Carlos Alcaraz and Marin Cilic Prediction Head To Head Summary

Alcaraz vs Cilic Upcoming Match Details:
Alcaraz will play Cilic on Hard court in the First round at the ATP Qatar ExxonMobil Open event in Doha Men’s Singles 2025 on 17th February 2025.
Head-to-Head: Alcaraz 3-1 Cilic
The current Head to Head score is 3-1. Alcaraz comes into this match with a ranking of 3 , while Cilic is ranked 195.
Alcaraz vs Cilic Prediction, Tips & Picks Analysis:
- Second serve performance analysis: In matches leading up to this game, Cilic has won 53% of points on his second serve, while Alcaraz has won 58% and in historical match simulations this is a very important variable in analyzing the outcome.
- Returning game stats analysis: Leading up to this h2h matchup Cilic has won 27% of his opponent’s first serve points, while Alcaraz has won 34%. The same stats for second serve return points are 49% and 52% respectively which historical data suggests is very important when picking h2h betting tips.
- Performance under pressure prediction: Cilic has been saving 63% of his breakpoints, and Alcaraz has saved 66% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Overall performance: In recent matches Cilic has won 56% of matches played (W/L 9/7) with Alcaraz winning 78% (W/L 25/7).
- Surface prediction: Cilic performs best on Grass, winning 72% (W/L 85/33) and worse career win % on Clay, winning 62% (W/L 181/109). Alcaraz performs best on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 24/3), and performs worse on I.hard, winning 66% (W/L 25/13).
- In play break point conversion prediction: Marin Cilic has converted 43% of breakpoint opportunities in their recent games and Carlos Alcaraz has converted 40% of their chances to get the break which is an important stat in our betting tips system to pick the outcome.
- Last match played: In the match before this one, Carlos Alcaraz played Alex De Minaur in the Final at the ABN AMRO Open – Rotterdam and won 6-4 3-6 6-2 in 01:54:11 . Marin Cilic played Jiri Lehecka in the Second round at the Belgrade Open – Belgrade and lost 6-4 7-6(4) in 01:43:45.

Head To Head Performance Stats Vs All Opponents
Unlimited match filtering is available on the detailed stats head to head page where you can also see current event performance stats.

Prediction Stats H2H Summary Of Carlos Alcaraz and Marin Cilic
Of their last 10 matches played, Alcaraz has won 9, while Cilic has won 5. The Matchstat.com prediction algorithm uses about 190 variables. One very important stat for this match is on Hard . In recent matches, Alcaraz has won 60% of his own 2nd serve points and 42% of return points , while Cilic has won 50% of his own 2nd serve points and 36% of return points.
Amanda@MatchStat
See below for our machine learning AI prediction for Alcaraz Vs Cilic

Career Performance Prediction Factors In Our Pick:
Alcaraz has won 24 titles in his career, while Marin Cilic has won 36 events. Alcaraz has won 53% (30556 of 57488) of points played in his entire career, and Cilic has achieved 52% (78589 of 151653). A great statistic to predict performance under pressure is that, Alcaraz has won 63% of tie breaks in his entire career (98 of 155), whereas Marin Cilic has won 52% (260 of 503). As per the image above, our algorithm is predicting Carlos Alcaraz has an 85.03% probability of winning this match.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Marin Cilic Odds & Betting Tips
Our Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz To Get The Win
After analyzing hundreds of performance variables against all other players in their careers and recent form, as well as head to head performance stats, our pick indicates Carlos Alcaraz has a 85.03% chance of winning and Marin Cilic has a 14.97% chance of taking the victory. We tip Alcaraz to get the win. Whether you should place a bet on this pick or not depends on the likely probability of the player winning relative to the odds
Value Bets For Carlos Alcaraz vs Marin Cilic
A value bet in tennis is identified when the odds offered by bookmakers provide a return higher than the actual probability of the event happening. This type of bet suggests that the bettor has a tip edge over the sportsbook. To calculate a value bet, one multiplies the decimal odds by their estimated probability of the outcome and subtracts 1. If the result is greater than 0, the bet is considered to have value. This strategy requires thorough research and understanding of various factors such as player performance, head-to-head statistics, surface preference, and current form. Finding value bets is a key strategy for achieving long-term success in tennis betting, emphasizing the importance of patience, discipline, and continuous learning in the betting process. Anyone joining our tennis betting predictions club gets all values calculated automatically to ensure the most accurate picks and tips.
To see all live tennis scores for the Qatar ExxonMobil Open – Doha, go here.