Denis Shapovalov and Marcos Giron Prediction Head To Head Summary

Shapovalov vs Giron Prediction:
Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Shapovalov has a 61.51% win this match.
Shapovalov → 1.63. Giron → 2.5.
BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.
Shapovalov vs Giron Upcoming Match Details:
Shapovalov will play Giron on Hard court in the Quarterfinals at the ATP Abierto Mexicano Telcel event in Acapulco Men’s Singles 2025 on 28th February 2025.
Head-to-Head: Shapovalov 0-2 Giron
The current Head to Head score is 0-2. Shapovalov comes into this match with a ranking of 32 , while Giron is ranked 52.
Shapovalov vs Giron Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Giron has won 42% of points on his second serve, while Shapovalov has won 47% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Giron has won 23% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Shapovalov has won 20%. The same stats for second serve return points are 43% and 43% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Giron has been saving 57% of his breakpoints, and Shapovalov has saved 55% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Surface prediction: Giron performs best on I.hard, winning 60% (W/L 72/49) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 42% (W/L 31/42). Shapovalov performs best on I.hard, winning 63% (W/L 81/48), and performs worse on Grass, winning 50% (W/L 24/24).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Marcos Giron has converted 35% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Denis Shapovalov has converted 27% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Denis Shapovalov played Alex Michelsen in the Second round at the Abierto Mexicano Telcel – Acapulco and won 6-4 6-3 in 01:24:00 . Marcos Giron played Adam Walton in the First round at the Abierto Mexicano Telcel – Acapulco and won 7-6(4) 6-2 in 01:34:52.
Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Denis Shapovalov and Marcos Giron
Of their last 10 matches played, Shapovalov has won 8, while Giron has won 7. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Shapovalov has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points , while Giron has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points.
Gemma@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Shapovalov Vs Giron

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Shapovalov has won 12 titles in his career, while Marcos Giron has won 9 events. Shapovalov has won 51% (40100 of 78633) of points played in his entire career, and Giron has achieved 51% (44884 of 88400). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Shapovalov has won 52% of tie breaks in his entire career (121 of 234), whereas Marcos Giron has won 51% (142 of 277). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Denis Shapovalov has an 61.51% probability of winning this match.
Denis Shapovalov vs Marcos Giron Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Denis Shapovalov To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Denis Shapovalov has a 61.51% chance of winning and Marcos Giron has a 38.49% chance of taking the victory. We tip Shapovalov to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Value Bets For Denis Shapovalov vs Marcos Giron
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.
To see all live tennis scores for the Abierto Mexicano Telcel – Acapulco, go here.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Denis Shapovalov
- Goffin vs Shapovalov H2H (2-1) , could play in The Final
- Nakashima vs Shapovalov H2H (2-1) , could play in The Final
- Machac vs Shapovalov H2H (0-1) , could play in The Final
- Tien vs Shapovalov H2H (0-0) , could play in The Final
- Shapovalov vs Mendez H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
- Shapovalov vs Fokina H2H (1-0) , could play in The Semifinals
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Marcos Giron
- Goffin vs Giron H2H (1-2) , could play in The Final
- Nakashima vs Giron H2H (2-0) , could play in The Final
- Machac vs Giron H2H (1-0) , could play in The Final
- Tien vs Giron H2H (0-0) , could play in The Final
- Giron vs Mendez H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
- Giron vs Fokina H2H (0-2) , could play in The Semifinals