Rogers vs Pegula Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Our tip: Pegula to win.
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Pegula has won 52% of points on his second serve, while Rogers has won 46% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Pegula has won 37% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Rogers has won 35%. The same stats for second serve return points are 58% and 50% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Pegula has been saving 58% of his breakpoints, and Rogers has saved 51% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Pegula has won 74% of matches played (W/L 26/9) with Rogers winning 31% (W/L 4/9).
Surface prediction: Pegula performs best on Hard, winning 66% (W/L 242/122) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 58% (W/L 29/21). Rogers performs best on Hard, winning 56% (W/L 172/133), and performs worse on Grass, winning 41% (W/L 19/27).
In play break point conversion prediction: Jessica Pegula has converted 44% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Shelby Rogers has converted 41% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Shelby Rogers played Ana Bogdan in the Q1 round at the Tennis in the Land – Cleveland and lost 7-6(4) 4-6 6-1 in 02:55:17 . Jessica Pegula played Aryna Sabalenka in the Final at the Western & Southern Open – Cincinnati and lost 6-3 7-5 in 01:15:07.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Shelby Rogers and Jessica Pegula
Of their last 10 matches played, Rogers has won 3, while Pegula has won 9. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Rogers has won 44% of her own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points , while Pegula has won 49% of her own 2nd serve points and 46% of return points.
Alma@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Rogers Vs Pegula
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Rogers has won 5 titles in her career, while Jessica Pegula has won 7 events. Rogers has won 50% (27843 of 55522) of points played in her entire career, and Pegula has achieved 52% (36756 of 70859). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Rogers has won 54% of tie breaks in his entire career (75 of 140), whereas Jessica Pegula has won 59% (94 of 160). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Jessica Pegula has an 81.72% probability of winning this match.
Shelby Rogers vs Jessica Pegula Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Jessica Pegula To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Shelby Rogers has a 18.28% chance of winning and Jessica Pegula has a 81.72% chance of taking the victory. We tip Pegula to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Rogers vs Pegula
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Shelby Rogers vs Jessica Pegula here.
To see the full prediction for Rogers vs Pegula at U.S. Open – New York, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com U.S. Open Day 2 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the U.S. Open – New York, go here.
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for sports with a methodical approach to statistics, offering a fresh perspective on game outcomes, player performances, and season trends.
His work is characterized by a deep understanding of statistical models, a passion for uncovering hidden patterns, and an ability to communicate complex analysis in an accessible and engaging way.
He is particularly known for his tennis head to head predictions, which have proven remarkably accurate over the years.