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Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

By Wojtek Kolan

Head-To-Head: Sabalenka 3 - 1 Ostapenko

They have played 9 sets in total, with Sabalenka winning 6 and Ostapenko winning 3. The last match between Sabalenka and Ostapenko was at the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart, 21-04-2025, Round: Final, Surface: Clay, with Jelena Ostapenko getting the victory 6-4 6-1.

Players Head-To-Head Match Wins
Aryna Sabalenka 3
Jelena Ostapenko 1

LAST H2H MATCH: Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart(21-04-2025)

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6 4
6 1
Sabalenka vs Ostapenko H2H Profile
Sabalenka Stats Ostapenko
85% (34-6) YTD Win/Loss 54% (13-11)
3 Head-to-Head 1
1 Ranking 21
1 Highest Rank 5
27 Age 27
R Plays R
26 Titles 16
70% (458-195) Career Total W/L 62% (404-250)
$29,142,898 Career Prize Money $11,349,342
3 YTD Titles 1
2 Hard H2H 0
1 Clay H2H 1

Today’s Tennis Tips:

Norrie VS Machac PREDICTION Clay

Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva atp

21 May 2025 / Second

ODDS
OUR PREDICTION
EDGE

Cameron Norrie

To Win

55.39 %
18.35%

Basilashvili VS Vacherot PREDICTION Clay

French Open - Paris atp

21 May 2025 / Q2 round

ODDS
OUR PREDICTION
EDGE

Nikoloz Basilashvili

To Win

58.74 %
11.57%

Sabalenka VS Ostapenko H2H Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 6-1
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
60% ( 31 of 52)
1st Serve %
52% ( 34 of 65)
4
Aces
6
4
Double Faults
4
81% ( 25 of 31)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 18 of 34)
29% ( 6 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 11 of 31)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
40% ( 21 of 52)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 36 of 65)
67
Total Points Won
50
6-2 6-4
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
76% ( 37 of 49)
1st Serve %
73% ( 46 of 63)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
81% ( 30 of 37)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 31 of 46)
50% ( 6 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 6 of 17)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
27% ( 13 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 26 of 63)
62
Total Points Won
50
2-6 6-1 6-1
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
60% ( 39 of 65)
1st Serve %
58% ( 46 of 79)
5
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
7
69% ( 27 of 39)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 26 of 46)
50% ( 13 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 11 of 33)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
38% ( 25 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 42 of 79)
82
Total Points Won
62
6-1 6-2
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
65% ( 28 of 43)
1st Serve %
47% ( 22 of 47)
7
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
10
64% ( 18 of 28)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 13 of 22)
60% ( 9 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
16% ( 4 of 25)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
37% ( 16 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
64% ( 30 of 47)
57
Total Points Won
33

Sabalenka VS Ostapenko H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Sabalenka Vs Ostapenko H2H Stats
Aryna Sabalenka Sabalenka Stats Jelena Ostapenko Ostapenko
3 H2H Matches 1
6 Sets Won 3
43 Games Won 29
20 Aces (Total) 14
9 Total Double Faults 25
1:18:34 Average Match Time 1:18:34
62% (138/222) 1st Serve % 60% (145/241)
67% (93/138) 1st Serve Win % 66% (95/145)
46% (39/84) 2nd Serve Win % 28% (27/96)
53% (17/32) Break Points Won % (Total) 58% (11/19)
49% (119/241) Return Points Win % 41% (90/222)
75% (3/4) Best of 3 Sets Win % 25% (1/4)
100% (1/1) Deciding Set Win % 0% (0/1)
100% (2/2) 1st Set Won, Won Match 50% (2/1)
0% (2/0) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 50% (2/1)
50% (2/1) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 0% (2/0)

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

Sabalenka vs Ostapenko Match Preview :

In the past six months, the second serve performance for Aryna Sabalenka has seen her winning 39.8% of points, slightly outperforming Jelena Ostapenko, who has secured 37.22%. This metric is crucial when making match predictions, highlighting Sabalenka's marginal advantage in this area. Meanwhile, Ostapenko shines in the return game, capturing 53.6% of her opponent's second serve points, compared to Sabalenka's 49.3%. For first serve returns, Ostapenko leads as well, with 31.68% over Sabalenka's 29.03%. Such return statistics are pivotal in determining favorites in head-to-head matchups.

Evaluating their performance under pressure, Sabalenka has shown a slight edge in saving breakpoints, succeeding 50.17% of the time, just ahead of Ostapenko’s 49.03%. This is a valuable statistic for those interested in predictions during live matches. When considering overall match performance over the last year, Sabalenka has an impressive win rate of 83.54% (66 wins and 13 losses), while Ostapenko stands at 53.49% (23 wins and 20 losses), painting a broader picture of their head-to-head potential outcomes.

Analyzing their preferred surfaces, Sabalenka excels on Hard courts with a career win percentage of 74% and struggles comparatively on Indoor hard, where she holds a 63% win rate. Ostapenko, in contrast, has her best career surface performance on Grass, winning 69% of her matches, yet finds Hard courts challenging, with a win rate of 55%. This surface proficiency provides valuable context to their potential performance in this upcoming match.

On the Masters series circuit in the past year, Sabalenka has secured 81.25% of her matches, while Ostapenko has achieved a 57.89% success rate, indicating Sabalenka's stronger performance at this level. Furthermore, in direct head-to-head matchups, Sabalenka has dominated by winning all three encounters and six of the seven sets played. Their latest meeting at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia concluded with Sabalenka's victory in straight sets.

The frequency of deciding sets further solidifies Sabalenka's superiority, as she has triumphed in their sole deciding set encounter and boasts a 62% win rate over the past year in such situations, compared to Ostapenko’s 60%. Notably, neither has won a tiebreak in their head-to-head clashes, adding to the strategic dynamics should the match reach that stage.

In terms of opponent quality, Sabalenka has faced tougher competition over the last year, taking on players with an average rank of 34.56, whereas Ostapenko’s opponents average a rank of 50.51. This further underscores Sabalenka's consistent high-level performance. Both players exhibit similar breakpoint conversion rates, 37.93% for Sabalenka and 37.58% for Ostapenko, which will be key in live betting scenarios.

In conclusion, based on the analysis of recent form, surface preference, direct matches, and overall performance, Aryna Sabalenka appears better poised to emerge victorious in their imminent encounter.

Sabalenka vs Ostapenko Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88

Aryna Sabalenka Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
QF
cross
Qinwen Zheng
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
54% ( 34 of 63)
1st Serve %
65% ( 44 of 68)
4
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
82% ( 28 of 34)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 26 of 44)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 12 of 24)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
32% ( 20 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 30 of 68)
73
Total Points Won
58
L
6-4 6-3 H2H
R4
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Marta Kostyuk
56% ( 51 of 91)
1st Serve %
60% ( 50 of 83)
4
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
5
71% ( 36 of 51)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 32 of 50)
48% ( 19 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 12 of 33)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
14% ( 2 of 14)
40% ( 36 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 39 of 83)
94
Total Points Won
80
W
6-1 7-6(8) H2H
R3
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Sofia Kenin
62% ( 48 of 77)
1st Serve %
65% ( 82 of 126)
5
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
9
60% ( 29 of 48)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 49 of 82)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 14 of 44)
26% ( 6 of 23)
Break Points Won
63% ( 5 of 8)
43% ( 33 of 77)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 63 of 126)
107
Total Points Won
96
W
3-6 6-3 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Anastasia Potapova
70% ( 30 of 43)
1st Serve %
56% ( 30 of 54)
0
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
5
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 18 of 30)
69% ( 9 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 11 of 24)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 10 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 25 of 54)
58
Total Points Won
39
W
6-2 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Cori Gauff
69% ( 40 of 58)
1st Serve %
55% ( 46 of 84)
2
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
8
68% ( 27 of 40)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 26 of 46)
67% ( 12 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 16 of 38)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
33% ( 19 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 42 of 84)
81
Total Points Won
61
W
6-3 7-6(3) H2H
SF
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Elina Svitolina
57% ( 40 of 70)
1st Serve %
55% ( 36 of 65)
4
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
4
75% ( 30 of 40)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 23 of 36)
47% ( 14 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
37% ( 26 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 30 of 65)
74
Total Points Won
61
W
6-3 7-5 H2H
QF
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Marta Kostyuk
68% ( 77 of 114)
1st Serve %
51% ( 52 of 102)
2
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
5
65% ( 50 of 77)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 35 of 52)
43% ( 16 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 23 of 50)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
20% ( 3 of 15)
42% ( 48 of 114)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 44 of 102)
110
Total Points Won
106
W
7-6(4) 7-6(7) H2H
R4
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Peyton Stearns
56% ( 36 of 64)
1st Serve %
74% ( 39 of 53)
3
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
2
78% ( 28 of 36)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 22 of 39)
43% ( 12 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
8% ( 1 of 13)
38% ( 24 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 26 of 53)
66
Total Points Won
51
W
6-2 6-4 H2H

Jelena Ostapenko Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R4
cross
Jasmine Paolini
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
72% ( 53 of 74)
1st Serve %
56% ( 44 of 79)
5
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
7
55% ( 29 of 53)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 26 of 44)
76% ( 16 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 17 of 35)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
39% ( 29 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 36 of 79)
81
Total Points Won
72
L
7-5 6-2 H2H
R3
W
w/o H2H
R2
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Rebecca Sramkova
56% ( 42 of 75)
1st Serve %
65% ( 55 of 85)
4
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
4
69% ( 29 of 42)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 33 of 55)
33% ( 11 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 11 of 30)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
55% ( 6 of 11)
47% ( 35 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 41 of 85)
81
Total Points Won
79
W
1-6 6-4 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Anastasija Sevastova
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
71% ( 41 of 58)
1st Serve %
55% ( 42 of 77)
4
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
8
63% ( 26 of 41)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 22 of 42)
29% ( 5 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 10 of 35)
54% ( 7 of 13)
Break Points Won
71% ( 5 of 7)
47% ( 27 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 45 of 77)
76
Total Points Won
59
L
7-6(2) 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
60% ( 31 of 52)
1st Serve %
52% ( 34 of 65)
4
Aces
6
4
Double Faults
4
81% ( 25 of 31)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 18 of 34)
29% ( 6 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 11 of 31)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
40% ( 21 of 52)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 36 of 65)
67
Total Points Won
50
W
6-4 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
60% ( 40 of 67)
1st Serve %
58% ( 32 of 55)
5
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
2
68% ( 27 of 40)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 23 of 32)
56% ( 15 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 10 of 23)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
37% ( 25 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 22 of 55)
64
Total Points Won
58
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Iga Swiatek
59% ( 45 of 76)
1st Serve %
50% ( 43 of 86)
5
Aces
5
5
Double Faults
8
62% ( 28 of 45)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 27 of 43)
52% ( 16 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 17 of 43)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
57% ( 4 of 7)
42% ( 32 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 42 of 86)
86
Total Points Won
76
W
6-3 3-6 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Emma Navarro
59% ( 67 of 114)
1st Serve %
64% ( 60 of 94)
7
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
4
67% ( 45 of 67)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 40 of 60)
45% ( 21 of 47)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 11 of 34)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
22% ( 4 of 18)
42% ( 48 of 114)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 43 of 94)
109
Total Points Won
99
W
7-5 3-6 6-2 H2H
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Sabalenka & Ostapenko Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
Aryna Sabalenka Sabalenka Stats Jelena Ostapenko Ostapenko
70% (458/195) Win/Loss 62% (404/250)
66% (1014/519) Sets Win/Loss 58% (886/637)
56% (8022/6281) Games Win/Loss 54% (7486/6505)
74% (284/102) Hard Win/Loss 55% (143/119)
66% (94/49) Clay Win/Loss 67% (115/57)
65% (46/25) Indoor Hard W/L 65% (93/50)
64% (34/19) Grass Win/Loss 69% (53/24)
0.38 Aces Per Game 0.23
2680 Aces Total 1601
0.4 Double Faults Per Game 0.43
2769 Total Double Faults 2934
1:30:9 Average Match Time 1:13:17
272.27 Average Opponent Rank 358.73
60% (26264/43475) 1st Serve % 56% (20395/36471)
69% (18086/26264) 1st Serve Win % 65% (13316/20395)
47% (8112/17200) 2nd Serve Win % 44% (6989/16062)
47% (2455/5240) Break Points Won % (Total) 49% (2261/4617)
45% (19465/43252) Return Points Win % 46% (16703/36138)
76% (88/28) Slam W/L 62% (59/36)
71% (143/59) Masters W/L 53% (87/76)
63% (10/6) Cups W/L 58% (18/13)
68% (123/58) Main Tour W/L 61% (138/90)
65% (61/33) Challenger W/L 66% (53/27)
75% (33/11) Futures W/L 86% (49/8)
70% (455/649) Best of 3 Sets Win % 62% (394/640)
100% (1/1) Best of 5 Sets Win % 50% (2/4)
58% (97/166) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 56% (74/132)
56% (129/230) Deciding Set Win % 62% (136/221)
89% (436/388) 1st Set Won, Won Match 86% (382/330)
11% (436/47) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 14% (382/52)
32% (217/69) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 26% (272/72)

Sabalenka vs. Ostapenko Prediction Form Trend:

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