Rune vs Carreno-Busta Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Our tip: Rune to win.
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Carreno-Busta has won 46% of points on his second serve, while Rune has won 55% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Carreno-Busta has won 33% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Rune has won 28%. The same stats for second serve return points are 46% and 48% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Carreno-Busta has been saving 54% of his breakpoints, and Rune has saved 67% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Carreno-Busta has won 33% of matches played (W/L 2/4) with Rune winning 66% (W/L 21/11).
Surface prediction: Carreno-Busta performs best on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 340/171) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 6/14). Rune performs best on I.hard, winning 73% (W/L 60/22), and performs worse on Hard, winning 54% (W/L 41/35).
In play break point conversion prediction: Pablo Carreno-Busta has converted 37% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Holger Rune has converted 37% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Holger Rune played Roberto Bautista Agut in the First round at the National Bank Open – Montreal and won 6-2 3-6 6-2 . Pablo Carreno-Busta played Fabian Marozsan in the First round at the National Bank Open – Montreal and won 6-7(8) 7-6(6) 6-3 in 02:37:31.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Holger Rune and Pablo Carreno-Busta
Of their last 10 matches played, Rune has won 6, while Carreno-Busta has won 3. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Rune has won 55% of his own 2nd serve points and 36% of return points , while Carreno-Busta has won 51% of his own 2nd serve points and 43% of return points.
Lei@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Rune Vs Carreno-Busta
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Rune has won 16 titles in his career, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 30 events. Rune has won 52% (26565 of 51567) of points played in his entire career, and Carreno-Busta has achieved 51% (51937 of 101723). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Rune has won 65% of tie breaks in his entire career (88 of 136), whereas Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 56% (189 of 337). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Holger Rune has an 51.84% probability of winning this match.
Holger Rune vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Holger Rune To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Holger Rune has a 51.84% chance of winning and Pablo Carreno-Busta has a 48.16% chance of taking the victory. We tip Rune to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Rune vs Carreno-Busta
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Holger Rune vs Pablo Carreno-Busta here.
To see the full prediction for Rune vs Carreno-Busta at National Bank Open – Montreal, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com National Bank Open Day 4 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the National Bank Open – Montreal, go here.
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for sports with a methodical approach to statistics, offering a fresh perspective on game outcomes, player performances, and season trends.
His work is characterized by a deep understanding of statistical models, a passion for uncovering hidden patterns, and an ability to communicate complex analysis in an accessible and engaging way.
He is particularly known for his tennis head to head predictions, which have proven remarkably accurate over the years.