Prediction Of Baez Vs Carabelli H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Ieb+ Argentina Open 2025?

What Time Will Sebastian Baez Play Against Camilo Ugo Carabelli?

Baez and Carabelli are on the Day 2 Schedule at Ieb+ Argentina Open 2025 on Tuesday 11 February 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Sebastian Baez will face Camilo Ugo Carabelli in their first tour-level meeting. However, they have previously met in several other matches:

– In the Argentina F8 tournament on clay, Carabelli defeated Baez with a score of 6-3, 6-1.
– In the Argentina F12 tournament on clay, Baez overcame Carabelli with a score of 3-6, 6-3, 6-3.
– At the M25 Jablonec Nad Nisou tournament in Czechia on clay, Baez emerged victorious against Carabelli in the quarterfinals by a score of 6-1, 6-7(2), 6-3.
– In the Santiago CH tournament on clay, Baez again defeated Carabelli in the quarterfinals with a score of 6-2, 6-1.

Now, let’s take a closer look at Sebastian Baez:

– Baez is 24 years old and currently ranked World No. 31, with his career-high ranking being No. 18.
– In 2025, he has a record of 0-2, reaching the second round in Auckland. Overall, his career record stands at 3-3 in tour-level events, with a quarterfinal appearance in 2024.
– Baez experienced a breakthrough in March 2024 when he entered the Top 20 after winning consecutive ATP Tour titles in Rio de Janeiro and Santiago. He achieved his highest ranking, No. 18, in June of that year.
– In the 2023 season, Baez went on an impressive 12-match winning streak, securing titles in Kitzbuhel and Winston-Salem. He also reached the third round in a Grand Slam for the first time at the US Open.
– Baez captured his first ATP Tour title in 2022 at Estoril and his second title on home soil at Cordoba in 2023. His victory in Cordoba was notable as he entered the tournament with six straight losses and 17 losses in the previous 18 matches.
– Throughout his career, Baez steadily climbed the rankings, breaking into the top 300, 200, and 100 in 2021. He excelled in Challenger events, with a 6-3 record in finals, second only to Griekspoor’s eight titles in 2021.
– As a junior, Baez reached the pinnacle of the rankings, becoming the World No. 1 in March 2018. He reached the boys’ singles final at Roland Garros and won the boys’ doubles gold medal at the Youth Olympics in Buenos Aires alongside Diaz Acosta.

Now, let’s turn our attention to Camilo Ugo Carabelli:

– Carabelli is 25 years old and currently ranked World No. 87, which is his career-high ranking.
– In 2025, he has a record of 0-1, exiting in the first round of the Australian Open. His overall record in tour-level events stands at 2-2, reaching the second round in previous years.
– Carabelli broke into the top 200 in January 2022 and then into the top 100 in August of the same year. His highest ranking, No. 87, was achieved in February 2025 after winning the Rosario Challenger title.
– In his debut at the Roland Garros tournament in 2022, Carabelli didn’t drop a single set in qualifying and won a fifth-set tiebreak against No. 41 Karatsev in his first-ever tour-level match.
– In 2024, Carabelli secured ATP Tour wins in Buenos Aires and Umag, although he lost to top-ranked players Alcaraz and Rublev in the second round of those tournaments. He also led the Challenger tour in most match wins, accumulating 49 victories.
– Carabelli has a strong record in the Challenger circuit, with a win-loss ratio of 160-87, including eight titles. His championship victories came in Warsaw 2021, Buenos Aires-2 2022, Lima 2022, Antofagasta 2023, Piracicaba 2024, Santa Cruz 2024, Villa Maria 2024, and Rosario 2025.
– In his junior career, Carabelli reached a peak ranking of No. 70 on the ITF circuit. He won two boys’ singles titles and four boys’ doubles titles.

Some additional notes about the players:

– Baez led the ATP Tour in clay wins in 2024, securing 26 victories. He is currently seeking his first tour-level win since the US Open, and he has an 8-2 record in his last ten matches against his fellow countrymen on clay.
– Carabelli has earned two of his career wins in Buenos Aires and is looking to achieve his biggest career victory against a Top 50 player. Since the start of the 2024 season, he has accumulated the most Challenger wins, totaling 56, including five en route to his eighth Challenger title in Rosario last week.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Baez will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli prediction.