Prediction Of Fearnley Vs Minaur H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell 2025?

What Time Will Jacob Fearnley Play Against Alex de Minaur?

Fearnley and Minaur are on the Day 4 Schedule at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell 2025 on Thursday 17 April 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

[LL] Jacob Fearnley (GBR) and [5] Alex de Minaur (AUS) will be facing each other for the first time. Looking at their 52-week averages, Fearnley has a 24% conversion rate in attack, a 70% score steal rate, a 33% serve quality, a 7.7 forehand quality, a 6.1 backhand quality, a 7.2 return quality, and a 7.0 overall quality. On the other hand, de Minaur has a 21% conversion rate in attack, a 69% score steal rate, a 38% serve quality, a 7.4 forehand quality, a 7.3 backhand quality, a 7.8 return quality, and a 7.7 overall quality. The tour average for these stats stands at 24% conversion rate, 69% score steal rate, 31% serve quality, 7.9 forehand quality, 6.5 backhand quality, 7.5 return quality, and 7.1 overall quality.

Jacob Fearnley, 23 years old, is currently ranked 74th in the world with a career-high ranking of 73. In 2025, he has a win-loss record of 5-4, reaching the third round of the Australian Open and the second round of the Barcelona tournament. Fearnley’s rise in the rankings has been impressive, starting as unranked in July 2023 and reaching the top 500 in June 2024, top 200 in August 2024, and top 100 in September 2024. He achieved his career-high ranking of 73 after reaching the third round of the Australian Open. Fearnley made his ATP Tour debut as a wild card entry at the 2024 Eastbourne tournament, losing in the first round to B. Harris but defeating Moro Canas at Wimbledon for his first tour-level win before losing to 7-time champion Djokovic in the second round. In 2024, Fearnley had an impressive record in Challenger events, going 27-3 with titles in Nottingham 2, Lincoln, Rennes, and Orleans, boasting the highest win percentage in a season at the Challenger level since 2011. He also had notable wins in his junior career, defeating future world number ones Alcaraz in the 2018 Sanxenxo Grade 2 final and Sinner in the 2017 Malta ITF U18 Grade 4 first round. Fearnley spent five years playing college tennis for Texas Christian University, becoming a four-time ITA All-American and helping his team secure the national championship in his final year. Fearnley’s clay court journey has begun well, as he secured his first clay ATP Tour win against Carballes Baena in the first round and is now looking to reach his first ATP Tour quarterfinal in his first professional clay tournament. He has a record of 0-3 against top 10 players and aims to claim the biggest win of his career, aiming to become the first Brit to defeat a top 10 player on clay since Norrie defeated Alcaraz in 2023 Rio de Janeiro. Fearnley entered the Barcelona draw as a lucky loser, defeating L. Borg in the first qualifying round and losing to Galan in the second qualifying round. He eventually entered the main draw when Thompson withdrew due to injury.

Alex de Minaur, 26 years old, is currently ranked 7th in the world with a career-high ranking of 6th. In 2025, he has a win-loss record of 21-7, reaching the final of the Rotterdam tournament and having a 7-4 record in Barcelona, including a semifinal appearance in 2022. De Minaur has achieved significant milestones in his career, finishing as a runner-up in the Next Gen ATP Finals twice and reaching a career-high ranking of 6th in July 2024. He became the first Australian to qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals in singles since Hewitt in 2004. De Minaur has won a total of 9 ATP Tour titles, with his biggest victories coming in Acapulco in 2023 and 2024. He reached his first Grand Slam quarterfinal at the 2020 US Open immediately after winning his first ATP Tour doubles title at the 2020 ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati. De Minaur has also reached quarterfinals in Grand Slam events at the 2024 Roland Garros, Wimbledon, and US Open, as well as the quarterfinals, semifinals, and final of ATP Masters 1000 events. In Davis Cup play for Australia, he achieved a 6-1 record in the 2022 season, leading Australia to its first final since 2003 and defeating top-ranked players Nadal in 2023 and Djokovic in 2024 at the United Cup. De Minaur has a multicultural background, with a Uruguayan father, a Spanish mother, and splitting his time between Australia and Spain. He is fluent in English, Spanish, and French. In Barcelona, de Minaur aims to reach his 50th tour-level quarterfinal, joining Auger-Aliassime and Sinner as the third player born in 1999 or later to achieve this feat. In 2025, he has an 18-1 record after winning the first set (losing only to Musetti in the Monte-Carlo semifinals) and an impressive 35-2 record against players ranked outside the top 30 since May. Additionally, de Minaur has the most ATP 500 wins since the start of the 2023 season with 36-13, including title victories in Acapulco in 2023 and 2024.

That wraps up the insights and background information on Jacob Fearnley and Alex de Minaur, providing a breakdown of their statistics, career achievements, and key highlights leading up to their upcoming match in Barcelona.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Fearnley will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Jacob Fearnley vs Alex de Minaur, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Jacob Fearnley vs Alex de Minaur prediction.