David Goffin vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction – ATP Indian Wells – 5th March 2025 Best Bets

David Goffin and Lorenzo Sonego Prediction Head To Head Summary

Goffin vs Sonego Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Sonego has a 51.25% win this match.

Goffin → 2.21. Sonego → 1.7.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Goffin vs Sonego Upcoming Match Details:

Goffin will play Sonego on Hard court in the First round at the ATP BNP Paribas Open event in Indian Wells Men’s Singles 2025 on 5th March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Goffin 1-2 Sonego

The current Head to Head score is 1-2. Goffin comes into this match with a ranking of 56 , while Sonego is ranked 37.

Goffin vs Sonego Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Sonego has won 50% of points on his second serve, while Goffin has won 44% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Sonego has won 22% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Goffin has won 28%. The same stats for second serve return points are 39% and 45% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Sonego has been saving 65% of his breakpoints, and Goffin has saved 59% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Sonego performs best on Clay, winning 60% (W/L 202/136) and worse career win % on Hard, winning 49% (W/L 80/82). Goffin performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 214/114), and performs worse on Grass, winning 59% (W/L 44/30).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Lorenzo Sonego has converted 23% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and David Goffin has converted 28% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, David Goffin played Brandon Nakashima in the Quarterfinals at the Abierto Mexicano Telcel – Acapulco and lost 7-6(4) 6-2 in 02:02:12 . Lorenzo Sonego played Stefanos Tsitsipas in the First round at the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships – Dubai and lost 7-6(4) 6-3 in 01:37:59.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of David Goffin and Lorenzo Sonego

Of their last 10 matches played, Goffin has won 2, while Sonego has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Goffin has won 51% of his own 2nd serve points and 40% of return points , while Sonego has won 49% of his own 2nd serve points and 33% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Goffin Vs Sonego

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Goffin has won 32 titles in his career, while Lorenzo Sonego has won 10 events. Goffin has won 51% (67567 of 131229) of points played in his entire career, and Sonego has achieved 51% (44376 of 87344). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Goffin has won 52% of tie breaks in his entire career (176 of 341), whereas Lorenzo Sonego has won 51% (144 of 280). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Lorenzo Sonego has an 51.25% probability of winning this match.

David Goffin vs Lorenzo Sonego Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Lorenzo Sonego To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates David Goffin has a 48.75% chance of winning and Lorenzo Sonego has a 51.25% chance of taking the victory. We tip Sonego to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For David Goffin vs Lorenzo Sonego

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For David Goffin

• Acosta vs Goffin H2H (0-0) , could play in The Third round
• Darderi vs Goffin H2H (0-1) , could play in The Third round
• Hurkacz vs Goffin H2H (2-1) , could play in The Third round
• Goffin vs Minaur H2H (0-6) , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Lorenzo Sonego

• Acosta vs Sonego H2H (0-0) , could play in The Third round
• Darderi vs Sonego H2H (0-0) , could play in The Third round
• Hurkacz vs Sonego H2H (3-4) , could play in The Third round
• Sonego vs Minaur H2H (0-3) , could play in The Second round