Sebastian Baez vs Mariano Navone Prediction – ATP Rio de Janeiro – 20th February 2025 Best Bets

Sebastian Baez and Mariano Navone Prediction Head To Head Summary

Baez vs Navone Upcoming Match Details:

Baez will play Navone on Clay court in the Second round at the ATP Rio Open event in Rio de Janeiro Men’s Singles 2025 on 20th February 2025.

Head-to-Head: Baez 1-0 Navone

The current Head to Head score is 1-0. Baez comes into this match with a ranking of 31 , while Navone is ranked 46.

Baez vs Navone Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Navone has won 51% of points on his second serve, while Baez has won 51% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Navone has won 31% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Baez has won 29%. The same stats for second serve return points are 49% and 50% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Navone has been saving 60% of his breakpoints, and Baez has saved 61% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Overall performance: In recent matches Navone has won 38% of matches played (W/L 8/13) with Baez winning 33% (W/L 6/12).
• Surface prediction: Navone performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 219/116) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/4). Baez performs best on Clay, winning 70% (W/L 217/91), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 6% (W/L 1/17).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Mariano Navone has converted 39% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Sebastian Baez has converted 38% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Sebastian Baez played Roman Andres Burruchaga in the First round at the Rio Open – Rio de Janeiro and won 6-3 7-5 in 01:37:17 . Mariano Navone played Roberto Carballes Baena in the First round at the Rio Open – Rio de Janeiro and won 6-4 6-3 in 01:36:08.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Sebastian Baez and Mariano Navone

Of their last 10 matches played, Baez has won 5, while Navone has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Baez has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points , while Navone has won 47% of his own 2nd serve points and 46% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Baez Vs Navone

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Baez has won 17 titles in his career, while Mariano Navone has won 6 events. Baez has won 52% (29623 of 57488) of points played in his entire career, and Navone has achieved 51% (23062 of 44929). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Baez has won 49% of tie breaks in his entire career (60 of 122), whereas Mariano Navone has won 54% (50 of 92). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Sebastian Baez has an 60.64% probability of winning this match.

Sebastian Baez vs Mariano Navone Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Sebastian Baez To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Sebastian Baez has a 60.64% chance of winning and Mariano Navone has a 39.36% chance of taking the victory. We tip Baez to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Sebastian Baez vs Mariano Navone

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the Rio Open – Rio de Janeiro, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Sebastian Baez

• Baez vs Faria H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Baez vs Clar H2H (1-1) , could play in The Semifinals
• Baez vs Dzumhur H2H (1-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Baez vs Carabelli H2H (4-2) , could play in The Semifinals
• Baez vs Tseng H2H (0-1) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Baez vs Monteiro H2H (5-1) , could play in The Quarterfinals

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Mariano Navone

• Navone vs Faria H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Navone vs Clar H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Navone vs Dzumhur H2H (0-0) , could play in The Semifinals
• Navone vs Carabelli H2H (1-2) , could play in The Semifinals
• Navone vs Tseng H2H (0-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals
• Navone vs Monteiro H2H (2-0) , could play in The Quarterfinals