Elise Mertens and Aryna Sabalenka Prediction Head To Head Summary
Mertens vs Sabalenka Upcoming Match Details:
Mertens will play Sabalenka on Hard court in the Fourth round at the WTA U.S. Open event in New York Women’s Singles 2024 on 1st September 2024.
Head-to-head: Mertens 2-7 Sabalenka
Mertens vs Sabalenka Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Our tip: Sabalenka to win.
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Sabalenka has won 52% of points on his second serve, while Mertens has won 47% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Sabalenka has won 36% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Mertens has won 35%. The same stats for second serve return points are 56% and 57% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Sabalenka has been saving 63% of his breakpoints, and Mertens has saved 53% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Overall performance: In recent matches Sabalenka has won 78% of matches played (W/L 31/9) with Mertens winning 53% (W/L 16/14).
- Surface prediction: Sabalenka performs best on Hard, winning 72% (W/L 249/97) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 83/47). Mertens performs best on Hard, winning 66% (W/L 259/131), and performs worse on Grass, winning 52% (W/L 34/31).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Aryna Sabalenka has converted 44% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Elise Mertens has converted 42% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Elise Mertens played Madison Keys in the Third round at the U.S. Open – New York and won 6-7(5) 7-5 6-4 in 02:54:00 . Aryna Sabalenka played Ekaterina Alexandrova in the Third round at the U.S. Open – New York and won 2-6 6-1 6-2 in 01:40:00.
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Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats. See it here.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Elise Mertens and Aryna Sabalenka
Of their last 10 matches played, Mertens has won 6, while Sabalenka has won 9. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Mertens has won 48% of her own 2nd serve points and 43% of return points , while Sabalenka has won 52% of her own 2nd serve points and 46% of return points.
Alma@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Mertens Vs Sabalenka
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Mertens has won 19 titles in her career, while Aryna Sabalenka has won 24 events. Mertens has won 52% (37662 of 72651) of points played in her entire career, and Sabalenka has achieved 53% (41480 of 78990). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Mertens has won 46% of tie breaks in his entire career (60 of 131), whereas Aryna Sabalenka has won 57% (89 of 155). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Aryna Sabalenka has an 81.23% probability of winning this match.
Elise Mertens vs Aryna Sabalenka Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Elise Mertens has a 18.77% chance of winning and Aryna Sabalenka has a 81.23% chance of taking the victory. We tip Sabalenka to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Mertens vs Sabalenka
Value Bets For Elise Mertens vs Aryna Sabalenka
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Elise Mertens vs Aryna Sabalenka here.
To see the full prediction for Mertens vs Sabalenka at U.S. Open – New York, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com U.S. Open Day 7 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the U.S. Open – New York, go here.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Elise Mertens
- Gauff vs Mertens H2H Prediction , could play in The Semifinals
- Navarro vs Mertens H2H Prediction , could play in The Semifinals
- Wang vs Mertens H2H Prediction , could play in The Semifinals
- Gibert vs Mertens H2H Prediction , could play in The Semifinals
- Vekic vs Mertens H2H Prediction , could play in The Quarterfinals
- Zheng vs Mertens H2H Prediction , could play in The Quarterfinals
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Aryna Sabalenka
- Gauff vs Sabalenka H2H Prediction , could play in The Semifinals
- Navarro vs Sabalenka H2H Prediction , could play in The Semifinals
- Wang vs Sabalenka H2H Prediction , could play in The Semifinals
- Gibert vs Sabalenka H2H Prediction , could play in The Semifinals
- Vekic vs Sabalenka H2H Prediction , could play in The Quarterfinals
- Zheng vs Sabalenka H2H Prediction , could play in The Quarterfinals
