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Prediction of Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek Head-to-Head, Best Odds & Picks At Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Sabalenka vs Swiatek analysis and find out who is favored!
Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Sabalenka 4 - 8 Swiatek
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Sabalenka has won 51.39% of points on their second serve, while Swiatek has won 56.04%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Sabalenka, in recent form, has won 59.19% of their opponent's second serve points, while Swiatek has won 58.83%. The same stats for first serve returns are 35.84% and 40.74% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Sabalenka has saved 63.49% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Swiatek has saved 64.86% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Sabalenka has won 80% of matches played (W/L 56/ 14), with Swiatek winning 88.89% (W/L 64/ 8) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Sabalenka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 73% (W/L 261/ 98), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 83/ 47). Swiatek has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 88% (W/L 137/ 18), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 69% (W/L 18/ 8).
- Player level: In the last year, Sabalenka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 76.92% of matches (W/L 30/ 9), where as Swiatek has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 92.11% of matches (W/L 35/ 3). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 12 times before with Sabalenka winning 4 times and Swiatek being victorious 8 times. They have played 29 sets in total, with Sabalenka winning 10 and Swiatek winning 19. The last match between Sabalenka and Swiatek was at the Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati, 18-08-2024, Semifinals, Hard with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory 6-3 6-3.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:25:12.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Sabalenka and Swiatek have played a deciding set 5 times, with Sabalenka winning 3 times and Swiatek 2 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Sabalenka winning 0, and Swiatek 1.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Sabalenka has played against opponents with an average rank of 36.09 while Swiatek has played against players with an average rank of 68.58.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Sabalenka has won 62% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Swiatek has won 73% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Sabalenka has converted 46.92% of breakpoint opportunities, and Swiatek has converted 45.28% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
- If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
2
Rank
1
High
26
Age
R
Plays
4
Total8
3
Hard3
1
Clay5
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
1
Rank
1
High
23
Age
R
Plays
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
Form
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
69% (422-187)
Career Total W/L
82% (344-75)
82% (54-12)
YTD W/L
88% (59-8)
$25,074,028
Career Prize Money
$26,975,500
4
YTD Titles
6
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
The Best Odds For Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek For Any Market:
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Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Sabalenka VS Swiatek
| stats | Aryna Sabalenka | Iga Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 4 | 8 |
| Sets Won | 10 | 19 |
| Games Won | 113 | 145 |
| Aces (Total) | 36 | 9 |
| DFs Total | 51 | 26 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:25:12 | 1:25:12 |
| 1st Serve % | 57% (373/656) | 63% (400/631) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 62% (230/373) | 67% (268/400) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 41% (116/283) | 44% (102/231) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 38% (29/76) | 51% (42/83) |
| Return Points W% | 41% (261/631) | 47% (310/656) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 33% (4/12) | 67% (8/12) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 60% (3/5) | 40% (2/5) |
| 1st set W, W | 75% (4/3) | 88% (8/7) |
| 1st set W, L | 25% (4/1) | 13% (8/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 13% (8/1) | 25% (4/1) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-3 6-3 |
Stats 
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Iga Swiatek
52%
(
33 of
63)
1st Serve %
57%
(
40 of
70)
5
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
67%
(
22 of
33)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
27 of
40)
53%
(
16 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
20%
(
6 of
30)
33%
(
5 of
15)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
40%
(
25 of
63)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
37 of
70)
75
Total Points Won
58
|
||||
| 6-2 6-3 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
54%
(
31 of
57)
1st Serve %
59%
(
32 of
54)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
74%
(
23 of
31)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
18 of
32)
62%
(
16 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
9 of
22)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
7)
32%
(
18 of
57)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
27 of
54)
66
Total Points Won
45
|
||||
| 7-5 4-6 7-6(7) |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
66%
(
78 of
119)
1st Serve %
58%
(
68 of
118)
2
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
4
67%
(
52 of
78)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
46 of
68)
51%
(
21 of
41)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
24 of
50)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
38%
(
5 of
13)
39%
(
46 of
119)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
48 of
118)
121
Total Points Won
116
|
||||
| 6-3 6-2 | |||||
| 6-3 3-6 6-3 | |||||
| 6-3 6-4 | |||||
| 6-2 2-6 6-1 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Iga Swiatek
59%
(
44 of
74)
1st Serve %
65%
(
53 of
82)
12
Aces
1
9
Double Faults
6
68%
(
30 of
44)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
28 of
53)
40%
(
12 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
13 of
29)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
40%
(
4 of
10)
43%
(
32 of
74)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
41 of
82)
83
Total Points Won
73
|
||||
| 3-6 6-1 6-4 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
73%
(
57 of
78)
1st Serve %
54%
(
48 of
89)
2
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
7
65%
(
37 of
57)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
32 of
48)
29%
(
6 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
24%
(
10 of
41)
70%
(
7 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
5 of
10)
45%
(
35 of
78)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
47 of
89)
90
Total Points Won
77
|
||||
| 6-2 6-1 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
59%
(
26 of
44)
1st Serve %
56%
(
31 of
55)
0
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
73%
(
19 of
26)
1st Serve Won
29%
(
9 of
31)
56%
(
10 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
12 of
24)
40%
(
6 of
15)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
34%
(
15 of
44)
Rtn Points Won
62%
(
34 of
55)
63
Total Points Won
36
|
||||
| 6-2 6-2 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
67%
(
36 of
54)
1st Serve %
51%
(
26 of
51)
0
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
6
78%
(
28 of
36)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
16 of
26)
44%
(
8 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
10 of
25)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
33%
(
18 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
25 of
51)
61
Total Points Won
44
|
||||
view more
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Aryna Sabalenka | Iga Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 82% (54/12) | 88% (59/8) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 76% (115/36) | 83% (121/25) |
| Games Win/Loss | 59% (827/564) | 64% (813/451) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 84% (38/7) | 85% (29/5) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 79% (15/4) | 93% (26/2) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 100% (2/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 50% (1/1) | 67% (2/1) |
| Aces pg | 0.33 | 0.14 |
| Aces Total | 226 | 84 |
| DFs per game | 0.24 | 0.12 |
| DFs Total | 164 | 73 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:23:36 | 1:12:18 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 37.79 | 55.96 |
| 1st Serve % | 63% (2348/3746) | 66% (1968/2985) |
| 1st Serve W% | 69% (1628/2348) | 70% (1386/1968) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 51% (714/1398) | 56% (569/1017) |
| BPs Won% Total | 47% (217/466) | 47% (211/453) |
| Return Pts W% | 45% (1735/3863) | 48% (1534/3181) |
| Slam W/L | 95% (18/1) | 83% (15/3) |
| Masters W/L | 80% (28/7) | 91% (30/3) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 100% (2/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 67% (8/4) | 86% (12/2) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 83% (53/64) | 88% (58/66) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 100% (1/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 67% (8/12) | 75% (6/8) |
| Deciding Set W% | 60% (12/20) | 73% (8/11) |
| 1st set W, W | 92% (49/45) | 96% (57/55) |
| 1st set W, L | 6% (49/3) | 4% (57/2) |
| 1st set L, W | 47% (17/8) | 40% (10/4) |
Aryna Sabalenka Recent Matches Played
Before:
| OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Qinwen Zheng
70%
(
65 of
93)
1st Serve %
42%
(
41 of
97)
7
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
8
58%
(
38 of
65)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
30 of
41)
54%
(
15 of
28)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
20 of
56)
58%
(
7 of
12)
Break Points Won
42%
(
5 of
12)
43%
(
40 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
47 of
97)
100
Total Points Won
90
|
6-3 5-7 6-3 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Cori Gauff
64%
(
67 of
104)
1st Serve %
51%
(
48 of
94)
2
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
21
61%
(
41 of
67)
1st Serve Won
79%
(
38 of
48)
32%
(
12 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
24%
(
11 of
46)
55%
(
6 of
11)
Break Points Won
46%
(
6 of
13)
49%
(
51 of
104)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
45 of
94)
98
Total Points Won
100
|
1-6 6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Magdalena Frech
56%
(
32 of
57)
1st Serve %
59%
(
37 of
63)
1
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
0
53%
(
17 of
32)
1st Serve Won
57%
(
21 of
37)
72%
(
18 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
31%
(
8 of
26)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
39%
(
22 of
57)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
34 of
63)
69
Total Points Won
51
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Yulia Putintseva
63%
(
52 of
82)
1st Serve %
76%
(
65 of
86)
4
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
4
67%
(
35 of
52)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
36 of
65)
30%
(
9 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
7 of
21)
67%
(
6 of
9)
Break Points Won
45%
(
5 of
11)
46%
(
38 of
82)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
43 of
86)
87
Total Points Won
81
|
1-6 6-4 6-0 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Katerina Siniakova
70%
(
44 of
63)
1st Serve %
69%
(
52 of
75)
3
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
7
66%
(
29 of
44)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
33 of
52)
58%
(
11 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
26%
(
6 of
23)
33%
(
4 of
12)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
37%
(
23 of
63)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
36 of
75)
76
Total Points Won
62
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Karolina Muchova
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
60%
(
62 of
104)
1st Serve %
63%
(
65 of
103)
5
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
3
66%
(
41 of
62)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
40 of
65)
52%
(
22 of
42)
2nd Serve Won
58%
(
22 of
38)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
4 of
8)
39%
(
41 of
104)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
41 of
103)
104
Total Points Won
103
|
7-6(5) 2-6 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Madison Keys
72%
(
31 of
43)
1st Serve %
73%
(
43 of
59)
1
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
6
84%
(
26 of
31)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
24 of
43)
33%
(
4 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
6 of
16)
71%
(
5 of
7)
Break Points Won
100%
(
2 of
2)
30%
(
13 of
43)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
29 of
59)
59
Total Points Won
43
|
6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Ashlyn Krueger
64%
(
39 of
61)
1st Serve %
67%
(
35 of
52)
2
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
3
72%
(
28 of
39)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
19 of
35)
45%
(
10 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
29%
(
5 of
17)
71%
(
5 of
7)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
38%
(
23 of
61)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
28 of
52)
66
Total Points Won
47
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
63%
(
40 of
64)
1st Serve %
60%
(
31 of
52)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
75%
(
30 of
40)
1st Serve Won
48%
(
15 of
31)
46%
(
11 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
10 of
21)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
36%
(
23 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
27 of
52)
68
Total Points Won
48
|
6-4 6-1 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jessica Pegula
60%
(
49 of
82)
1st Serve %
67%
(
57 of
85)
6
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
4
65%
(
32 of
49)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
37 of
57)
42%
(
14 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
21%
(
6 of
28)
40%
(
6 of
15)
Break Points Won
57%
(
4 of
7)
44%
(
36 of
82)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
42 of
85)
88
Total Points Won
79
|
7-5 7-5 | H2H | ||
view more
Iga Swiatek Recent Matches Played
Before:
| OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QF |
Stats
Jessica Pegula
Player
Iga Swiatek
65%
(
35 of
54)
1st Serve %
68%
(
41 of
60)
0
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
77%
(
27 of
35)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
23 of
41)
53%
(
10 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
9 of
19)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
31%
(
17 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
28 of
60)
65
Total Points Won
49
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Liudmila Samsonova
62%
(
33 of
53)
1st Serve %
60%
(
33 of
55)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
88%
(
29 of
33)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
18 of
33)
45%
(
9 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
55%
(
12 of
22)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
28%
(
15 of
53)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
25 of
55)
63
Total Points Won
45
|
6-4 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
65%
(
31 of
48)
1st Serve %
54%
(
33 of
61)
0
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
1
77%
(
24 of
31)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
19 of
33)
71%
(
12 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
14 of
28)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
25%
(
12 of
48)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
28 of
61)
64
Total Points Won
45
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Ena Shibahara
71%
(
24 of
34)
1st Serve %
67%
(
37 of
55)
4
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
4
83%
(
20 of
24)
1st Serve Won
51%
(
19 of
37)
80%
(
8 of
10)
2nd Serve Won
22%
(
4 of
18)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
18%
(
6 of
34)
Rtn Points Won
58%
(
32 of
55)
60
Total Points Won
29
|
6-0 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Kamilla Rakhimova
57%
(
38 of
67)
1st Serve %
60%
(
46 of
77)
5
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
5
71%
(
27 of
38)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
31 of
46)
69%
(
20 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
55%
(
17 of
31)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
30%
(
20 of
67)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
29 of
77)
76
Total Points Won
68
|
6-4 7-6(6) | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Iga Swiatek
52%
(
33 of
63)
1st Serve %
57%
(
40 of
70)
5
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
67%
(
22 of
33)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
27 of
40)
53%
(
16 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
20%
(
6 of
30)
33%
(
5 of
15)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
40%
(
25 of
63)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
37 of
70)
75
Total Points Won
58
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Mirra Andreeva
67%
(
61 of
91)
1st Serve %
61%
(
66 of
109)
6
Aces
12
2
Double Faults
4
74%
(
45 of
61)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
47 of
66)
63%
(
19 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
51%
(
22 of
43)
20%
(
2 of
10)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
30%
(
27 of
91)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
40 of
109)
104
Total Points Won
96
|
4-6 6-3 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Marta Kostyuk
70%
(
31 of
44)
1st Serve %
62%
(
31 of
50)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
71%
(
22 of
31)
1st Serve Won
48%
(
15 of
31)
62%
(
8 of
13)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
7 of
19)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
32%
(
14 of
44)
Rtn Points Won
56%
(
28 of
50)
58
Total Points Won
36
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Varvara Gracheva
61%
(
47 of
77)
1st Serve %
64%
(
58 of
91)
7
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
4
74%
(
35 of
47)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
30 of
58)
60%
(
18 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
14 of
33)
44%
(
7 of
16)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
31%
(
24 of
77)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
47 of
91)
100
Total Points Won
68
|
6-0 6-7(8) 6-2 | H2H | ||
| Paris |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Anna Schmiedlova
78%
(
31 of
40)
1st Serve %
60%
(
26 of
43)
3
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
3
74%
(
23 of
31)
1st Serve Won
42%
(
11 of
26)
78%
(
7 of
9)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
7 of
17)
71%
(
5 of
7)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
25%
(
10 of
40)
Rtn Points Won
58%
(
25 of
43)
55
Total Points Won
28
|
6-2 6-1 | H2H | ||
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