Keys vs Mertens Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
Our tip: Keys to win.
Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Mertens has won 47% of points on his second serve, while Keys has won 47% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Mertens has won 34% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Keys has won 37%. The same stats for second serve return points are 57% and 57% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
Performance under pressure prediction: Mertens has been saving 52% of his breakpoints, and Keys has saved 61% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Overall performance: In recent matches Mertens has won 52% of matches played (W/L 15/14) with Keys winning 70% (W/L 21/9).
Surface prediction: Mertens performs best on Hard, winning 66% (W/L 258/131) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 52% (W/L 34/31). Keys performs best on Grass, winning 72% (W/L 50/19), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 17/15).
In play break point conversion prediction: Elise Mertens has converted 43% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Madison Keys has converted 44% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
Last match played: In the match before this one, Madison Keys played Maya Joint in the Second round at the U.S. Open – New York and won 6-4 6-0 in 01:02:00 . Elise Mertens played Ajla Tomljanovic in the Second round at the U.S. Open – New York and won 6-3 6-2 in 01:36:00.
Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Madison Keys and Elise Mertens
Of their last 10 matches played, Keys has won 6, while Mertens has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Keys has won 50% of her own 2nd serve points and 41% of return points , while Mertens has won 48% of her own 2nd serve points and 43% of return points.
Megan@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Keys Vs Mertens
Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Keys has won 13 titles in her career, while Elise Mertens has won 19 events. Keys has won 52% (38128 of 73098) of points played in her entire career, and Mertens has achieved 52% (37538 of 72417). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Keys has won 58% of tie breaks in his entire career (91 of 158), whereas Elise Mertens has won 46% (60 of 130). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Madison Keys has an 54.43% probability of winning this match.
Madison Keys vs Elise Mertens Odds & Betting Tips Our Prediction: Madison Keys To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Madison Keys has a 54.43% chance of winning and Elise Mertens has a 45.57% chance of taking the victory. We tip Keys to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Sportsbooks & Bookies Promo Codes For Keys vs Mertens
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips. Check out the value bets for Madison Keys vs Elise Mertens here.
To see the full prediction for Keys vs Mertens at U.S. Open – New York, go to the head to head page here
This is just one of hundreds of machine learning AI tennis predictions available for matches today. See all the Matchstat.com U.S. Open Day 5 Predictions here.
To see all live tennis scores for the U.S. Open – New York, go here.
Rushit is an enthusiastic and skilled sports analyst known for his keen insights and accurate predictions across a variety of sports. With a background in data analytics, Rushit combines his love for sports with a methodical approach to statistics, offering a fresh perspective on game outcomes, player performances, and season trends.
His work is characterized by a deep understanding of statistical models, a passion for uncovering hidden patterns, and an ability to communicate complex analysis in an accessible and engaging way.
He is particularly known for his tennis head to head predictions, which have proven remarkably accurate over the years.
