Prediction Of Berrettini Vs Tsitsipas H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Bnp Paribas Open 2025?

What Time Will Matteo Berrettini Play Against Stefanos Tsitsipas?

Berrettini and Tsitsipas are on the Day 5 Schedule at Bnp Paribas Open 2025 on Sunday 9 March 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Matteo Berrettini from Italy will be facing Stefanos Tsitsipas from Greece in their upcoming match. Tsitsipas currently leads the head-to-head record between the two players, with a 4-1 advantage. Here is a breakdown of their previous meetings:

1. Australian Open 2019 (Hard Court, Round of 128): Tsitsipas defeated Berrettini with a score of 6-7(3) 6-4 6-3 7-6(4).
2. Australian Open 2021 (Hard Court, Round of 16): Tsitsipas won by walkover.
3. ATP Masters 1000 Rome 2021 (Clay Court, Round of 16): Tsitsipas defeated Berrettini with a score of 7-6(3) 6-2.
4. United Cup 2023 (Hard Court, Semifinals): Tsitsipas won with a score of 4-6 7-6(2) 6-4.
5. Gstaad 2024 (Clay Court, Semifinals): Berrettini got the victory with a score of 7-6(6) 7-5.
6. Dubai 2025 (Hard Court, Quarterfinals): Tsitsipas claimed the win with a score of 7-6(5) 1-6 6-4.
7. US Open Qualifying 2025 (Hard Court, Second Qualifying Round): Tsitsipas won in a tough battle with a score of 6-7(6) 7-6(4) 7-6(2).

Their most recent meeting in Dubai can provide some insights into their playing styles. According to the algorithmic software used by Tennis Data Innovations Insights, Tsitsipas had a higher percentage of successful attacks, conversions, and steals compared to Berrettini. He also displayed better serve, return, forehand, and backhand quality. However, despite Berrettini leading in all seven insights, Tsitsipas managed to turn the game around in the deciding set. He dominated the in-attack battle, converting 88% of attacking opportunities.

Now let’s take a brief look at the profiles of both players:

Matteo Berrettini, aged 28, is currently ranked 29th in the world. He achieved his career-high ranking of 6th in 2025. Notable accomplishments include reaching the semifinals of the 2022 Australian Open, becoming the 3rd highest-ranked Italian player since the PIF ATP Rankings began. He also made history by being the first Italian men’s singles finalist at Wimbledon in 2021 and the first Italian Grand Slam finalist since 1976. Berrettini has an impressive record on grass and has won four ATP Tour titles on this surface. He aims to win back-to-back ATP Masters 1000 matches in Indian Wells and improve his 10-25 record against the top 10 players.

Stefanos Tsitsipas, aged 26, is currently ranked 9th in the world. He reached a career-high ranking of 3rd in 2021 and has an impressive record of 11 wins against top-3 opponents. Tsitsipas has reached the semifinals of six Grand Slam tournaments, including the finals of the 2021 Roland Garros and the 2023 Australian Open. He became the youngest champion of the Nitto ATP Finals in 2019 and has won a total of 12 ATP Tour titles. Tsitsipas has defeated the “Big 3” (Djokovic, Federer, and Nadal) before turning 21 and is currently on a 6-match winning streak after winning the Dubai title. He aims to continue his success in Indian Wells and add another victory to his impressive record.

In their upcoming match, Berrettini will try to capitalize on his strengths on grass and aim for his first Top 10 win at the ATP Masters 1000 level. Tsitsipas, on the other hand, will look to continue his winning streak and reach the fourth round of the Indian Wells tournament for the third time.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Berrettini will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Matteo Berrettini vs Stefanos Tsitsipas, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Matteo Berrettini vs Stefanos Tsitsipas prediction.