Nuno Borges vs Jacob Fearnley Prediction – ATP – 13th March 2025 Best Bets

Nuno Borges and Jacob Fearnley Prediction Head To Head Summary

Borges vs Fearnley Prediction:

Derived from odds to give us the implied probability from the moneyline, Fearnley has a 53.4% win this match.

Borges → 1.78. Fearnley → 1.96.

BE AWARE: To reveal edge and value bets for this match, check out the Matchstat.com expert prediction pick by clicking here.

Borges vs Fearnley Upcoming Match Details:

Borges will play Fearnley on Hard court in the Second round at the ATP Phoenix Challenger Men’s Singles 2025 on 13th March 2025.

Head-to-Head: Borges 0-0 Fearnley

The current Head to Head score is 0-0. Borges comes into this match with a ranking of 36 , while Fearnley is ranked 81.

Borges vs Fearnley Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Fearnley has won 44% of points on his second serve, while Borges has won 48% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Fearnley has won 25% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Borges has won 24%. The same stats for second serve return points are 45% and 45% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Fearnley has been saving 59% of his breakpoints, and Borges has saved 57% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Surface prediction: Fearnley performs best on I.hard, winning 82% (W/L 46/10) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 10/5). Borges performs best on Hard, winning 70% (W/L 151/65), and performs worse on Grass, winning 38% (W/L 6/10).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Jacob Fearnley has converted 26% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Nuno Borges has converted 33% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Nuno Borges played Grigor Dimitrov in the Second round at the BNP Paribas Open – Indian Wells and lost 6-3 6-4 in 01:33:09 . Jacob Fearnley played James Duckworth in the First round at the Phoenix Challenger and won 7-6(3) 6-3 in 01:41:27.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Nuno Borges and Jacob Fearnley

Of their last 10 matches played, Borges has won 5, while Fearnley has won 6. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Borges has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 39% of return points , while Fearnley has won 46% of his own 2nd serve points and 43% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Borges Vs Fearnley

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Borges has won 18 titles in his career, while Jacob Fearnley has won 6 events. Borges has won 52% (31190 of 59826) of points played in his entire career, and Fearnley has achieved 53% (7055 of 13262). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Borges has won 51% of tie breaks in his entire career (84 of 164), whereas Jacob Fearnley has won 65% (17 of 26). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Jacob Fearnley has an 53.4% probability of winning this match.

Nuno Borges vs Jacob Fearnley Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Jacob Fearnley To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Nuno Borges has a 46.6% chance of winning and Jacob Fearnley has a 53.4% chance of taking the victory. We tip Fearnley to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Nuno Borges vs Jacob Fearnley

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the Phoenix Challenger, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Nuno Borges

• Borges vs Bublik H2H (1-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Borges vs Hijikata H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Borges vs Moutet H2H (0-1) , could play in The Semifinals
• Borges vs Portero H2H (2-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Borges vs Safiullin H2H (1-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Borges vs Smith H2H (0-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Jacob Fearnley

• Fearnley vs Bublik H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Fearnley vs Hijikata H2H (1-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Fearnley vs Moutet H2H (1-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Fearnley vs Portero H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Fearnley vs Safiullin H2H (0-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Fearnley vs Smith H2H (0-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals