Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise Mertens Prediction – WTA Porsche Tennis Grand Prix – 19th April 2025 Best Bets

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Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise Mertens Prediction – WTA Porsche Tennis Grand Prix  – 19th April 2025 Best Bets

Aryna Sabalenka and Elise Mertens Prediction Head To Head Summary

Sabalenka Vs Mertens H2H Summary Stats 19th April 2025

Sabalenka vs Mertens Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Sabalenka has a 81.30% chance to win this match.

Sabalenka → 1.23. Mertens → 4.91.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Sabalenka vs Mertens Upcoming Match Details:

Sabalenka will play Mertens on Clay court in the Quarterfinals at the WTA Porsche Tennis Grand Prix event in Stuttgart Women’s Singles 2025 on 19th April 2025.

Head-to-Head: Sabalenka 8-2 Mertens

The current Head to Head score is 8-2. Sabalenka comes into this match with a ranking of 1 , while Mertens is ranked 29.

Sabalenka vs Mertens Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

  • Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Mertens has won 40% of points on his second serve, while Sabalenka has won 40% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
  • Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Mertens has won 27% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Sabalenka has won 29%. The same stats for second serve return points are 49% and 49% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
  • Performance under pressure prediction: Mertens has been saving 51% of his breakpoints, and Sabalenka has saved 51% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Surface prediction: Mertens performs best on Hard, winning 66% (W/L 272/142) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 52% (W/L 34/31). Sabalenka performs best on Hard, winning 74% (W/L 284/102), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 63% (W/L 41/24).
  • In play break point conversion prediction: Elise Mertens has converted 33% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Aryna Sabalenka has converted 38% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
  • Last match played: In the match before this one, Aryna Sabalenka played Jessica Pegula in the Final at the Miami Open – Miami and won 7-5 6-2 in 01:28:43 . Elise Mertens played Diana Shnaider in the Second round at the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix – Stuttgart and won 6-2 7-6(5) in 01:48:50.

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Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Sabalenka Vs Mertens Prediction Stats At Porsche Tennis Grand Prix  Day 6

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Aryna Sabalenka and Elise Mertens

Of their last 10 matches played, Sabalenka has won 9, while Mertens has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Sabalenka has won 51% of her own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points , while Mertens has won 44% of her own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points.

Megan@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Sabalenka Vs Mertens

Sabalenka Vs Mertens Prediction H2H & All Porsche Tennis Grand Prix  Day 6 Predictions

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Sabalenka has won 28 titles in her career, while Elise Mertens has won 20 events. Sabalenka has won 53% (44678 of 84856) of points played in her entire career, and Mertens has achieved 52% (40000 of 77135). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Sabalenka has won 57% of tie breaks in his entire career (93 of 162), whereas Elise Mertens has won 46% (64 of 139). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Aryna Sabalenka has an 56.59% probability of winning this match.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise Mertens Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Aryna Sabalenka has a 56.59% chance of winning and Elise Mertens has a 43.41% chance of taking the victory. We tip Sabalenka to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix – Stuttgart, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Aryna Sabalenka

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Elise Mertens