Prediction Of Fritz Vs Garin H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Australian Open 2025?

What Time Will Taylor Fritz Play Against Cristian Garin?

Fritz and Garin are on the Day 5 Schedule at Australian Open 2025 on Thursday 16 January. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

NO. 4 Taylor Fritz of the USA will face Qualifier Cristian Garin of Chile. Fritz currently leads their head-to-head with a 2-1 record. All three of their previous meetings took place on clay courts. This will be their first meeting at a Grand Slam and their first on a hard court.

Fritz has previously lost a Grand Slam match to a player ranked as low as No. 150, being defeated by No. 303 Brandon Holt in the 1st round of the 2022 US Open. The lowest-ranked player to defeat Fritz at the Australian Open is No. 113 Alexei Popyrin in the 2nd round of the 2023 tournament.

Fritz has won both of his previous matches against qualifiers at the Australian Open. He has an overall 8-3 win-loss record against qualifiers at Grand Slams and a 32-19 win-loss record against qualifiers at Tour-level.

Fritz, 27 years old, holds a current ATP ranking of No. 4, while Garin, 28 years old, is ranked at No. 150. Fritz has won 8 titles in his career, while Garin has won 5. Fritz has a career Grand Slam record of 54-33, compared to Garin’s record of 23-19. At the Australian Open, Fritz has a record of 15-8, while Garin has a record of 4-5. Overall, Fritz has a career record of 289-191, while Garin holds a record of 130-121. On hard courts, Fritz has a record of 203-131, while Garin has a record of 34-54. In the 2025 season, Fritz has a record of 5-1, with a 1-0 record on hard courts. Garin has a season record of 1-0, also with a 1-0 record on hard courts.

Fritz has a career five-set record of 12-11 and has come back from a 0-2 deficit three times. Garin has a five-set record of 8-4 and has come back from a 0-2 deficit four times. In tiebreaks, Fritz has a career record of 148-114, with a 1-1 record in 2025. Garin has a career record of 58-54, with no tiebreaks played in 2025.

Fritz is aiming to reach the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 6th time in his

career. This is his 9th Australian Open appearance and his 34th Grand Slam overall. In the 1st round of this year’s tournament, Fritz defeated Jenson Brooksby with a score of 62 60 63. In the previous year, Fritz reached the quarterfinals of the Australian Open, where he fell to Novak Djokovic after victories against Facundo Diaz Acosta, Hugo Gaston, Fabian Marozsan, and Stefanos Tsitsipas. Fritz’s best Grand Slam result came at the 2024 US Open, where he finished as runner-up. He became the first American player to reach the US Open final since 2006 and the first American to reach a men’s singles Grand Slam final since 2009 Wimbledon.

Garin is bidding to reach the 3rd round of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in his career, matching his best result. This is his 6th appearance at the Australian Open and his 20th Grand Slam overall. In the 1st round of this year’s tournament, Garin defeated Borna Coric with a score of 75 61 62, securing his first Grand Slam match-win since 2022. Garin qualified for the main draw by defeating Murkel Dellien, Laslo Djere, and Hugo Dellien. Last year, Garin lost in the 1st round to Christopher O’Connell in 5 sets. His best result at the Australian Open came in 2022 when he reached the 3rd round before falling to Gael Monfils. Overall, Garin reached the quarterfinals of Wimbledon in 2022, becoming the first Chilean man to reach the quarterfinals of a Grand Slam since 2009.

If Fritz wins the Australian Open title on his 34th Grand Slam appearance, he will join Petr Korda, Goran Ivanisevic, and Stan Wawrinka as players who won their first Grand Slam titles after many attempts. Fritz also has the opportunity to become the first American player to win the Australian Open since Andre Agassi in 2003. Garin will be aiming for another upset and to secure his first victory against a Top 5 player at a Grand Slam.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Fritz will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Taylor Fritz vs Cristian Garin, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Taylor Fritz vs Cristian Garin prediction.