Prediction Of Rublev Vs Wawrinka H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Bnp Paribas Nordic Open 2024?

What Time Will Andrey Rublev Play Against Stan Wawrinka?

Rublev and Wawrinka are on the Day 5 Schedule at Bnp Paribas Nordic Open 2024 on Friday 18 October 2024. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In their head-to-head matches, Andrey Rublev and Stan Wawrinka have faced each other four times, with their series tied at 2-2. Their first encounter was in the 2016 Chennai tournament, where Wawrinka defeated Rublev 6-3 6-2 in the round of 16. They met again in the 2019 ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati, with Rublev emerging victorious this time, winning 6-4 6-4 in the round of 32. In their third match at the 2020 ATP Masters 1000 Paris, Wawrinka came back from a set down to defeat Rublev 1-6 6-4 6-3 in the round of 16. Their most recent meeting took place in the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Madrid, where Rublev defeated Wawrinka 7-5 6-4 in the first round.

Andrey Rublev, 26 years old, currently holds the world No. 7 ranking with a career-high ranking of No. 5. In 2024, he has achieved a win-loss record of 40-20, along with two titles. He started his rise in the rankings as a former world No. 1 junior and made it into the top 20 in January 2020, the top 10 in October 2020, and the top 5 in September 2021. Notably, Rublev made a breakthrough in his career at the 2023 Monte-Carlo tournament, where he came back from a set down in both the semifinals and final to win his first ATP Masters 1000 title. He followed this success by defeating the double-defending champion, world No. 3 Carlos Alcaraz, en route to his second title at the 2024 Madrid tournament. Rublev has also defeated other top-ranked players, including world No. 3 Rafael Nadal, No. 2 Daniil Medvedev, and No. 1 Jannik Sinner, on his path to ATP Masters 1000 finals. Additionally, he has 16 ATP Tour titles to his name, including a victory over world No. 1 Novak Djokovic at the 2022 Belgrade tournament. Rublev has had an impressive career, leading the tour with 5 titles in 2020 and holding a record of 41 victories, tied for the tour-lead, in the same year. He has also won 4 consecutive titles at ATP 500 events from 2020-21. With his achievements, he has reached the quarterfinals of Grand Slam tournaments 10 times and made it to the semifinals of the 2022 Nitto ATP Finals. Furthermore, Rublev secured a gold medal in the All-ROC mixed doubles final at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics, which was held in 2021.

The upcoming match between Rublev and Wawrinka will take place in Kungliga Tennishallen in Stockholm, Sweden, from October 14th to October 20th, 2024. Rublev, who will turn 27 during the tournament, aims to reach his 42nd ATP Tour semifinal, which would be his 6th of 2024. He currently ranks No. 8 on the PIF ATP Live Race to Turin and hopes to make his fifth consecutive appearance at the Nitto ATP Finals.

Stan Wawrinka, 39 years old, is currently ranked No. 217 in the world with a career-high ranking of No. 3. In 2024, he has a win-loss record of 8-14, reaching the quarterfinals of the Stockholm tournament. Wawrinka achieved his career-high ranking of No. 3 in 2014 and maintained a top-four ranking from 2014 to 2016. However, he has faced multiple surgeries, including two on his left knee in 2017 and two on his left foot in 2021. Despite his injuries, Wawrinka has an impressive record of defeating world No. 1 players at Grand Slam tournaments, including victories over Rafael Nadal in the 2014 Australian Open final, Novak Djokovic in the 2015 Roland Garros final, and Djokovic again in the 2016 US Open final. He is one of three players, alongside Berdych and Tsonga, to have defeated Djokovic, Federer, Murray, and Nadal at Grand Slams. Wawrinka has won a total of 16 singles titles, with 11 consecutive wins in finals from 2014 to 2016. He secured his only ATP Masters 1000 title at the 2014 Monte Carlo tournament, defeating fellow Swiss Roger Federer. Wawrinka has also achieved success in doubles, winning a gold medal at the 2008 Beijing Olympics with Federer and helping Switzerland capture the 2014 Davis Cup.

In the Stockholm tournament, Wawrinka has a record of 5 wins and 3 losses, reaching the quarterfinals in 2010 and 2024. As the oldest quarterfinalist in the history of the tournament, he aims to reach his 64th tour-level semifinal, his first since 2023 Umag. Wawrinka has a historical win-loss record of 62-102 against top-10 players and hopes to secure his first victory since defeating No. 10 Frances Tiafoe in Cincinnati last year. If he achieves this, he will become the second oldest man this century to earn a top-10 win, after Feliciano Lopez at the 2021 Davis Cup Finals when he defeated world No. 5 Andrey Rublev. Wawrinka would also be the third oldest ATP Tour semifinalist since the establishment of the ATP Tour in 1990, at the age of 39 years and 6 months.

The oldest ATP Tour semifinalists since 1990 are as follows:
1. Jimmy Connors (40 years, 5 months) – 1993 San Francisco
2. Ivo Karlovic (39 years, 10 months) – 2019 Pune
3. Jimmy Connors (39 years, 5 months) – 1992 Memphis
4. Ivo Karlovic (39 years, 1 month) – 2018 Houston
5. Jimmy Connors (39 years, 26 days) – 1991 Basel

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Rublev will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Andrey Rublev vs Stan Wawrinka, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Andrey Rublev vs Stan Wawrinka prediction.