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Aryna Sabalenka vs Cori Gauff Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Sabalenka vs Gauff analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Aryna Sabalenka vs Cori Gauff Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Sabalenka 3 - 4 Gauff

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Sabalenka has won 50.05% of points on their second serve, while Gauff has won 43.57%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Sabalenka, in recent form, has won 56.11% of their opponent's second serve points, while Gauff has won 59.1%. The same stats for first serve returns are 37.86% and 42.42% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Sabalenka has saved 59.01% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Gauff has saved 60.95% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Sabalenka has won 75.76% of matches played (W/L 50/ 16), with Gauff winning 78.38% (W/L 58/ 16) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Sabalenka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 71% (W/L 237/ 95), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 83/ 47). Gauff has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 70% (W/L 21/ 9), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 67% (W/L 10/ 5).
  • Player level: In the last year, Sabalenka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 68.75% of matches (W/L 22/ 10), where as Gauff has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 72.97% of matches (W/L 27/ 10). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 7 times before with Sabalenka winning 3 times and Gauff being victorious 4 times. They have played 18 sets in total, with Sabalenka winning 9 and Gauff winning 9. The last match between Sabalenka and Gauff was at the Australian Open - Melbourne, 25-01-2024, Semifinals, Hard with Aryna Sabalenka getting the victory 7-6(2) 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:5:4.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Sabalenka and Gauff have played a deciding set 4 times, with Sabalenka winning 1 times and Gauff 3 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 4 tiebreaks against each other with Sabalenka winning 2, and Gauff 2.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Sabalenka has played against opponents with an average rank of 76.12 while Gauff has played against players with an average rank of 74.12.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Sabalenka has won 52% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Gauff has won 68% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Sabalenka has converted 47.27% of breakpoint opportunities, and Gauff has converted 53.05% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Aryna Sabalenka

20

Total

5

Mast

4

Chall

2

Slam

7

Main

2

Minor

3

Rank

1

High

26

Age

R

Plays

3

Total

4

2

Hard

3

0

Clay

1

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

2

Rank

2

High

20

Age

R

Plays

Cori Gauff

6

Total

1

Mast

0

Chall

1

Slam

4

Main

0

Minor

3

Total

4

2

Hard

3

0

Clay

1

1

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W L W W W W L W L

Form

L W W W W W L W W L

68% (398-184)

Career Total W/L

69% (206-92)

77% (30-9)

YTD W/L

76% (32-10)

$20,189,224

Career Prize Money

$11,461,073

1

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Sabalenka VS Gauff H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Aryna Sabalenka Cori Gauff
All H2H Matches 3 4
Sets Won 9 9
Games Won 92 93
Aces (Total) 34 29
DFs Total 47 48
Avg Match Time 2:5:4 2:5:4
1st Serve % 57% (334/587) 62% (370/601)
1st Serve Win% 70% (234/334) 65% (241/370)
2nd Serve Win% 44% (112/253) 45% (104/231)
BPs Won% (Total) 42% (28/67) 52% (28/54)
Return Points W% 43% (256/601) 41% (241/587)
Best of 3 Sets W% 43% (3/7) 57% (4/7)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 50% (2/4) 50% (2/4)
Deciding Set Win% 25% (1/4) 75% (3/4)
1st set W, W 67% (3/2) 75% (4/3)
1st set W, L 33% (3/1) 25% (4/1)
1st set L, W 25% (4/1) 33% (3/1)

Sabalenka VS Gauff H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-6(2) 6-4
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Cori Gauff
76% ( 50 of 66)
1st Serve %
57% ( 48 of 84)
4
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
8
70% ( 35 of 50)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 31 of 48)
50% ( 8 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 14 of 36)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
35% ( 23 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 39 of 84)
82
Total Points Won
68
2-6 6-3 6-2
cross
Cori Gauff
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
66% ( 53 of 80)
1st Serve %
52% ( 40 of 77)
2
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
6
62% ( 33 of 53)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 26 of 40)
52% ( 14 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 15 of 37)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
41% ( 33 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 36 of 77)
83
Total Points Won
74
6-4 6-0
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Cori Gauff
73% ( 30 of 41)
1st Serve %
52% ( 28 of 54)
5
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
3
87% ( 26 of 30)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 16 of 28)
55% ( 6 of 11)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 11 of 26)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
22% ( 9 of 41)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 27 of 54)
59
Total Points Won
36
7-5 4-6 7-6(4)
cross
Cori Gauff
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
63% ( 82 of 131)
1st Serve %
52% ( 68 of 131)
9
Aces
7
15
Double Faults
18
70% ( 57 of 82)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 50 of 68)
41% ( 20 of 49)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 27 of 63)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
29% ( 4 of 14)
41% ( 54 of 131)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 54 of 131)
131
Total Points Won
131
7-5 6-3
cross
Cori Gauff
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
61% ( 36 of 59)
1st Serve %
53% ( 38 of 72)
1
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
2
72% ( 26 of 36)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 25 of 38)
65% ( 15 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 16 of 34)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
31% ( 18 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 31 of 72)
72
Total Points Won
59
1-6 7-5 7-6(2)
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Cori Gauff
64% ( 63 of 98)
1st Serve %
72% ( 65 of 90)
5
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
7
63% ( 40 of 63)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 41 of 65)
46% ( 16 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 12 of 25)
100% ( 4 of 4)
Break Points Won
63% ( 5 of 8)
43% ( 42 of 98)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 37 of 90)
93
Total Points Won
95
7-6(4) 4-6 6-4
cross
Cori Gauff
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
56% ( 58 of 103)
1st Serve %
44% ( 45 of 102)
2
Aces
5
10
Double Faults
14
64% ( 37 of 58)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 32 of 45)
40% ( 18 of 45)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 24 of 57)
58% ( 7 of 12)
Break Points Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
47% ( 48 of 103)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 46 of 102)
101
Total Points Won
104

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Aryna Sabalenka Cori Gauff
YTD W/L 77% (30/9) 76% (32/10)
Sets Win/Loss 72% (65/25) 71% (68/28)
Games Win/Loss 59% (485/344) 60% (524/355)
Hard Win/Loss 78% (14/4) 78% (18/5)
Clay Win/Loss 79% (15/4) 75% (12/4)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 50% (1/1) 67% (2/1)
Aces pg 0.42 0.34
Aces Total 170 145
DFs per game 0.27 0.57
DFs Total 109 246
Avg Match Time 1:38:12 1:39:41
Avg Opp Rank 90.1 91.14
1st Serve % 63% (1647/2604) 58% (1694/2931)
1st Serve W% 70% (1161/1647) 71% (1208/1694)
2nd Serve W% 50% (479/957) 44% (539/1237)
BPs Won% Total 47% (156/330) 53% (200/377)
Return Pts W% 45% (1211/2690) 49% (1419/2898)
Slam W/L 92% (11/1) 83% (10/2)
Masters W/L 72% (13/5) 70% (14/6)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 67% (6/3) 80% (8/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 78% (29/37) 76% (31/41)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 70% (7/10) 57% (8/14)
Deciding Set W% 54% (7/13) 62% (8/13)
1st set W, W 86% (28/24) 93% (29/27)
1st set W, L 11% (28/3) 7% (29/2)
1st set L, W 45% (11/5) 38% (13/5)

Aryna Sabalenka Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
QF
cross
Anna Kalinskaya
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
60% ( 15 of 25)
1st Serve %
47% ( 8 of 17)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
80% ( 12 of 15)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 5 of 8)
40% ( 4 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
36% ( 9 of 25)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 10 of 17)
26
Total Points Won
16
L
5-1 ret. H2H
R2
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Daria Kasatkina
54% ( 26 of 48)
1st Serve %
61% ( 28 of 46)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
73% ( 19 of 26)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 15 of 28)
68% ( 15 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
29% ( 14 of 48)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 22 of 46)
56
Total Points Won
38
W
6-1 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Mirra Andreeva
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
49% ( 46 of 93)
1st Serve %
53% ( 57 of 107)
4
Aces
3
7
Double Faults
6
57% ( 26 of 46)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 30 of 57)
49% ( 23 of 47)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 24 of 50)
57% ( 8 of 14)
Break Points Won
100% ( 6 of 6)
47% ( 44 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 53 of 107)
102
Total Points Won
98
L
6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Emma Navarro
60% ( 26 of 43)
1st Serve %
73% ( 45 of 62)
7
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
2
85% ( 22 of 26)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 28 of 45)
65% ( 11 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
18% ( 3 of 17)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 10 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 31 of 62)
64
Total Points Won
41
W
6-2 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Paula Badosa Gibert
69% ( 35 of 51)
1st Serve %
60% ( 40 of 67)
0
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
63% ( 22 of 35)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 20 of 40)
50% ( 8 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 10 of 27)
39% ( 7 of 18)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
41% ( 21 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 37 of 67)
67
Total Points Won
51
W
7-5 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Moyuka Uchijima
62% ( 29 of 47)
1st Serve %
74% ( 39 of 53)
2
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
76% ( 22 of 29)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 21 of 39)
72% ( 13 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
26% ( 12 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 27 of 53)
62
Total Points Won
38
W
6-2 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Erika Andreeva
64% ( 32 of 50)
1st Serve %
59% ( 23 of 39)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
72% ( 23 of 32)
1st Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
56% ( 10 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 8 of 16)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
34% ( 17 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 23 of 39)
56
Total Points Won
33
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Aryna Sabalenka
54% ( 31 of 57)
1st Serve %
59% ( 32 of 54)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
74% ( 23 of 31)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 18 of 32)
62% ( 16 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 9 of 22)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 7)
32% ( 18 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 27 of 54)
66
Total Points Won
45
L
6-2 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Danielle Rose Collins
60% ( 35 of 58)
1st Serve %
53% ( 33 of 62)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
5
74% ( 26 of 35)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 22 of 33)
57% ( 13 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 12 of 29)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
33% ( 19 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 28 of 62)
67
Total Points Won
53
W
7-5 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
76% ( 37 of 49)
1st Serve %
73% ( 46 of 63)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
81% ( 30 of 37)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 31 of 46)
50% ( 6 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 6 of 17)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
27% ( 13 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 26 of 63)
62
Total Points Won
50
W
6-2 6-4 H2H

Cori Gauff Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
SF
cross
Jessica Pegula
Player
Cori Gauff
60% ( 47 of 78)
1st Serve %
49% ( 36 of 73)
3
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
4
72% ( 34 of 47)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 26 of 36)
55% ( 17 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 18 of 37)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
35% ( 27 of 78)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 29 of 73)
80
Total Points Won
71
L
7-5 7-6(2) H2H
QF
cross
Cori Gauff
Player
Ons Jabeur
67% ( 29 of 43)
1st Serve %
55% ( 36 of 65)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
0
86% ( 25 of 29)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 26 of 36)
64% ( 9 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 17 of 29)
0% ( 0 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
21% ( 9 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 22 of 65)
56
Total Points Won
52
W
7-6(9) ret. H2H
R2
cross
Cori Gauff
Player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
65% ( 35 of 54)
1st Serve %
68% ( 41 of 60)
7
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
4
80% ( 28 of 35)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 28 of 41)
63% ( 12 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 6 of 19)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
26% ( 14 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 26 of 60)
66
Total Points Won
48
W
7-6(6) 6-2 H2H
SF
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Cori Gauff
67% ( 42 of 63)
1st Serve %
51% ( 32 of 63)
0
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
4
64% ( 27 of 42)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 22 of 32)
67% ( 14 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 10 of 31)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
35% ( 22 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 31 of 63)
72
Total Points Won
54
L
6-2 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Cori Gauff
Player
Ons Jabeur
55% ( 56 of 102)
1st Serve %
63% ( 52 of 83)
3
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
1
70% ( 39 of 56)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 36 of 52)
54% ( 25 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 14 of 31)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
37% ( 38 of 102)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 33 of 83)
97
Total Points Won
88
W
4-6 6-2 6-3 H2H
R4
cross
Cori Gauff
Player
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
56% ( 24 of 43)
1st Serve %
68% ( 28 of 41)
3
Aces
0
5
Double Faults
1
79% ( 19 of 24)
1st Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
58% ( 11 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 7 of 13)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 13 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
59% ( 24 of 41)
54
Total Points Won
30
W
6-1 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Cori Gauff
Player
Dayana Yastremska
47% ( 33 of 70)
1st Serve %
68% ( 45 of 66)
3
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
1
73% ( 24 of 33)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 23 of 45)
46% ( 17 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 9 of 21)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
41% ( 29 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 34 of 66)
75
Total Points Won
61
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Cori Gauff
Player
Tamara Zidansek
48% ( 30 of 62)
1st Serve %
55% ( 36 of 66)
2
Aces
0
6
Double Faults
4
73% ( 22 of 30)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 18 of 36)
47% ( 15 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 14 of 30)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
40% ( 25 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 34 of 66)
71
Total Points Won
57
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Cori Gauff
Player
Julia Avdeeva
63% ( 24 of 38)
1st Serve %
50% ( 19 of 38)
3
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
5
96% ( 23 of 24)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 10 of 19)
50% ( 7 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
26% ( 5 of 19)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
21% ( 8 of 38)
Rtn Points Won
61% ( 23 of 38)
53
Total Points Won
23
W
6-1 6-1 H2H
SF
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Cori Gauff
65% ( 36 of 55)
1st Serve %
54% ( 45 of 83)
1
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
72% ( 26 of 36)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 29 of 45)
53% ( 10 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 14 of 38)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
35% ( 19 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 40 of 83)
76
Total Points Won
62
L
6-4 6-3 H2H

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