Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction – ATP Rio de Janeiro – 22nd February 2025 Best Bets

Sebastian Baez and Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction Head To Head Summary

Baez vs Carabelli Upcoming Match Details:

Baez will play Carabelli on Clay court in the Semifinals at the ATP Rio Open event in Rio de Janeiro Men’s Singles 2025 on 22nd February 2025.

Head-to-Head: Baez 4-2 Carabelli

The current Head to Head score is 4-2. Baez comes into this match with a ranking of 31 , while Carabelli is ranked 91.

Baez vs Carabelli Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:

• Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Carabelli has won 49% of points on his second serve, while Baez has won 51% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
• Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Carabelli has won 36% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Baez has won 31%. The same stats for second serve return points are 56% and 49% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
• Performance under pressure prediction: Carabelli has been saving 63% of his breakpoints, and Baez has saved 62% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
• Overall performance: In recent matches Carabelli has won 74% of matches played (W/L 31/11) with Baez winning 42% (W/L 8/11).
• Surface prediction: Carabelli performs best on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 325/173) and worse career win % on Grass, winning 0% (W/L 0/2). Baez performs best on Clay, winning 71% (W/L 219/91), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 6% (W/L 1/17).
• In play break point conversion prediction: Camilo Ugo Carabelli has converted 48% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Sebastian Baez has converted 39% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
• Last match played: In the match before this one, Sebastian Baez played Chun Hsin Tseng in the Quarterfinals at the Rio Open – Rio de Janeiro and won 6-4 6-1 in 01:35:12 . Camilo Ugo Carabelli played Jaime Faria in the Quarterfinals at the Rio Open – Rio de Janeiro and won 7-6(5) 6-4 in 01:56:04.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents

Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Sebastian Baez and Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Of their last 10 matches played, Baez has won 7, while Carabelli has won 8. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Clay . In recent matches, Baez has won 53% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points , while Carabelli has won 48% of his own 2nd serve points and 44% of return points.

Gemma@MatchStat

See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Baez Vs Carabelli

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:

Baez has won 17 titles in his career, while Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 12 events. Baez has won 52% (29772 of 57769) of points played in his entire career, and Carabelli has achieved 52% (37581 of 72962). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Baez has won 49% of tie breaks in his entire career (60 of 122), whereas Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 55% (77 of 139). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Sebastian Baez has an 59.09% probability of winning this match.

Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Sebastian Baez To Get The Win

After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Sebastian Baez has a 59.09% chance of winning and Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 40.91% chance of taking the victory. We tip Baez to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds

Value Bets For Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.

To see all live tennis scores for the Rio Open – Rio de Janeiro, go here.

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Sebastian Baez

• Muller vs Baez H2H (0-0) , could play in The Final
• Comesana vs Baez H2H (0-1) , could play in The Final

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Camilo Ugo Carabelli

• Muller vs Carabelli H2H (2-0) , could play in The Final
• Comesana vs Carabelli H2H (0-1) , could play in The Final