

What Time Will Joao Fonseca Play Against Ugo Humbert?
Fonseca and Humbert are on the Day 4 Schedule at Miami Open Presented By Itau 2025 on Saturday 22 March 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.
Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?
Joao Fonseca, a Brazilian tennis player, will face off against Ugo Humbert from France in the Davis Cup Qualifiers. Humbert currently leads their head-to-head record, with a score of 1-0. The match will be played on a hard court in France.
Joao Fonseca, at the age of 18, is currently ranked as the World No. 60, which is his career-high ranking. In 2025, he had a record of 8 wins and 4 losses, including a title win at Buenos Aires. In the Miami Open, he has won one match so far.
Fonseca’s rise to success began when he became the junior No. 1 in September 2023 and eventually entered the Top 100 of the ATP Rankings 16 months later. He achieved his career-high ranking of No. 60 in March 2025 after winning the Phoenix CH title. At the young age of 18, Fonseca became the youngest South American tour-level champion since Perez-Roldan in 1987 and the youngest Brazilian champion in the Open Era when he won his first title at Buenos Aires in 2025. He made history by defeating the No. 9 ranked player, Rublev, in the 2025 Australian Open as a qualifier, becoming the youngest man to achieve such a victory in Australian Open history.
In addition, Fonseca showed his potential by winning all of his matches at the 2024 Next Gen ATP Finals, where he joined Alcaraz and Sinner as the only 18-year-old champions in the event’s history. He also made his ATP Tour debut in his hometown of Rio de Janeiro in 2023, earning his first ATP Tour wins by defeating No. 36 Fils and former champion Garin in 2024. Fonseca’s journey in tennis began as a fan watching Nadal win the title in 2014.
At the junior level, Fonseca displayed his talent by winning the 2023 US Open boys’ singles event, which helped him reach the No. 1 ranking in the junior rankings. He also reached the quarter-finals at the Australian Open, Roland Garros, and Wimbledon earlier in the same season.
Fonseca aims to become the youngest man to reach the ATP Masters 1000 3R, following in the footsteps of Alcaraz, who achieved this at the 2021 Paris tournament. He also hopes to become the youngest man to reach the Miami 3R since del Potro accomplished this feat in 2007. Fonseca currently holds a 2-2 record against top 20 players, with wins over No. 20 Fils at the Next Gen ATP Finals and No. 9 Rublev in the 2025 Australian Open.
On the other hand, Ugo Humbert, a talented French player, is 26 years old and ranked as the World No. 20, with a career-high ranking of No. 13. In 2025, he has a record of 11 wins and 4 losses, including a title win at Marseille. In the Miami Open, he has reached the third round on two occasions, in 2021 and 2024.
Humbert broke into the top 20 in November 2023 and achieved his career-high ranking of No.13 in April 2024. He earned this ranking soon after winning the Dubai tournament. Humbert made history by becoming the third player in the Open Era to win their sixth ATP Tour title in their sixth final, joining the likes of Gulbis and Klizan. He has a current record of 6 wins and 2 losses in ATP Tour finals.
His success continued on French indoor hard courts, where he went on a 13-match winning streak and won titles at Metz in 2023 and Marseille in 2024. Humbert’s journey to the 2024 Paris Masters was highlighted by an impressive victory over the No. 2 ranked player, Alcaraz. This win led him to his first ATP Masters 1000 final. In 2021, Humbert had notable wins over No. 6 A. Zverev and No. 7 Rublev on his way to capturing his third career title in Halle.
Humbert’s first ATP Tour title was earned in 2020 at Auckland when he was 21 years old. He became the youngest French champion since Gasquet won in Mumbai in 2007. He also had a memorable match against Evans, where he saved four match points to claim his second ATP Tour title at Antwerp in the same year.
In the Challenger circuit, Humbert showcased his potential by defeating former No. 3 Thiem to win his seventh Challenger title at Rennes in 2022. He continued his success by earning his eighth and ninth Challenger titles within a three-week span in May 2023 at Cagliari and Bordeaux respectively.
In ATP Masters 1000 tournaments since the start of the 2024 season, Humbert has maintained a record of 14 wins and 9 losses. His notable performance includes reaching the final of the Paris Masters in November last year. Currently, he aims to achieve the same level of success in the Miami Open and extend his impressive 10-1 record against players ranked outside the top 50 since September. His only loss to a lower-ranked player was against Goffin, who was ranked No. 54, in the Basel tournament after holding three match points.
Both Joao Fonseca and Ugo Humbert have remarkable achievements and are determined to succeed in their upcoming match at the Davis Cup Qualifiers.
My Conclusion / Prediction:
My pick is that Fonseca will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.
To find out who our model thinks will win for Joao Fonseca vs Ugo Humbert, have a look at the prediction here:
Matchstat.com Joao Fonseca vs Ugo Humbert prediction.