Prediction Of Draper Vs Khachanov H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Erste Bank Open 2024?

What Time Will Jack Draper Play Against Karen Khachanov?

Draper and Khachanov are on the Day 7 Schedule at Erste Bank Open 2024 on Sunday 27 October 2024. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In the match between Jack Draper (GBR) and Karen Khachanov, Khachanov leads the head-to-head with a score of 2-1. They previously faced each other in the 22 US Open (U.S.A.), where Khachanov won 6-3 4-6 6-5 RET in the Hard R32. They also played in Adelaide-1 (Australia) in the Hard R16, where Khachanov won 6-4 6-2, and in Adelaide-2 (Australia) in the Hard QF, where Draper won 6-4 7-6(3).

Data Innovations Insights utilizes algorithmic software to analyze ball and player tracking data in real-time, determining shot type, shot quality, situation, phase of play, and tactics for each shot. More information about these insights can be found at https://www.atptour.com/en/news/insights-introduction.

Looking at the insights from Vienna 2024, we can see the following stats:

Player In Attack Conversion Score Steal Score Serve Quality Return Quality Forehand Quality Backhand Quality
Draper 36% 68% 40% 8.8 8.1 7.9 7.9
Khachanov 25% 70% 34% 8.8 8.1 8.6 8.2
Tour Average 24% 67% 33% 7.9 6.5 7.1

The biggest difference in Khachanov’s numbers in Vienna compared to his 52-week average is in his Serve Quality score, which is +0.6. On the other hand, Draper’s biggest difference is in his Return Quality, with a +1.1 improvement.

Jack Draper, 22 years old and currently ranked 18th in the world, achieved a career-high ranking 22 times in 2022. He broke into the Top 200 in February, the Top 100 in June, and reached a career-high of No. 18 in October 2024. Draper advanced to the semifinals of the 2024 US Open without dropping a set and became the fourth British man in the Open Era to reach the US Open semis. He lost to eventual champion Sinner in that match. Draper secured his first ATP Tour title by defeating 2-time champion Berrettini in the 2024 Stuttgart final, and he earned his biggest career win over No. 2 Alcaraz at Queen’s Club 2R the following week. In 2022, he reached his first ATP Tour semifinal in Eastbourne as a wildcard, defeated top 10 player Tsitsipas en route to the Montreal QF as a qualifier, and defeated No. 8 Auger-Aliassime to reach the US Open 3R. Draper achieved his first and second ATP Tour wins by defeating Sinner and Bublik in two tiebreaks, reaching the 2021 London/Queen’s Club QF as the 309th-ranked wildcard. He ended his junior career by reaching a career-high No. 7 and the 2018 Wimbledon boys’ singles final.

Note that Draper is 1-2 in ATP Tour finals and is looking for his second title, which would be his first above the ATP 250 level. He previously won the Stuttgart title in June 2024 by defeating Berrettini. He reached a career-high No. 15 on the PIF ATP Rankings and would become the third different left-handed champion in Vienna this century after F. Lopez in 2004 and J. Melzer in 2009-10.

Here is a list of British ATP 500 champions:
– Andy Murray: 2009 Rotterdam, 2009 and 2014 Valencia, 2011 Tokyo, 2015-16 London/Queen’s Club, 2016 Beijing, 2016 Vienna, 2017 Dubai
– Daniel Evans: 2023 Washington
– Cameron Norrie: 2023 Rio de Janeiro

Karen Khachanov, 28 years old and currently ranked 24th in the world, broke into the Top 10 and achieved a career-high ranking of No. 8 in July 2019 after ending the 2018 season at No. 11. He upset top-10 players such as Isner, A. Zverev, Thiem, and Djokovic on his way to winning the 2018 ATP Masters 1000 Paris title. However, he experienced a 23-match losing streak to top-10 players from August 2019 to March 2023 before defeating No. 3 Tsitsipas en route to the 2023 Miami ATP Masters 1000 SF. He became the first unseeded ATP Masters 1000 champion since Nalbandian in 2007 at the 2018 Paris event. Khachanov advanced to the quarterfinals of all four Grand Slam events, with highlights including reaching the 2022 US Open SF and the 2023 Australian Open SF. He represented Team ROC in the 2020 Tokyo Olympics and won a silver medal. Khachanov is 7-2 in tour-level finals, with a perfect 4-0 record indoors. He is aiming to win his first ATP 500 title in Vienna and is looking to win three titles in a season for the second time in his career, following his success in 2018 (Marseille, Moscow, ATP Masters 1000 Paris). He is currently on an 8-match winning streak after winning the Almaty event last week. Khachanov is ranked No. 21 on the PIF ATP Live Rankings and could return to the Top 20 at No. 18 for the first time since May if he wins the title.

The PIF ATP Live Race to Turin rankings currently stand as follows:
1. Jannik Sinner (ITA) – 10,330 points
2. Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) – 6,710 points
3. Alexander Zverev (GER) – 6,315 points
4. Daniil Medvedev – 4,820 points
5. Taylor Fritz (USA) – 4,290 points
6. Novak Djokovic (SRB) – 3,910 points
7. Casper Ruud (NOR) – 3,845 points
8. Andrey Rublev – 3,720 points
9. Alex de Minaur (AUS) – 3,555 points
10. Grigor Dimitrov (BUL) – 3,150 points
11. Tommy Paul (USA) – 3,135 points
12. Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE) – 2,975 points
13. Holger Rune (DEN) – 2,675 points
14. Hubert Hurkacz (POL) – 2,630 points
15. Frances Tiafoe (USA) – 2,600 points
16. Lorenzo Musetti (ITA) – 2,600 points
17. Jack Draper (GBR) – 2,425 points
22. Karen Khachanov – 2,010 points

Bolded players have qualified for the 2024 Nitto ATP Finals in Turin.

In the doubles final, Alexander Erler (AUT) and Lucas Miedler (AUT) will face off against Neal Skupski (GBR) and Michael Venus (NZL). Skupski and Venus hold a 1-0 record against Erler and Miedler, having defeated them 6-7(5) 6-3 7-6(5) in the Wimbledon Grass R64. Erler and Miedler, an Austrian duo, have a 67-50 record as a pair on the tour-level and have won 6 ATP Tour titles together. They are currently on a 7-match winning streak after winning the Antwerp event last week. Skupski, from the UK, previously won the Vienna doubles title in 2018 with Salisbury and finished as the runner-up in 2020 with J. Murray. Venus, from New Zealand, is the second finalist from his country in Vienna after Evernden in 1989. Skupski and Venus are ranked No. 13 on the PIF ATP Doubles Team Rankings and are aiming to win their second ATP 500 title of the year.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Draper will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Jack Draper vs Karen Khachanov, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Jack Draper vs Karen Khachanov prediction.