Mariano Navone vs Roberto Carballes Baena Prediction – ATP Rio de Janeiro – 17th February 2025 Best Bets

Mariano Navone and Roberto Carballes Baena Prediction Head To Head Summary

Navone vs Baena Upcoming Match Details:

Navone will play Baena on Clay court in the First round at the ATP Rio Open event in Rio de Janeiro Men’s Singles 2025 on 17th February 2025.

Head-to-Head: Navone 0-1 Baena

The current Head to Head score is 0-1. Navone comes into this match with a ranking of 47 , while Baena is ranked 50.

Navone vs Baena Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Baena has won 50% of points on his second serve, while Navone has won 51% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Baena has won 30% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Navone has won 31%. The same stats for second serve return points are 53% and 49% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Baena has been saving 62% of his breakpoints, and Navone has saved 60% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Overall performance: In recent matches Baena has won 56% of matches played (W/L 18/14) with Navone winning 35% (W/L 7/13).
• Surface prediction: Baena performs best on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 504/302) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 7/16). Navone performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 218/116), and performs worse on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/4).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Roberto Carballes Baena has converted 41% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Mariano Navone has converted 37% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Mariano Navone played Joao Fonseca in the Quarterfinals at the Argentina Open – Buenos Aires and lost 3-6 6-4 7-5 in 02:54:05 . Roberto Carballes Baena played Dusan Lajovic in the First round at the Argentina Open – Buenos Aires and lost 7-6(8) 7-5 in 02:21:28.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Mariano Navone and Roberto Carballes Baena

Of their last 10 matches played, Navone has won 4, while Baena has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Navone has won 47% of his own 2nd serve points and 46% of return points , while Baena has won 54% of his own 2nd serve points and 41% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Navone Vs Baena

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Navone has won 6 titles in his career, while Roberto Carballes Baena has won 24 events. Navone has won 51% (22998 of 44813) of points played in his entire career, and Baena has achieved 51% (56538 of 111198). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Navone has won 54% of tie breaks in his entire career (50 of 92), whereas Roberto Carballes Baena has won 48% (137 of 284). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Roberto Carballes Baena has an 62.91% probability of winning this match.

Mariano Navone vs Roberto Carballes Baena Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Roberto Carballes Baena To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Mariano Navone has a 37.09% chance of winning and Roberto Carballes Baena has a 62.91% chance of taking the victory. We tip Baena to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Mariano Navone vs Roberto Carballes Baena

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the Rio Open – Rio de Janeiro, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Mariano Navone

• Navone vs Monteiro H2H (2-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Navone vs Acosta H2H (0-1) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Nagal vs Navone H2H (0-1) , could play in The Second round
• Baez vs Navone H2H (1-0) , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Roberto Carballes Baena

• Baena vs Monteiro H2H (0-6) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Baena vs Acosta H2H (1-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Nagal vs Baena H2H (0-0) , could play in The Second round
• Baez vs Baena H2H (2-0) , could play in The Second round