Prediction Of Carabelli Vs Faria H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Rio Open Presented By Claro 2025?

What Time Will Camilo Ugo Carabelli Play Against Jaime Faria?

Carabelli and Faria are on the Day 5 Schedule at Rio Open Presented By Claro 2025 on Friday 21 February 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In the upcoming match, Camilo Ugo Carabelli from Argentina will be facing off against Jaime Faria from Portugal. This will be the first meeting between the two players. Carabelli, who is 25 years old, is currently ranked 91st in the world, with his career-high ranking being 87th in February 2025. He broke into the top 200 in January 2022 and reached the top 100 in August 2022. In 2025, he has a win-loss record of 2-2, with his best performance being reaching the quarterfinals in Rio. Specifically in Rio, Carabelli has won both of his matches in the 2025 quarterfinals so far.

Carabelli’s journey to the top has been notable. He achieved his career-high ranking after winning his 8th Challenger title in Rosario. In the 2022 Roland Garros, he did not drop a set in the qualifying rounds and went on to win a five-set tiebreak against the 41st ranked player, Karatsev, in his tour-level debut. In 2024, he won ATP Tour matches in Buenos Aires and Umag, although he lost to top 10 players Alcaraz and Rublev in the second round of each tournament, respectively. Carabelli also dominated the Challenger tour in terms of match wins, with 49 victories. He has a record of 160-87 in Challengers, with 8 wins and 8 losses in finals. Notable titles he has won include the 2021 Warsaw, 2022 Buenos Aires-2, 2022 Lima, 2023 Antofagasta, 2024 Piracicaba, 2024 Santa Cruz, 2024 Villa Maria, and 2025 Rosario. During his junior career, Carabelli reached a ranking of No. 70 and won 2 boys’ singles and 4 boys’ doubles titles.

On the other hand, Jaime Faria is a 21-year-old player from Portugal who is currently ranked 107th in the world, with his career-high ranking being 106th in February 2025. Faria achieved his new career-high ranking 24 times in 2024, breaking into the top 400 in January, top 300 in March, and top 200 in May. He peaked at No. 106 in February 2025. Faria qualified to make his ATP Tour debut at the 2024 Estoril tournament and also qualified for the 2024 Bastad and 2025 Australian Open. In the 2025 Australian Open, Faria defeated Kotov in the first round to secure his first tour-level win, becoming the youngest Portuguese man to play and win a match in a Grand Slam main draw since Marques in the 1991 US Open. Faria holds a record of 31-23 on the ATP Challenger Tour, with 2 wins and 1 loss in finals. Notable titles he has won include the 2024 Oeiras-4 and Curitiba. Additionally, Faria had an impressive 20-match winning streak on the ITF World Tennis Tour in February and March 2024, winning 4 consecutive titles.

This is a significant moment for Faria as he is playing in his first ATP Tour quarterfinal and is the second Portuguese player to reach the Rio quarterfinals, following Sousa in 2014. Faria is currently ranked 87th on the PIF ATP Live Rankings and is set to make his top 100 debut on Monday, with the possibility of reaching No. 74 if he wins the quarterfinal match. If Faria achieves a win, he will become the first Portuguese player to reach a semifinal above the ATP 250 level.

It is interesting to note that the winner of this match will become the eighth lucky loser to reach an ATP 500 series semifinal since its introduction in 2009. Previous lucky losers who have made it to the semifinals include Marcel Granollers in the 2010 Valencia tournament (reaching the final), Borna Coric in the 2015 Dubai tournament (reaching the semifinals), Leonardo Mayer in the 2017 Hamburg tournament (winning the championship), Andreas Seppi in the 2018 Rotterdam tournament (reaching the semifinals), Peter Gojowczyk in the 2019 Washington tournament (reaching the semifinals), Attila Balazs in the 2020 Rio de Janeiro tournament (reaching the semifinals), and Lorenzo Sonego in the 2020 Vienna tournament (reaching the final).

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Carabelli will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jaime Faria, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jaime Faria prediction.