Prediction Of Safiullin Vs Opelka H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Bnp Paribas Open 2025?

What Time Will Roman Safiullin Play Against Reilly Opelka?

Safiullin and Opelka are on the Day 1 Schedule at Bnp Paribas Open 2025 on Wednesday 5 March 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Roman Safiullin and Reilly Opelka will be facing each other for the first time in their careers. Tennis Data Innovations Insights utilizes algorithmic software to analyze ball and player tracking data in real-time. This software calculates various aspects of the game such as shot type, shot quality, situation, phase of play, and tactic for every shot. Further information about these insights can be found at https://www.atptour.com/en/news/news-filter-results/insights.

According to the 52-week averages provided by Insights, several statistics stand out. Safiullin has a 25% conversion score in attack, a 68% steal score, and an overall serve quality of 7.9. Additionally, his forehand quality is 6.1, while his backhand quality is 6.7. On the other hand, Opelka has a 31% conversion score in attack, a 65% steal score, and a serve quality average of 9.1. His forehand quality is 5.5, and his backhand quality is 5.4. It is also worth noting that Opelka’s serve quality average of 9.1 is the second highest on the Tour, with only Mpetshi Perricard ranking ahead of him.

Considering Opelka’s strong serve quality average, it is expected to play a significant role in this match. Opelka will aim to serve well and dominate in attack. Safiullin, on the other hand, will aim to keep the in attack score close and force Opelka into more neutral play.

Moving on to the individual profiles of the players, Roman Safiullin is 27 years old and currently ranked world No. 69. His career-high ranking was No. 36, achieved in January 2024. In 2025, Safiullin has not had a successful record so far, with a 0-5 win-loss record, all of which were first-round exits. In the previous Indian Wells tournament in 2024, Safiullin reached the second round with a 1-2 record.

Safiullin’s notable achievements include breaking into the top 100 in August 2022 and reaching a career-high ranking of No. 36 in January 2024. In 2023, he achieved a personal-best of 20 wins, including reaching his first ATP Tour final at Chengdu and defeating world No. 2 Alcaraz at ATP Masters 1000 Paris to reach the third round as a qualifier. In his main draw debut at Wimbledon as the world No. 92, Safiullin became the lowest-ranked quarter-finalist since Kyrgios in 2014. He also defeated 2-time champion and world No. 4 Tsitsipas to reach his first ATP Tour semifinal at the 2022 Marseille tournament, and he reached the semifinals on indoor hard courts at the 2022 Tel Aviv tournament.

During his junior career, Safiullin had an outstanding record of 105-21 with 11 titles on the ITF Junior Circuit. He achieved wins over notable players such as Medvedev, Rublev, and Khachanov, and concluded his junior career as the 2015 Australian Open champion. It is important to note that Safiullin has been looking for his first ATP Tour win since defeating Fognini in the Belgrade 1st round in November, as he has had a winless streak of 0-6 since then. However, he performed well in his last ATP Masters 1000 event, earning wins over No. 27 Bublik and No. 17 Tiafoe to reach the Shanghai 4th round, which matched his best result at this level (he also reached the round of 16 at the 2023 Paris tournament).

Reilly Opelka, also 27 years old, is currently ranked world No. 114. His career-high ranking was No. 17, achieved in February 2022. In 2025, Opelka has had a relatively successful record, with an 8-4 win-loss record and reaching the final of the Brisbane tournament. In the previous Indian Wells tournament in 2022, Opelka reached the fourth round.

Opelka’s notable achievements include becoming the Wimbledon junior champion and attaining the No. 1 ranking among American players in June 2021. He reached a career-high ranking of No. 17 in February 2022 but had to undergo hip surgery later in the year. Opelka has won four ATP 250 titles on American soil, including the 2022 Houston tournament, where he defeated Isner in the final. He also won the 2022 Dallas title after beating Isner in a match that included the longest tiebreak in ATP Tour history. Opelka saved match points against Raonic and defeated Nishioka on the same day to win his second title at the 2020 Delray Beach tournament. In 2019, Opelka saved six match points against Isner in the semifinals of the New York tournament and hit a remarkable 43 aces, then repeated the feat in the final against Schnur to win his first title.

Opelka’s biggest career win came at the 2021 Toronto tournament when he upset No. 3 Tsitsipas and reached his first ATP Masters 1000 final. Additionally, he defeated No. 7 Djokovic to reach the 2025 Brisbane final, breaking Djokovic’s 34-match winning streak against Americans.

Opelka is participating in his sixth Indian Wells tournament, with his previous best result being a fourth-round appearance in 2022, where he lost to No. 4 Nadal. He is currently seeking his first ATP Masters 1000 win since defeating No. 13 Shapovalov in the third round of the same Indian Wells tournament three years ago. Since then, he has had a winless streak of 0-6 in ATP Masters 1000 events.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Safiullin will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Roman Safiullin vs Reilly Opelka, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Roman Safiullin vs Reilly Opelka prediction.