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Prediction of Matteo Arnaldi [42nd] vs Daniil Medvedev [9th] Head-to-Head At The

By Wojtek Kolan

Head-2-Head: Arnaldi 0 - 4 Medvedev

They have played 10 sets in total, with Arnaldi winning 2 and Medvedev winning 8. The last match between Arnaldi and Medvedev was at the Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai, 06-10-2024, Third, Hard with Daniil Medvedev getting the victory 5-7 6-4 6-4.

Players Head-To-Head Match Wins
Matteo Arnaldi 0
Daniil Medvedev 4
Arnaldi vs Medvedev H2H Profile
Arnaldi Stats Medvedev
47% (8-9) YTD Win/Loss 64% (14-8)
0 Head-to-Head 4
42 Ranking 9
30 Highest Rank 1
24 Age 29
- Plays R
6 Titles 25
61% (224-143) Career Total W/L 71% (551-228)
$2,239,275 Career Prize Money $31,831,320
0 Hard H2H 3
0 Clay H2H 1

Recent Performance Stats (Last 6 Months)

Arnaldi VS Medvedev H2H Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
5-7 6-4 6-4
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
65% ( 71 of 110)
1st Serve %
73% ( 77 of 106)
10
Aces
9
6
Double Faults
2
69% ( 49 of 71)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 49 of 77)
46% ( 18 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 15 of 29)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
39% ( 43 of 110)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 42 of 106)
109
Total Points Won
107
2-6 6-4 6-4
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
64% ( 52 of 81)
1st Serve %
57% ( 51 of 89)
3
Aces
7
5
Double Faults
4
83% ( 43 of 52)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 37 of 51)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 19 of 38)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
28% ( 23 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 33 of 89)
91
Total Points Won
79
6-2 7-5
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
70% ( 43 of 61)
1st Serve %
48% ( 32 of 67)
9
Aces
4
5
Double Faults
2
72% ( 31 of 43)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 21 of 32)
67% ( 12 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 18 of 35)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
30% ( 18 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 28 of 67)
71
Total Points Won
57
6-4 6-2
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
60% ( 37 of 62)
1st Serve %
58% ( 37 of 64)
6
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
3
78% ( 29 of 37)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 23 of 37)
56% ( 14 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 12 of 27)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
31% ( 19 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 29 of 64)
72
Total Points Won
54

Arnaldi VS Medvedev H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Arnaldi Vs Medvedev H2H Stats
Matteo Arnaldi Arnaldi Stats Daniil Medvedev Medvedev
0 H2H Matches 4
2 Sets Won 8
42 Games Won 56
20 Aces (Total) 28
11 Total Double Faults 19
1:56:26 Average Match Time 1:56:26
60% (197/326) 1st Serve % 65% (203/314)
66% (130/197) 1st Serve Win % 75% (152/203)
50% (64/129) 2nd Serve Win % 53% (59/111)
31% (5/16) Break Points Won % (Total) 38% (12/32)
33% (103/314) Return Points Win % 40% (132/326)
0% (0/4) Best of 3 Sets Win % 100% (4/4)
0% (0/0) Best of 5 Sets Win % 0% (0/0)
0% (0/0) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 0% (0/0)
0% (0/2) Deciding Set Win % 100% (2/2)
0% (2/0) 1st Set Won, Won Match 100% (2/2)
100% (2/2) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 0% (2/0)
0% (2/0) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 100% (2/2)

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniil Medvedev Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Arnaldi 0 - 4 Medvedev

Editorial Prediction:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Arnaldi has won 49.09% of points on their second serve, while Medvedev has won 42.96%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Arnaldi, in recent form, has won 42.56% of their opponent's second serve points, while Medvedev has won 46.72%. The same stats for first serve returns are 26.81% and 26.09% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Arnaldi has saved 54.86% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Medvedev has saved 55.41% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Arnaldi has won 48.98% of matches played (W/L 24/ 25), with Medvedev winning 63.08% (W/L 41/ 24) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 125/ 66), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 38% (W/L 15/ 25). Medvedev has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 75% (W/L 256/ 84), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 65% (W/L 90/ 49).
  • Player level: In the last year, Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 52.63% of matches (W/L 10/ 9), where as Medvedev has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 60.87% of matches (W/L 14/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Arnaldi winning 0 times and Medvedev being victorious 4 times. They have played 10 sets in total, with Arnaldi winning 2 and Medvedev winning 8. The last match between Arnaldi and Medvedev was at the Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai, 06-10-2024, Third, Hard with Daniil Medvedev getting the victory 5-7 6-4 6-4.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:56:26.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Arnaldi and Medvedev have played a deciding set 2 times, with Arnaldi winning 0 times and Medvedev 2 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Arnaldi winning 0, and Medvedev 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Arnaldi has played against opponents with an average rank of 64.51 while Medvedev has played against players with an average rank of 50.57.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Arnaldi has won 40% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Medvedev has won 58% in all matches played on tour.
  • Current event H2H stats: Past player performance is very useful in predicting tennis matches, but once an event is under way we should also look at current event stats for in form player indication, so check the section below (if they have played a match in the current event). Some players also perform better at certain events and this should be taken into account when picking the outcome.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Arnaldi has converted 28.81% of breakpoint opportunities, and Medvedev has converted 33.11% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
  • Matteo Arnaldi Recent Matches Played

    OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
    R1
    cross
    Sebastian Korda
    Player
    Matteo Arnaldi
    69% ( 52 of 75)
    1st Serve %
    62% ( 46 of 74)
    5
    Aces
    0
    2
    Double Faults
    0
    69% ( 36 of 52)
    1st Serve Won
    63% ( 29 of 46)
    65% ( 15 of 23)
    2nd Serve Won
    57% ( 16 of 28)
    67% ( 4 of 6)
    Break Points Won
    33% ( 2 of 6)
    32% ( 24 of 75)
    Rtn Points Won
    39% ( 29 of 74)
    80
    Total Points Won
    69
    L
    3-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
    R1
    cross
    Richard Gasquet
    Player
    Matteo Arnaldi
    48% ( 48 of 99)
    1st Serve %
    53% ( 50 of 95)
    1
    Aces
    5
    5
    Double Faults
    3
    71% ( 34 of 48)
    1st Serve Won
    68% ( 34 of 50)
    57% ( 29 of 51)
    2nd Serve Won
    47% ( 21 of 45)
    50% ( 5 of 10)
    Break Points Won
    27% ( 3 of 11)
    36% ( 36 of 99)
    Rtn Points Won
    42% ( 40 of 95)
    103
    Total Points Won
    91
    L
    6-3 4-6 6-4 H2H
    R2
    cross
    Tomas Machac
    Player
    Matteo Arnaldi
    69% ( 53 of 77)
    1st Serve %
    61% ( 45 of 74)
    5
    Aces
    6
    6
    Double Faults
    3
    68% ( 36 of 53)
    1st Serve Won
    64% ( 29 of 45)
    54% ( 13 of 24)
    2nd Serve Won
    52% ( 15 of 29)
    60% ( 3 of 5)
    Break Points Won
    33% ( 2 of 6)
    36% ( 28 of 77)
    Rtn Points Won
    41% ( 30 of 74)
    79
    Total Points Won
    72
    L
    6-2 1-6 6-3 H2H
    R1
    cross
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Player
    Yibing Wu
    55% ( 50 of 91)
    1st Serve %
    74% ( 84 of 114)
    16
    Aces
    5
    3
    Double Faults
    0
    82% ( 41 of 50)
    1st Serve Won
    67% ( 56 of 84)
    59% ( 24 of 41)
    2nd Serve Won
    50% ( 15 of 30)
    17% ( 2 of 12)
    Break Points Won
    100% ( 2 of 2)
    29% ( 26 of 91)
    Rtn Points Won
    38% ( 43 of 114)
    108
    Total Points Won
    97
    W
    7-6(3) 4-6 6-3 H2H
    R3
    cross
    Brandon Nakashima
    Player
    Matteo Arnaldi
    60% ( 27 of 45)
    1st Serve %
    57% ( 32 of 56)
    4
    Aces
    2
    0
    Double Faults
    5
    89% ( 24 of 27)
    1st Serve Won
    72% ( 23 of 32)
    72% ( 13 of 18)
    2nd Serve Won
    38% ( 9 of 24)
    50% ( 3 of 6)
    Break Points Won
    0% ( 0 of 1)
    18% ( 8 of 45)
    Rtn Points Won
    43% ( 24 of 56)
    61
    Total Points Won
    40
    L
    6-2 6-4 H2H
    R2
    cross
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Player
    Andrey Rublev
    43% ( 30 of 70)
    1st Serve %
    54% ( 33 of 61)
    0
    Aces
    2
    0
    Double Faults
    5
    57% ( 17 of 30)
    1st Serve Won
    61% ( 20 of 33)
    55% ( 22 of 40)
    2nd Serve Won
    36% ( 10 of 28)
    60% ( 6 of 10)
    Break Points Won
    36% ( 4 of 11)
    44% ( 31 of 70)
    Rtn Points Won
    51% ( 31 of 61)
    70
    Total Points Won
    61
    W
    6-4 7-5 H2H
    R1
    cross
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Player
    Aleksandar Kovacevic
    58% ( 61 of 106)
    1st Serve %
    58% ( 53 of 92)
    7
    Aces
    5
    6
    Double Faults
    1
    67% ( 41 of 61)
    1st Serve Won
    70% ( 37 of 53)
    53% ( 24 of 45)
    2nd Serve Won
    49% ( 19 of 39)
    40% ( 4 of 10)
    Break Points Won
    20% ( 3 of 15)
    39% ( 41 of 106)
    Rtn Points Won
    39% ( 36 of 92)
    101
    Total Points Won
    97
    W
    6-3 5-7 6-4 H2H
    R1
    cross
    Alexander Zverev
    Player
    Matteo Arnaldi
    64% ( 63 of 98)
    1st Serve %
    64% ( 55 of 86)
    8
    Aces
    6
    1
    Double Faults
    1
    78% ( 49 of 63)
    1st Serve Won
    78% ( 43 of 55)
    60% ( 21 of 35)
    2nd Serve Won
    61% ( 19 of 31)
    50% ( 2 of 4)
    Break Points Won
    0% ( 0 of 3)
    29% ( 28 of 98)
    Rtn Points Won
    28% ( 24 of 86)
    94
    Total Points Won
    90
    L
    6-7(2) 6-3 6-4 H2H
    SF
    cross
    Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
    Player
    Matteo Arnaldi
    62% ( 41 of 66)
    1st Serve %
    49% ( 31 of 63)
    1
    Aces
    4
    1
    Double Faults
    2
    68% ( 28 of 41)
    1st Serve Won
    65% ( 20 of 31)
    48% ( 12 of 25)
    2nd Serve Won
    47% ( 15 of 32)
    67% ( 4 of 6)
    Break Points Won
    25% ( 2 of 8)
    39% ( 26 of 66)
    Rtn Points Won
    44% ( 28 of 63)
    68
    Total Points Won
    61
    L
    6-4 6-4 H2H
    QF
    cross
    Matteo Arnaldi
    Player
    Brandon Nakashima
    57% ( 34 of 60)
    1st Serve %
    69% ( 47 of 68)
    8
    Aces
    5
    0
    Double Faults
    2
    79% ( 27 of 34)
    1st Serve Won
    70% ( 33 of 47)
    81% ( 21 of 26)
    2nd Serve Won
    52% ( 11 of 21)
    50% ( 1 of 2)
    Break Points Won
    0% ( 0 of 1)
    20% ( 12 of 60)
    Rtn Points Won
    35% ( 24 of 68)
    72
    Total Points Won
    56
    W
    7-6(2) 6-4 H2H

    Daniil Medvedev Recent Matches Played

    OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
    R3
    cross
    Alex De Minaur
    Player
    Daniil Medvedev
    52% ( 24 of 46)
    1st Serve %
    56% ( 29 of 52)
    3
    Aces
    3
    3
    Double Faults
    3
    58% ( 14 of 24)
    1st Serve Won
    45% ( 13 of 29)
    55% ( 12 of 22)
    2nd Serve Won
    26% ( 6 of 23)
    58% ( 7 of 12)
    Break Points Won
    75% ( 3 of 4)
    43% ( 20 of 46)
    Rtn Points Won
    63% ( 33 of 52)
    59
    Total Points Won
    39
    L
    6-2 6-2 H2H
    R2
    cross
    Daniil Medvedev
    Player
    Alexandre Muller
    56% ( 58 of 103)
    1st Serve %
    57% ( 69 of 122)
    7
    Aces
    1
    8
    Double Faults
    4
    72% ( 42 of 58)
    1st Serve Won
    61% ( 42 of 69)
    42% ( 19 of 45)
    2nd Serve Won
    49% ( 26 of 53)
    50% ( 5 of 10)
    Break Points Won
    67% ( 4 of 6)
    41% ( 42 of 103)
    Rtn Points Won
    44% ( 54 of 122)
    115
    Total Points Won
    110
    W
    7-6(6) 5-7 6-2 H2H
    R1
    cross
    Daniil Medvedev
    Player
    Karen Khachanov
    50% ( 48 of 96)
    1st Serve %
    71% ( 85 of 119)
    4
    Aces
    1
    5
    Double Faults
    2
    73% ( 35 of 48)
    1st Serve Won
    52% ( 44 of 85)
    33% ( 16 of 48)
    2nd Serve Won
    38% ( 13 of 34)
    45% ( 9 of 20)
    Break Points Won
    50% ( 8 of 16)
    47% ( 45 of 96)
    Rtn Points Won
    52% ( 62 of 119)
    113
    Total Points Won
    102
    W
    7-5 4-6 6-4 H2H
    R2
    cross
    Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
    Player
    Daniil Medvedev
    58% ( 31 of 53)
    1st Serve %
    58% ( 31 of 53)
    0
    Aces
    1
    0
    Double Faults
    4
    77% ( 24 of 31)
    1st Serve Won
    61% ( 19 of 31)
    68% ( 15 of 22)
    2nd Serve Won
    45% ( 10 of 22)
    27% ( 3 of 11)
    Break Points Won
    0% ( 0 of 2)
    26% ( 14 of 53)
    Rtn Points Won
    45% ( 24 of 53)
    63
    Total Points Won
    43
    L
    6-2 6-3 H2H
    SF
    cross
    Holger Rune
    Player
    Daniil Medvedev
    67% ( 47 of 70)
    1st Serve %
    50% ( 30 of 60)
    1
    Aces
    2
    2
    Double Faults
    0
    72% ( 34 of 47)
    1st Serve Won
    67% ( 20 of 30)
    61% ( 14 of 23)
    2nd Serve Won
    53% ( 16 of 30)
    75% ( 3 of 4)
    Break Points Won
    50% ( 1 of 2)
    31% ( 22 of 70)
    Rtn Points Won
    40% ( 24 of 60)
    72
    Total Points Won
    58
    L
    7-5 6-4 H2H
    QF
    cross
    Daniil Medvedev
    Player
    Arthur Fils
    61% ( 54 of 88)
    1st Serve %
    58% ( 61 of 106)
    5
    Aces
    2
    3
    Double Faults
    7
    63% ( 34 of 54)
    1st Serve Won
    74% ( 45 of 61)
    74% ( 25 of 34)
    2nd Serve Won
    47% ( 21 of 45)
    27% ( 3 of 11)
    Break Points Won
    50% ( 4 of 8)
    33% ( 29 of 88)
    Rtn Points Won
    38% ( 40 of 106)
    99
    Total Points Won
    95
    W
    6-4 2-6 7-6(7) H2H
    R4
    cross
    Daniil Medvedev
    Player
    Tommy Paul
    61% ( 31 of 51)
    1st Serve %
    67% ( 37 of 55)
    8
    Aces
    4
    4
    Double Faults
    4
    71% ( 22 of 31)
    1st Serve Won
    51% ( 19 of 37)
    45% ( 9 of 20)
    2nd Serve Won
    28% ( 5 of 18)
    75% ( 6 of 8)
    Break Points Won
    40% ( 2 of 5)
    39% ( 20 of 51)
    Rtn Points Won
    56% ( 31 of 55)
    62
    Total Points Won
    44
    W
    6-4 6-0 H2H
    R3
    cross
    Daniil Medvedev
    Player
    Alex Michelsen
    80% ( 4 of 5)
    1st Serve %
    43% ( 3 of 7)
    1
    Aces
    0
    0
    Double Faults
    1
    75% ( 3 of 4)
    1st Serve Won
    33% ( 1 of 3)
    100% ( 1 of 1)
    2nd Serve Won
    25% ( 1 of 4)
    100% ( 1 of 1)
    Break Points Won
    0% ( 0 of 0)
    20% ( 1 of 5)
    Rtn Points Won
    71% ( 5 of 7)
    9
    Total Points Won
    3
    W
    2-0 ret. H2H
    R2
    cross
    Daniil Medvedev
    Player
    Bu Yunchaokete
    40% ( 21 of 52)
    1st Serve %
    47% ( 29 of 62)
    3
    Aces
    0
    1
    Double Faults
    1
    90% ( 19 of 21)
    1st Serve Won
    62% ( 18 of 29)
    45% ( 14 of 31)
    2nd Serve Won
    36% ( 12 of 33)
    36% ( 5 of 14)
    Break Points Won
    50% ( 1 of 2)
    37% ( 19 of 52)
    Rtn Points Won
    52% ( 32 of 62)
    65
    Total Points Won
    49
    W
    6-2 6-2 H2H
    QF
    cross
    Tallon Griekspoor
    Player
    Daniil Medvedev
    72% ( 81 of 112)
    1st Serve %
    72% ( 78 of 109)
    5
    Aces
    15
    1
    Double Faults
    4
    68% ( 55 of 81)
    1st Serve Won
    71% ( 55 of 78)
    52% ( 16 of 31)
    2nd Serve Won
    61% ( 19 of 31)
    29% ( 2 of 7)
    Break Points Won
    21% ( 3 of 14)
    37% ( 41 of 112)
    Rtn Points Won
    32% ( 35 of 109)
    106
    Total Points Won
    115
    L
    2-6 7-6(7) 7-5 H2H
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    Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

    Arnaldi & Medvedev Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
    Matteo Arnaldi Arnaldi Stats Daniil Medvedev Medvedev
    61% (224/143) Win/Loss 71% (551/228)
    59% (522/363) Sets Win/Loss 66% (1290/659)
    53% (4436/3939) Games Win/Loss 56% (10357/8252)
    0.35 Aces Per Game 0.57
    1419 Aces Total 5166
    0.25 Double Faults Per Game 0.27
    1021 Total Double Faults 2461
    1:43:35 Average Match Time 1:33:26
    297.7 Average Opponent Rank 322.28
    59% (14912/25248) 1st Serve % 61% (31609/51932)
    68% (10160/14912) 1st Serve Win % 75% (23654/31609)
    50% (5185/10331) 2nd Serve Win % 51% (10361/20316)
    43% (1085/2510) Break Points Won % (Total) 43% (2322/5367)
    40% (9950/24709) Return Points Win % 40% (21457/53665)
    62% (209/339) Best of 3 Sets Win % 71% (458/647)
    46% (11/24) Best of 5 Sets Win % 72% (88/123)
    57% (67/118) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 57% (159/278)
    51% (62/122) Deciding Set Win % 63% (137/219)
    83% (227/189) 1st Set Won, Won Match 91% (503/458)
    17% (227/38) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 9% (503/44)
    24% (139/33) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 33% (275/92)

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