Prediction Of Khachanov Vs Rune H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell 2025?

What Time Will Karen Khachanov Play Against Holger Rune?

Khachanov and Rune are on the Day 6 Schedule at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell 2025 on Saturday 19 April 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Karen Khachanov, currently ranked 27th in the world, will be facing off against the 6th seed, Holger Rune from Denmark. This will be their first meeting on the ATP Tour.

Khachanov’s career has seen some highs and lows. In July 2019, he broke into the Top 10 and achieved his career-high ranking of No. 8, improving from his position of No. 11 at the end of the 2018 season. In 2018, he had a remarkable run at the ATP Masters 1000 Paris, where he defeated several top-10 players, including Isner, A. Zverev, Thiem, and Djokovic, to win the title. However, he then went on a 23-match losing streak against top-10 players from August 2019 to March 2023. This streak was ended by a victory over No. 3 Tsitsipas en route to reaching the semifinals of the 2023 Miami ATP Masters 1000. Interestingly, his win at the 2018 Paris tournament made him the first unseeded champion in an ATP Masters 1000 event since Nalbandian in 2007 Paris. Khachanov’s performance in Grand Slam events has also been notable, as he has reached the quarterfinals of all four majors, with highlights including semifinal runs at the 2022 US Open and the 2023 Australian Open. Additionally, he represented Team ROC at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics and earned a silver medal.

For Khachanov, this tournament in Barcelona represents an opportunity to reach his 11th tour-level final, with a current record of 7-3 in previous finals. It would be his first final on a surface other than hard courts and his fourth final above the ATP 250 level. Notably, he has a record of 11-21 against top-20 players on clay. His first two wins against top-20 players on clay came in 2016 when he defeated No. 17 Bautista Agut in the second round and in 2017 when he beat No. 10 Goffin in the third round, both at the Barcelona tournament. In terms of his previous performances on clay and grass in ATP Tour semifinals, he lost to No. 5 Federer in the 2017 Halle tournament on grass, to No. 49 Norrie in the 2021 Lyon tournament on clay, and to No. 1 Djokovic in the 2022 Belgrade tournament on clay.

On the other side, Holger Rune, 21 years old and currently ranked 13th in the world, has made a significant impact in his young career. He broke into the top 100 in January 2022, the top 50 in May 2022, and the top 10 in November 2022. His highest ranking was No. 4 in August 2023, making him the highest-ranked Danish player in the PIF ATP Rankings history (since 1973). At the age of 19, Rune captured the 2022 ATP Masters 1000 Paris title, becoming the first player since the start of the ATP Tour in 1990 to earn five top-10 wins at an event other than the Nitto ATP Finals. From the 2022 Paris tournament to the 2023 Rome tournament, he compiled an impressive 18-5 record in six ATP Masters 1000 events, finishing as the runner-up in Monte-Carlo and Rome. Rune has also shown the ability to perform well against top-ranked opponents, with a 7-1 record against the top 5 players at the start of his career. This includes wins over No. 1 ranked Alcaraz at the 2022 ATP Masters 1000 Paris and No. 1 ranked Djokovic at the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Rome. He finished the 2022 season on a strong note, with a 19-2 run, and reached his first Grand Slam quarterfinal at the 2022 Roland Garros, becoming the first Danish man to achieve this feat in tournament history (since 1925) and the first Danish man to reach a Grand Slam quarterfinal in the Open Era (since 1968).

For Rune, a win in this tournament would mark his 11th ATP Tour final, with a current record of 4-6 in previous finals. This would also help him rise to No. 9 on the PIF ATP Live Rankings and secure a return to the top 10 for the first time since the week of April 8th last year. It is worth mentioning that in his quest for the final, Rune defeated the defending champion Ruud in the quarterfinals.

Lastly, it is interesting to note the historical presence of Scandinavian players in the Barcelona final in the Open Era. Players such as Mats Wilander, Robin Soderling, Kent Carlsson, Bjorn Borg, Magnus Larsson, Magnus Gustafsson, and Casper Ruud have all reached the final at this tournament.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Khachanov will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Karen Khachanov vs Holger Rune, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Karen Khachanov vs Holger Rune prediction.