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Sebastian Baez vs Tommy Paul Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Baez vs Paul analysis and find out who is favored!

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Sebastian Baez vs Tommy Paul Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Baez 0 - 2 Paul

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Baez has won 53.24% of points on their second serve, while Paul has won 55.27%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Baez, in recent form, has won 51.86% of their opponent's second serve points, while Paul has won 52.47%. The same stats for first serve returns are 34.71% and 34.66% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Baez has saved 60% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Paul has saved 66.42% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Baez has won 59.68% of matches played (W/L 37/ 25), with Paul winning 66.67% (W/L 48/ 24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Baez has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 70% (W/L 205/ 86), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 8% (W/L 1/ 12). Paul has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 32/ 16), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 62% (W/L 57/ 35).
  • Player level: In the last year, Baez has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 65% of matches (W/L 26/ 14), where as Paul has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 67.86% of matches (W/L 19/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Baez winning 0 times and Paul being victorious 2 times. They have played 4 sets in total, with Baez winning 0 and Paul winning 4. The last match between Baez and Paul was at the cinch Championships - London, 18-06-2024, First, Grass with Tommy Paul getting the victory 6-4 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:35:20.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Baez and Paul have played a deciding set 0 times, with Baez winning 0 times and Paul 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Baez winning 0, and Paul 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Baez has played against opponents with an average rank of 153.66 while Paul has played against players with an average rank of 129.43.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Baez has won 54% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Paul has won 63% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Baez has converted 42.96% of breakpoint opportunities, and Paul has converted 43.62% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Sebastian Baez

17

Total

0

Mast

6

Chall

0

Slam

6

Main

5

Minor

18

Rank

18

High

23

Age

R

Plays

0

Total

2

0

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

2

13

Rank

12

High

27

Age

R

Plays

Tommy Paul

13

Total

0

Mast

4

Chall

0

Slam

3

Main

6

Minor

0

Total

2

0

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

2

W L W W L W L L L L

Form

W W W W W W W W W L

64% (240-135)

Career Total W/L

64% (415-234)

58% (22-16)

YTD W/L

74% (31-11)

$2,429,670

Career Prize Money

$6,719,590

2

YTD Titles

2

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Baez VS Paul H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Sebastian Baez Tommy Paul
All H2H Matches 0 2
Sets Won 0 4
Games Won 15 25
Aces (Total) 2 8
DFs Total 4 7
Avg Match Time 1:35:20 1:35:20
1st Serve % 69% (102/148) 61% (86/140)
1st Serve Win% 53% (54/102) 74% (64/86)
2nd Serve Win% 54% (25/46) 57% (31/54)
BPs Won% (Total) 22% (2/9) 35% (6/17)
Return Points W% 32% (45/140) 47% (69/148)
Best of 3 Sets W% 0% (0/2) 100% (2/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 0% (0/0) 100% (2/2)
1st set W, L 0% (0/0) 0% (2/0)
1st set L, W 0% (2/0) 0% (0/0)

Baez VS Paul H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 6-4
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Sebastian Baez
67% ( 50 of 75)
1st Serve %
72% ( 59 of 82)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
76% ( 38 of 50)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 30 of 59)
48% ( 12 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 14 of 23)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
33% ( 25 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 38 of 82)
88
Total Points Won
69
6-1 7-6(7)
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Sebastian Baez
55% ( 36 of 65)
1st Serve %
65% ( 43 of 66)
3
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
2
72% ( 26 of 36)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 24 of 43)
66% ( 19 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 11 of 23)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
31% ( 20 of 65)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 31 of 66)
76
Total Points Won
55

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Sebastian Baez Tommy Paul
YTD W/L 58% (22/16) 74% (31/11)
Sets Win/Loss 55% (55/45) 69% (78/35)
Games Win/Loss 51% (480/455) 56% (593/463)
Hard Win/Loss 38% (3/5) 63% (10/6)
Clay Win/Loss 70% (19/8) 70% (7/3)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 100% (4/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/3) 83% (10/2)
Aces pg 0.18 0.46
Aces Total 81 236
DFs per game 0.14 0.14
DFs Total 64 73
Avg Match Time 1:55:50 1:55:1
Avg Opp Rank 163.24 129.9
1st Serve % 72% (2149/2983) 61% (2041/3330)
1st Serve W% 63% (1350/2149) 72% (1464/2041)
2nd Serve W% 54% (447/834) 55% (715/1289)
BPs Won% Total 43% (131/303) 44% (150/343)
Return Pts W% 41% (1188/2903) 41% (1399/3397)
Slam W/L 50% (3/3) 73% (8/3)
Masters W/L 38% (3/5) 69% (9/4)
Cups W/L 100% (1/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 65% (15/8) 78% (14/4)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 59% (19/32) 77% (23/30)
Best of 5 Sets W% 50% (3/6) 73% (8/11)
TBs Win% (Total) 50% (5/10) 70% (7/10)
Deciding Set W% 50% (7/14) 62% (8/13)
1st set W, W 77% (22/17) 84% (32/27)
1st set W, L 23% (22/5) 13% (32/4)
1st set L, W 31% (16/5) 40% (10/4)

Sebastian Baez Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Brandon Nakashima
Player
Sebastian Baez
70% ( 56 of 80)
1st Serve %
74% ( 64 of 87)
14
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
2
75% ( 42 of 56)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 38 of 64)
67% ( 16 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 12 of 23)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
28% ( 22 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 37 of 87)
95
Total Points Won
72
L
6-2 6-3 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Miomir Kecmanovic
Player
Sebastian Baez
67% ( 37 of 55)
1st Serve %
71% ( 34 of 48)
8
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
70% ( 26 of 37)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 19 of 34)
61% ( 11 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 7 of 14)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
33% ( 18 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 22 of 48)
59
Total Points Won
44
L
6-3 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Sebastian Baez
67% ( 50 of 75)
1st Serve %
72% ( 59 of 82)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
76% ( 38 of 50)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 30 of 59)
48% ( 12 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 14 of 23)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
33% ( 25 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 38 of 82)
88
Total Points Won
69
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Ofner
Player
Sebastian Baez
61% ( 115 of 190)
1st Serve %
78% ( 130 of 166)
6
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
2
62% ( 71 of 115)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 79 of 130)
57% ( 43 of 75)
2nd Serve Won
64% ( 23 of 36)
43% ( 6 of 14)
Break Points Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
40% ( 76 of 190)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 64 of 166)
178
Total Points Won
178
L
3-6 3-6 6-4 7-5 7-6(5) H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Gustavo Heide
75% ( 124 of 165)
1st Serve %
49% ( 68 of 138)
5
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
63% ( 78 of 124)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 40 of 68)
49% ( 20 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 32 of 70)
64% ( 9 of 14)
Break Points Won
38% ( 6 of 16)
41% ( 67 of 165)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 66 of 138)
164
Total Points Won
139
W
4-6 6-3 6-1 4-6 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Sebastian Baez
63% ( 50 of 79)
1st Serve %
80% ( 67 of 84)
3
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
68% ( 34 of 50)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 46 of 67)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 6 of 17)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
100% ( 3 of 3)
37% ( 29 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 32 of 84)
82
Total Points Won
81
L
6-3 3-6 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
81% ( 42 of 52)
1st Serve %
78% ( 38 of 49)
1
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
69% ( 29 of 42)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 19 of 38)
60% ( 6 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 6)
33% ( 17 of 52)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 26 of 49)
61
Total Points Won
40
W
6-3 6-0 H2H
R1
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Sumit Nagal
77% ( 55 of 71)
1st Serve %
73% ( 43 of 59)
2
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
0
73% ( 40 of 55)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 30 of 43)
63% ( 10 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
63% ( 10 of 16)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
30% ( 21 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 19 of 59)
69
Total Points Won
61
W
7-6(7) 6-3 H2H
R4
cross
Hubert Hurkacz
Player
Sebastian Baez
57% ( 58 of 102)
1st Serve %
72% ( 78 of 109)
17
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
3
84% ( 49 of 58)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 49 of 78)
41% ( 18 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 19 of 31)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
34% ( 35 of 102)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 41 of 109)
108
Total Points Won
103
L
5-7 7-6(4) 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Sebastian Baez
Player
Dusan Lajovic
78% ( 69 of 88)
1st Serve %
61% ( 51 of 83)
1
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
57% ( 39 of 69)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 28 of 51)
47% ( 9 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 12 of 32)
40% ( 6 of 15)
Break Points Won
46% ( 6 of 13)
45% ( 40 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 43 of 83)
91
Total Points Won
80
W
7-6(3) 7-6(6) H2H

Tommy Paul Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
QF
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Tommy Paul
61% ( 73 of 119)
1st Serve %
60% ( 82 of 136)
7
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
2
66% ( 48 of 73)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 47 of 82)
63% ( 29 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 27 of 54)
30% ( 8 of 27)
Break Points Won
40% ( 4 of 10)
35% ( 42 of 119)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 62 of 136)
139
Total Points Won
116
L
5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2 H2H
R4
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Roberto Bautista Agut
61% ( 54 of 88)
1st Serve %
76% ( 67 of 88)
11
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
0
80% ( 43 of 54)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 36 of 67)
62% ( 21 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 13 of 21)
71% ( 5 of 7)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
27% ( 24 of 88)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 39 of 88)
103
Total Points Won
73
W
6-2 7-6(3) 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Alexander Bublik
69% ( 52 of 75)
1st Serve %
65% ( 51 of 79)
9
Aces
15
3
Double Faults
2
85% ( 44 of 52)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 36 of 51)
61% ( 14 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 9 of 28)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
23% ( 17 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 34 of 79)
92
Total Points Won
62
W
6-3 6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Otto Virtanen
69% ( 104 of 151)
1st Serve %
55% ( 82 of 149)
9
Aces
11
2
Double Faults
5
79% ( 82 of 104)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 58 of 82)
57% ( 27 of 47)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 41 of 67)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
27% ( 3 of 11)
28% ( 42 of 151)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 50 of 149)
159
Total Points Won
141
W
4-6 6-3 5-7 7-5 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Pedro Martinez Portero
53% ( 48 of 91)
1st Serve %
66% ( 71 of 107)
10
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
9
81% ( 39 of 48)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 46 of 71)
58% ( 25 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 13 of 36)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
30% ( 27 of 91)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 48 of 107)
112
Total Points Won
86
W
6-2 6-1 4-6 6-3 H2H
F
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
68% ( 47 of 69)
1st Serve %
77% ( 43 of 56)
6
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
0
77% ( 36 of 47)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 28 of 43)
59% ( 13 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 8 of 13)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
29% ( 20 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 20 of 56)
69
Total Points Won
56
W
6-1 7-6(8) H2H
SF
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Sebastian Korda
68% ( 50 of 73)
1st Serve %
53% ( 35 of 66)
5
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
1
62% ( 31 of 50)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 26 of 35)
65% ( 15 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 12 of 31)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
37% ( 27 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 28 of 66)
74
Total Points Won
65
W
6-4 7-6(2) H2H
QF
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Jack Draper
60% ( 57 of 95)
1st Serve %
57% ( 46 of 81)
7
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
4
75% ( 43 of 57)
1st Serve Won
80% ( 37 of 46)
53% ( 20 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 17 of 35)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 32 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 27 of 81)
90
Total Points Won
86
W
6-3 5-7 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Alejandro Tabilo
68% ( 36 of 53)
1st Serve %
65% ( 41 of 63)
10
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
1
86% ( 31 of 36)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 30 of 41)
76% ( 13 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 9 of 22)
20% ( 2 of 10)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
17% ( 9 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 24 of 63)
68
Total Points Won
48
W
6-3 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Sebastian Baez
67% ( 50 of 75)
1st Serve %
72% ( 59 of 82)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
76% ( 38 of 50)
1st Serve Won
51% ( 30 of 59)
48% ( 12 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 14 of 23)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
33% ( 25 of 75)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 38 of 82)
88
Total Points Won
69
W
6-4 6-4 H2H

Baez Vs Paul Prediction H2H Images To Share

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