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Prediction of Holger Rune vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Head-to-Head, Best Odds & Picks At Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Rune vs Carreno-Busta analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Holger Rune vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Rune 1 - 3 Carreno-Busta

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Rune has won 54.66% of points on their second serve, while Carreno-Busta has won 49.82%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Rune, in recent form, has won 46.84% of their opponent's second serve points, while Carreno-Busta has won 48.41%. The same stats for first serve returns are 27.83% and 30.06% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Rune has saved 66.11% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Carreno-Busta has saved 55.04% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Rune has won 63.77% of matches played (W/L 44/ 25), with Carreno-Busta winning 47.62% (W/L 10/ 11) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Rune has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 73% (W/L 60/ 22), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 56% (W/L 51/ 40). Carreno-Busta has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 340/ 171), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 6/ 14).
  • Player level: In the last year, Rune has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 64.52% of matches (W/L 20/ 11), where as Carreno-Busta has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 57.14% of matches (W/L 4/ 3). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Rune winning 1 times and Carreno-Busta being victorious 3 times. They have played 9 sets in total, with Rune winning 3 and Carreno-Busta winning 6. The last match between Rune and Carreno-Busta was at the National Bank Open - Montreal, 08-08-2024, Second, Hard with Holger Rune getting the victory 6-1 6-3.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:30:2.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Rune and Carreno-Busta have played a deciding set 1 times, with Rune winning 0 times and Carreno-Busta 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Rune winning 0, and Carreno-Busta 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Rune has played against opponents with an average rank of 70.28 while Carreno-Busta has played against players with an average rank of 95.43.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Rune has won 61% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Carreno-Busta has won 57% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Rune has converted 39.84% of breakpoint opportunities, and Carreno-Busta has converted 44.62% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Holger Rune

13

Total

1

Mast

5

Chall

0

Slam

3

Main

4

Minor

14

Rank

4

High

21

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

3

1

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

1

0

Grass

1

203

Rank

10

High

33

Age

R

Plays

Pablo Carreno-Busta

30

Total

1

Mast

11

Chall

0

Slam

6

Main

12

Minor

1

Total

3

1

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

1

0

Grass

1

W L L L W W W L W W

Form

L W W W W L L W L L

66% (243-126)

Career Total W/L

64% (569-325)

66% (38-20)

YTD W/L

47% (9-10)

$6,842,900

Career Prize Money

$10,122,680

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Rune VS Carreno-Busta

Rune VS Carreno-Busta H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Holger Rune Pablo Carreno-Busta
All H2H Matches 1 3
Sets Won 3 6
Games Won 38 44
Aces (Total) 21 17
DFs Total 9 3
Avg Match Time 1:30:2 1:30:2
1st Serve % 63% (159/254) 66% (175/264)
1st Serve Win% 69% (109/159) 74% (129/175)
2nd Serve Win% 54% (51/95) 51% (45/89)
BPs Won% (Total) 33% (6/18) 36% (9/25)
Return Points W% 34% (90/264) 37% (94/254)
Best of 3 Sets W% 25% (1/4) 75% (3/4)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 100% (3/3)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (3/0)
1st set L, W 0% (3/0) 0% (1/0)

Rune VS Carreno-Busta H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-1 6-3
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
58% ( 25 of 43)
1st Serve %
57% ( 33 of 58)
4
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
3
76% ( 19 of 25)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 21 of 33)
78% ( 14 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 10 of 25)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 10 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 27 of 58)
60
Total Points Won
41
6-0 6-3
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Holger Rune
76% ( 29 of 38)
1st Serve %
64% ( 29 of 45)
4
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
79% ( 23 of 29)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 14 of 29)
67% ( 6 of 9)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 5 of 16)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
24% ( 9 of 38)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 26 of 45)
55
Total Points Won
28
6-3 7-6(5)
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Holger Rune
72% ( 59 of 82)
1st Serve %
72% ( 52 of 72)
2
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
3
73% ( 43 of 59)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 38 of 52)
61% ( 14 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 10 of 20)
14% ( 1 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 5)
30% ( 25 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 24 of 72)
81
Total Points Won
73
6-4 3-6 6-4
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Holger Rune
63% ( 54 of 86)
1st Serve %
56% ( 53 of 94)
9
Aces
8
0
Double Faults
3
78% ( 42 of 54)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 38 of 53)
47% ( 15 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 22 of 41)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
34% ( 29 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 34 of 94)
91
Total Points Won
89

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Holger Rune Pablo Carreno-Busta
YTD W/L 66% (38/20) 47% (9/10)
Sets Win/Loss 60% (93/63) 47% (22/25)
Games Win/Loss 52% (794/731) 50% (228/232)
Hard Win/Loss 68% (21/10) 54% (7/6)
Clay Win/Loss 65% (11/6) 25% (1/3)
Indoor Hard W/L 60% (3/2) 100% (1/0)
Grass Win/Loss 60% (3/2) 0% (0/1)
Aces pg 0.51 0.3
Aces Total 386 67
DFs per game 0.22 0.23
DFs Total 164 53
Avg Match Time 2:1:37 1:53:41
Avg Opp Rank 73.69 95.32
1st Serve % 60% (2862/4774) 63% (936/1482)
1st Serve W% 74% (2104/2862) 68% (637/936)
2nd Serve W% 55% (1052/1912) 50% (272/546)
BPs Won% Total 37% (143/383) 45% (58/130)
Return Pts W% 35% (1673/4724) 38% (538/1424)
Slam W/L 64% (7/4) 0% (0/2)
Masters W/L 67% (14/7) 50% (3/3)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 100% (1/0)
Main Tour W/L 65% (17/9) 57% (4/3)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 33% (1/2)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 66% (31/47) 53% (9/17)
Best of 5 Sets W% 64% (7/11) 0% (0/2)
TBs Win% (Total) 67% (18/27) 33% (4/12)
Deciding Set W% 65% (15/23) 50% (3/6)
1st set W, W 85% (34/29) 88% (8/7)
1st set W, L 15% (34/5) 13% (8/1)
1st set L, W 38% (24/9) 18% (11/2)

Holger Rune Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R3
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Jiri Lehecka
52% ( 36 of 69)
1st Serve %
60% ( 44 of 73)
3
Aces
11
1
Double Faults
4
75% ( 27 of 36)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 31 of 44)
70% ( 23 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 14 of 29)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
28% ( 19 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 28 of 73)
78
Total Points Won
64
W
6-4 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Matteo Berrettini
62% ( 51 of 82)
1st Serve %
65% ( 51 of 79)
7
Aces
16
0
Double Faults
1
82% ( 42 of 51)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 38 of 51)
68% ( 21 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 17 of 28)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
23% ( 19 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
30% ( 24 of 79)
87
Total Points Won
74
W
4-6 6-4 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Arthur Fils
Player
Holger Rune
61% ( 58 of 95)
1st Serve %
64% ( 56 of 88)
5
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
4
78% ( 45 of 58)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 41 of 56)
43% ( 16 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 18 of 32)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
36% ( 34 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 29 of 88)
90
Total Points Won
93
L
7-6(8) 7-6(10) H2H
QF
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Kei Nishikori
69% ( 63 of 91)
1st Serve %
70% ( 64 of 91)
6
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
0
71% ( 45 of 63)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 44 of 64)
57% ( 16 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 14 of 27)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
33% ( 30 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 33 of 91)
94
Total Points Won
88
W
3-6 6-2 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Yoshihito Nishioka
79% ( 34 of 43)
1st Serve %
63% ( 33 of 52)
11
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
88% ( 30 of 34)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 17 of 33)
44% ( 4 of 9)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 9 of 19)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
21% ( 9 of 43)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 26 of 52)
60
Total Points Won
35
W
6-2 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Alejandro Tabilo
65% ( 60 of 92)
1st Serve %
69% ( 66 of 96)
10
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
3
78% ( 47 of 60)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 44 of 66)
47% ( 15 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 16 of 30)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
33% ( 30 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 36 of 96)
98
Total Points Won
90
W
6-2 5-7 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Yasutaka Uchiyama
Player
Holger Rune
67% ( 43 of 64)
1st Serve %
72% ( 63 of 88)
8
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
5
77% ( 33 of 43)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 39 of 63)
48% ( 10 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 8 of 25)
29% ( 4 of 14)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
33% ( 21 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 41 of 88)
84
Total Points Won
68
L
7-5 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Brandon Nakashima
Player
Holger Rune
67% ( 49 of 73)
1st Serve %
39% ( 33 of 84)
11
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
5
84% ( 41 of 49)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 23 of 33)
63% ( 15 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 21 of 51)
38% ( 5 of 13)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 6)
23% ( 17 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 40 of 84)
96
Total Points Won
61
L
6-2 6-1 6-4 H2H
SF
cross
Frances Tiafoe
Player
Holger Rune
50% ( 46 of 92)
1st Serve %
48% ( 43 of 89)
13
Aces
12
1
Double Faults
8
78% ( 36 of 46)
1st Serve Won
79% ( 34 of 43)
61% ( 28 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 21 of 46)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
30% ( 28 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 34 of 89)
98
Total Points Won
83
L
4-6 6-1 7-6(4) H2H
QF
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Jack Draper
52% ( 30 of 58)
1st Serve %
49% ( 23 of 47)
1
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
2
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
83% ( 19 of 23)
57% ( 16 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 11 of 24)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
31% ( 18 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 17 of 47)
57
Total Points Won
48
W
6-4 6-2 H2H

Pablo Carreno-Busta Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
63% ( 43 of 68)
1st Serve %
72% ( 43 of 60)
5
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
1
77% ( 33 of 43)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 29 of 43)
60% ( 15 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
71% ( 12 of 17)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
29% ( 20 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 19 of 60)
67
Total Points Won
61
L
7-6(5) 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
57% ( 43 of 75)
1st Serve %
58% ( 45 of 78)
12
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
2
77% ( 33 of 43)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 28 of 45)
53% ( 17 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 17 of 33)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
33% ( 25 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 33 of 78)
83
Total Points Won
70
L
6-0 4-6 6-4 H2H
Rubber 1
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Jordan Thompson
63% ( 55 of 88)
1st Serve %
67% ( 56 of 84)
5
Aces
18
0
Double Faults
1
67% ( 37 of 55)
1st Serve Won
80% ( 45 of 56)
64% ( 21 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
34% ( 30 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 27 of 84)
85
Total Points Won
87
W
2-6 6-2 7-6(3) H2H
R1
cross
Arthur Cazaux
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
47% ( 35 of 74)
1st Serve %
58% ( 42 of 73)
11
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
5
83% ( 29 of 35)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 25 of 42)
54% ( 21 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 9 of 31)
78% ( 7 of 9)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
32% ( 24 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 39 of 73)
89
Total Points Won
58
L
6-1 6-3 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Alex Michelsen
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
67% ( 31 of 46)
1st Serve %
63% ( 38 of 60)
2
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
5
71% ( 22 of 31)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 24 of 38)
40% ( 6 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 9 of 22)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
39% ( 18 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 27 of 60)
55
Total Points Won
51
L
7-6(5) 2-1 ret. H2H
QF
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Learner Tien
70% ( 47 of 67)
1st Serve %
72% ( 39 of 54)
2
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
0
64% ( 30 of 47)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 21 of 39)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 8 of 15)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
36% ( 24 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 25 of 54)
68
Total Points Won
53
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Aleksandar Vukic
70% ( 56 of 80)
1st Serve %
45% ( 39 of 87)
3
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
6
75% ( 42 of 56)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 29 of 39)
54% ( 13 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 19 of 48)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
31% ( 25 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 39 of 87)
94
Total Points Won
73
W
6-3 4-6 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Alexander Shevchenko
43% ( 23 of 53)
1st Serve %
48% ( 24 of 50)
2
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
3
87% ( 20 of 23)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 15 of 24)
50% ( 15 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 8 of 26)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
34% ( 18 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 27 of 50)
62
Total Points Won
41
W
6-2 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Omni Kumar
55% ( 26 of 47)
1st Serve %
60% ( 24 of 40)
6
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
4
77% ( 20 of 26)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 13 of 24)
57% ( 12 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 4 of 16)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 4)
32% ( 15 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 23 of 40)
55
Total Points Won
32
W
6-2 6-0 H2H
R3
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
56% ( 42 of 75)
1st Serve %
61% ( 50 of 82)
8
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
7
71% ( 30 of 42)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 36 of 50)
67% ( 22 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 13 of 32)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
31% ( 23 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 33 of 82)
85
Total Points Won
72
L
7-5 7-6(6) H2H

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