Alexander Bublik vs Sebastian Baez Prediction – ATP Miami – 19th March 2025 Best Bets

Alexander Bublik and Sebastian Baez Prediction Head To Head Summary

Bublik vs Baez Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Bublik has a 55.07% win this match.

Bublik → 1.6. Baez → 2.42.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Bublik vs Baez Upcoming Match Details:

Bublik will play Baez on Hard court in the First round at the ATP Miami Open event in Miami Men’s Singles 2025 on 19th March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Bublik 0-0 Baez

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Bublik comes into this match with a ranking of 80 , while Baez is ranked 36.

Bublik vs Baez Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Baez has won 43% of points on his second serve, while Bublik has won 43% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Baez has won 32% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Bublik has won 22%. The same stats for second serve return points are 45% and 47% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Baez has been saving 52% of his breakpoints, and Bublik has saved 59% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Baez performs best on Clay, winning 71% (W/L 224/92) and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 6% (W/L 1/17). Bublik performs best on I.hard, winning 62% (W/L 109/67), and performs worse on Clay, winning 49% (W/L 57/60).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Sebastian Baez has converted 35% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Alexander Bublik has converted 31% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Alexander Bublik played Joao Fonseca in the Final at the Phoenix Challenger and lost 7-6(5) 7-6(0) in 01:43:53 . Sebastian Baez played Matteo Gigante in the First round at the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells and lost 3-6 6-1 6-4 in 01:57:49.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Alexander Bublik and Sebastian Baez

Of their last 10 matches played, Bublik has won 5, while Baez has won 8. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Bublik has won 41% of his own 2nd serve points and 35% of return points , while Baez has won 49% of his own 2nd serve points and 37% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Bublik Vs Baez

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Bublik has won 17 titles in his career, while Sebastian Baez has won 18 events. Bublik has won 50% (43432 of 86713) of points played in his entire career, and Baez has achieved 52% (30350 of 58879). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Bublik has won 53% of tie breaks in his entire career (131 of 248), whereas Sebastian Baez has won 50% (61 of 123). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Alexander Bublik has an 55.07% probability of winning this match.

Alexander Bublik vs Sebastian Baez Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Alexander Bublik To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Alexander Bublik has a 55.07% chance of winning and Sebastian Baez has a 44.93% chance of taking the victory. We tip Bublik to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

To see all live tennis scores for the Miami Open – Miami, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Alexander Bublik

• Bublik vs Paul H2H (undefined) , could play in The Second round

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Sebastian Baez

• Baez vs Paul H2H (undefined) , could play in The Second round