-21 and 11 titles on the ITF Junior Circuit. He defeated players like Medvedev, Rublev, and Khachanov, and won the Australian Open junior title in 2015.

Safiullin has struggled against top 10 players throughout his career, having a 3-10 record against them, including 0-4 in 2024. However, he achieved a significant victory over world No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz at the ATP Masters 1000 Paris in 2023. He also defeated Roberto Bautista Agut in qualifying and entered the main draw as a lucky loser due to Jan-Lennard Struff’s withdrawal. Safiullin now aims to reach his sixth tour-level quarterfinal and his second of 2024.

In the past, there have been instances where lucky losers have defeated world No. 1 players. Some notable examples include Luca Nardi defeating Novak Djokovic at the 2024 ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells, David Goffin defeating Carlos Alcaraz in 2022 Astana, and Lorenzo Sonego defeating Novak Djokovic in the 2020 Vienna quarterfinals. Roman Safiullin seeks to join this list by defeating Jannik Sinner.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Sinner will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Jannik Sinner vs Roman Safiullin, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Jannik Sinner vs Roman Safiullin prediction.