Mertens vs Pegula Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Our tip: Pegula to win.
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Pegula has won 49% of points on his second serve, while Mertens has won 43% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Pegula has won 38% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Mertens has won 41%. The same stats for second serve return points are 56% and 53% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Pegula has been saving 56% of his breakpoints, and Mertens has saved 55% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Pegula has won 74% of matches played (W/L 23/8) with Mertens winning 59% (W/L 13/9).
Surface prediction: Pegula performs best on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 255/126) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 31/23). Mertens performs best on Hard, winning 66% (W/L 267/137), and performs worse on Grass, winning 52% (W/L 34/31).
In play break point conversion prediction: Jessica Pegula has converted 49% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Elise Mertens has converted 44% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Elise Mertens played Viktorija Golubic in the First round at the Australian Open – Melbourne and won 4-6 7-6(8) 6-4 in 02:47:00 . Jessica Pegula played Maya Joint in the First round at the Australian Open – Melbourne and won 6-3 6-0 in 00:59:00.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Elise Mertens and Jessica Pegula
Of their last 10 matches played, Mertens has won 6, while Pegula has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Mertens has won 46% of her own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points , while Pegula has won 48% of her own 2nd serve points and 46% of return points.
Alma@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Mertens Vs Pegula
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Mertens has won 19 titles in her career, while Jessica Pegula has won 7 events. Mertens has won 52% (38735 of 74746) of points played in her entire career, and Pegula has achieved 52% (38143 of 73531). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Mertens has won 46% of tie breaks in his entire career (61 of 134), whereas Jessica Pegula has won 59% (97 of 164). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Jessica Pegula has an 78.27% probability of winning this match.
Elise Mertens vs Jessica Pegula Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Jessica Pegula To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Elise Mertens has a 21.73% chance of winning and Jessica Pegula has a 78.27% chance of taking the victory. We tip Pegula to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Mertens vs Pegula
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Elise Mertens vs Jessica Pegula here.
To see the full prediction for Mertens vs Pegula at Australian Open – Melbourne, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com Australian Open Day 3 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the Australian Open – Melbourne, go here.
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for sports with a methodical approach to statistics, offering a fresh perspective on game outcomes, player performances, and season trends.
His work is characterized by a deep understanding of statistical models, a passion for uncovering hidden patterns, and an ability to communicate complex analysis in an accessible and engaging way.
He is particularly known for his tennis head to head predictions, which have proven remarkably accurate over the years.
