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Prediction of Roberto Carballes Baena [57th] vs Jordan Thompson [38th] Head-to-Head At The 2025 Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona (04-14-25)

By Wojtek Kolan - April 13, 2025

Clay COURT
Monday
11:30 AM (CET)
Kolkata
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Estimated local

Baena vs. Thompson Forecast

Derived from the implied probability from the moneyline, Baena has a 64.03% chance to get the victory.

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Prediction Chance To Win
Jordan Thompson 39.68 %
Roberto Carballes Baena 64.03 %

Above is implied from odds. Login now to find out our expert picks.

Head-2-Head: Baena 0 - 1 Thompson

Baena and Thompson have faced off in 3 sets, with Thompson winning all. In their last encounter at Wimbledon on June 28, 2022, Thompson triumphed 6-4, 6-1, 6-1 on grass. Can Baena break his losing streak against Thompson next time?

Players Head-To-Head Match Wins
Roberto Carballes Baena 0
Jordan Thompson 1
Baena vs Thompson H2H Profile
Baena Stats Thompson
47% (9-10) YTD Win/Loss 50% (6-6)
0 Head-to-Head 1
57 Ranking 38
49 Highest Rank 26
32 Age 30
R Plays R
24 Titles 17
59% (584-411) Career Total W/L 60% (469-314)
$3,119,525 Career Prize Money $3,948,265
0 YTD Titles 0
0 Hard H2H 0
0 Clay H2H 0
0 Indoor H2H 0
0 Grass H2H 1

Who Do Our Users Think Will Win?

Who will win?

Thompson
Baena
Vote Yourself To Show Results

Roberto Carballes Baena implied favourite from odds → 64.03%

ODDS
OUR PREDICTION
Edge

Jordan Thompson

To Win

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Roberto Carballes Baena

To Win

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Jordan Thompson

To Win first set

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Roberto Carballes Baena

To Win first set

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Roberto Carballes Baena

To win 2-0

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Jordan Thompson

To win 2-0

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Roberto Carballes Baena

To win 2-1

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Jordan Thompson

To win 2-1

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over 20

Games

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Recent Performance Stats (Last 6 Months)

Baena VS Thompson H2H Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 6-1 6-1
cross
Jordan Thompson
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
66% ( 48 of 73)
1st Serve %
75% ( 59 of 79)
10
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
4
79% ( 38 of 48)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 31 of 59)
52% ( 13 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 9 of 20)
64% ( 7 of 11)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 22 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 39 of 79)
90
Total Points Won
62

Baena VS Thompson H2H Stats

Baena Vs Thompson H2H Stats
Roberto Carballes Baena Baena Stats Jordan Thompson Thompson
0 H2H Matches 1
0 Sets Won 3
6 Games Won 18
4 Aces (Total) 10
4 Total Double Faults 1
1:43:0 Average Match Time 1:43:0
75% (59/79) 1st Serve % 66% (48/73)
53% (31/59) 1st Serve Win % 79% (38/48)
45% (9/20) 2nd Serve Win % 52% (13/25)
33% (1/3) Break Points Won % (Total) 64% (7/11)
30% (22/73) Return Points Win % 49% (39/79)
0% (0/0) Best of 3 Sets Win % 0% (0/0)
0% (0/1) Best of 5 Sets Win % 100% (1/1)
0% (0/0) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 0% (0/0)
0% (0/0) Deciding Set Win % 0% (0/0)
0% (0/0) 1st Set Won, Won Match 100% (1/1)
0% (0/0) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 0% (1/0)
0% (1/0) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 0% (0/0)

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

Roberto Carballes Baena vs Jordan Thompson Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Baena 0 - 1 Thompson

Editorial Prediction:

In the domain of tennis, the ability to manage second serve situations can significantly tilt the balance in a player's favor. Recent statistics reveal that over the past six months, Baena has secured 42.21% of points from his second serve, whereas Thompson boasts a slightly superior performance with a 49.29% success rate. This aspect is crucial, as it often correlates with the precision of match predictions.

Analyzing return game metrics, Baena exhibits a commendable performance, winning 49.07% of his opponent's second serve points, outshining Thompson, who captures 41.77%. Furthermore, into the minutiae of first serve return, Baena once again leads with 29.41% compared to Thompson’s 22.99%, key indicators in forecasting the favored player in their head-to-head encounters.

Breaking down performance under pressure, the data indicates that Baena has an ability to fend off 54.63% of breakpoints. Here, Thompson edges ahead slightly, with a statistic of 56.67%, offering valuable insights for in-game predictive analyses.

In terms of overall performance, Baena holds a win rate of 48.08% over the past year (25 wins and 27 losses), while Thompson demonstrates a higher efficiency, securing victory in 55.32% of matches (26 wins and 21 losses). This comparative analysis aids in forming a broader perspective on their head-to-head potential.

Surface specialization further differentiates these players. Baena's forte lies in clay, achieving a 50% win rate (88 wins and 87 losses). Conversely, grass proves to be his Achilles' heel, with only a 24% success rate (4 wins and 13 losses). Thompson, however, shows prowess on grass, with a win percentage of 52% (31 wins and 29 losses), but struggles on clay with just 32% (15 wins and 32 losses).

Concentrating on tour levels, Baena has predominantly played on the main tour in the past year, winning 46.88% of those encounters (15 wins and 17 losses), while Thompson's main tour record boasts a 60% win rate (12 wins and 8 losses). The caliber of their opponents also varies, with Baena facing competitors with an average rank of 92.73 compared to Thompson’s lower average opponent rank of 67.19, suggesting Thompson has faced stiffer competition.

Looking at their direct encounters, Thompson has claimed victory in their sole match and all three sets played. This previous meeting, occurring at Wimbledon in June 2022 on grass, further highlights Thompson’s strength in head-to-head scenarios. Moreover, the pressure of breaking serve seems to be handled similarly by both players, with Baena and Thompson converting break points at rates of 35.33% and 36%, respectively.

When contemplating the outcome should this match extend to a deciding set, Thompson holds a slight edge, having won 56% of his deciding sets in the past year compared to Baena’s 52%. Add to this Thompson's stronger showing at higher-level tournaments and previous direct encounter success, he appears favored to win the upcoming match based on comprehensive analysis of recent statistics.

Roberto Carballes Baena Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
SF
cross
Luciano Darderi
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
50% ( 29 of 58)
1st Serve %
69% ( 38 of 55)
5
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
2
79% ( 23 of 29)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 20 of 38)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 5 of 17)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
33% ( 19 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 30 of 55)
69
Total Points Won
44
L
6-3 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Roberto Carballes Baena
Player
Nuno Borges
67% ( 60 of 90)
1st Serve %
46% ( 26 of 56)
1
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
6
63% ( 38 of 60)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 20 of 26)
43% ( 13 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 11 of 30)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
12% ( 2 of 17)
43% ( 39 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 25 of 56)
76
Total Points Won
70
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Roberto Carballes Baena
Player
Otto Virtanen
78% ( 45 of 58)
1st Serve %
58% ( 33 of 57)
1
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
2
67% ( 30 of 45)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 23 of 33)
62% ( 8 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 9 of 24)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 20 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 25 of 57)
63
Total Points Won
52
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Roberto Carballes Baena
Player
Taha Baadi
61% ( 48 of 79)
1st Serve %
66% ( 54 of 82)
1
Aces
1
7
Double Faults
0
73% ( 35 of 48)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 33 of 54)
45% ( 14 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
25% ( 3 of 12)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
38% ( 30 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 35 of 82)
84
Total Points Won
77
W
7-6(3) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Brandon Nakashima
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
68% ( 69 of 101)
1st Serve %
56% ( 48 of 86)
14
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
1
75% ( 52 of 69)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 35 of 48)
44% ( 14 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 18 of 38)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
35% ( 35 of 101)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 33 of 86)
99
Total Points Won
88
L
6-4 4-6 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Roberto Carballes Baena
Player
Christopher O'Connell
60% ( 56 of 93)
1st Serve %
65% ( 74 of 113)
7
Aces
12
3
Double Faults
3
75% ( 42 of 56)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 46 of 74)
49% ( 18 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 23 of 39)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
35% ( 33 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 44 of 113)
104
Total Points Won
102
W
6-3 3-6 7-6(5) H2H
R1
cross
Christopher O'Connell
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
65% ( 40 of 62)
1st Serve %
67% ( 57 of 85)
2
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
3
63% ( 25 of 40)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 33 of 57)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 15 of 28)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
40% ( 25 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 37 of 85)
74
Total Points Won
73
L
6-3 0-6 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
59% ( 41 of 69)
1st Serve %
73% ( 48 of 66)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
78% ( 32 of 41)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 31 of 48)
43% ( 12 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 7 of 18)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
36% ( 25 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 28 of 66)
72
Total Points Won
63
L
7-6(4) 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Mariano Navone
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
64% ( 39 of 61)
1st Serve %
64% ( 35 of 55)
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
74% ( 29 of 39)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 20 of 35)
36% ( 8 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 8 of 20)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
39% ( 24 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 27 of 55)
64
Total Points Won
52
L
6-4 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Dusan Lajovic
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
54% ( 44 of 81)
1st Serve %
56% ( 48 of 86)
7
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
2
68% ( 30 of 44)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 29 of 48)
51% ( 19 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 15 of 38)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
80% ( 4 of 5)
40% ( 32 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 42 of 86)
91
Total Points Won
76
L
7-6(8) 7-5 H2H

Jordan Thompson Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
cross
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player
Jordan Thompson
49% ( 40 of 82)
1st Serve %
62% ( 48 of 78)
6
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
1
80% ( 32 of 40)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 34 of 48)
60% ( 25 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 15 of 30)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
30% ( 25 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 29 of 78)
86
Total Points Won
74
L
4-6 6-4 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Jordan Thompson
Player
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
59% ( 29 of 49)
1st Serve %
65% ( 53 of 81)
1
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
4
76% ( 22 of 29)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 30 of 53)
75% ( 15 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
61% ( 17 of 28)
23% ( 3 of 13)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
24% ( 12 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 34 of 81)
71
Total Points Won
59
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Ethan Quinn
Player
Jordan Thompson
56% ( 54 of 96)
1st Serve %
61% ( 58 of 95)
4
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
3
70% ( 38 of 54)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 36 of 58)
55% ( 23 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 18 of 37)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
31% ( 4 of 13)
36% ( 35 of 96)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 41 of 95)
102
Total Points Won
89
L
4-6 6-4 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Jordan Thompson
76% ( 42 of 55)
1st Serve %
70% ( 42 of 60)
6
Aces
11
0
Double Faults
0
76% ( 32 of 42)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 29 of 42)
77% ( 10 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
24% ( 13 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 22 of 60)
64
Total Points Won
51
L
7-5 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Jordan Thompson
Player
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
65% ( 43 of 66)
1st Serve %
72% ( 59 of 82)
7
Aces
15
1
Double Faults
2
88% ( 38 of 43)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 43 of 59)
70% ( 16 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 12 of 23)
33% ( 1 of 3)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
18% ( 12 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 27 of 82)
81
Total Points Won
67
W
7-6(4) 7-6(1) H2H
R1
cross
Jordan Thompson
Player
Marcos Giron
61% ( 58 of 95)
1st Serve %
61% ( 65 of 106)
12
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
4
72% ( 42 of 58)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 48 of 65)
59% ( 22 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 20 of 41)
18% ( 2 of 11)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
33% ( 31 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 38 of 106)
102
Total Points Won
99
W
3-6 6-4 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Corentin Moutet
Player
Jordan Thompson
60% ( 52 of 87)
1st Serve %
47% ( 50 of 106)
4
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
4
69% ( 36 of 52)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 33 of 50)
54% ( 19 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 29 of 56)
27% ( 4 of 15)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
37% ( 32 of 87)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 44 of 106)
99
Total Points Won
94
L
6-4 4-6 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Nuno Borges
Player
Jordan Thompson
77% ( 62 of 81)
1st Serve %
63% ( 51 of 81)
6
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
2
74% ( 46 of 62)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 32 of 51)
79% ( 15 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 14 of 30)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
25% ( 20 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 35 of 81)
96
Total Points Won
66
L
6-3 6-2 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Jordan Thompson
Player
Dominik Koepfer
52% ( 67 of 128)
1st Serve %
59% ( 69 of 116)
18
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
6
78% ( 52 of 67)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 51 of 69)
59% ( 36 of 61)
2nd Serve Won
51% ( 24 of 47)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
31% ( 40 of 128)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 41 of 116)
129
Total Points Won
115
W
7-6(3) 6-4 4-6 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Jordan Thompson
68% ( 21 of 31)
1st Serve %
46% ( 12 of 26)
1
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
90% ( 19 of 21)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 7 of 12)
50% ( 5 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 6 of 14)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 7 of 31)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 13 of 26)
37
Total Points Won
20
L
6-1 2-1 ret. H2H

Where To Watch Baena vs Thompson?

When the match starts we will have live scores and stats on this page. For live streaming at TV channels of this match, see our ATP and WTA worldwide viewing pages. Free trial live streaming of Baena Vs Thompson is now available here.

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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Baena & Thompson Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
Roberto Carballes Baena Baena Stats Jordan Thompson Thompson
63% (507/304) Win/Loss 57% (87/66)
60% (1128/761) Sets Win/Loss 54% (204/174)
54% (9541/8073) Games Win/Loss 52% (1860/1724)
0.15 Aces Per Game 0.24
1257 Aces Total 428
0.18 Double Faults Per Game 0.1
1535 Total Double Faults 171
1:21:56 Average Match Time 1:11:22
492.44 Average Opponent Rank 501.62
64% (27767/43346) 1st Serve % 62% (4591/7381)
66% (18414/27767) 1st Serve Win % 69% (3188/4591)
51% (7906/15579) 2nd Serve Win % 51% (1411/2790)
45% (2175/4805) Break Points Won % (Total) 39% (249/632)
42% (18424/43691) Return Points Win % 37% (2706/7335)
62% (482/773) Best of 3 Sets Win % 60% (81/136)
47% (9/19) Best of 5 Sets Win % 21% (3/14)
50% (115/230) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 51% (25/49)
54% (142/262) Deciding Set Win % 53% (29/55)
84% (508/426) 1st Set Won, Won Match 83% (83/69)
16% (508/81) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 17% (83/14)
25% (302/76) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 24% (70/17)

See recent tennis photos of Baena and Thompson

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Roberto Carballes Baena

Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona

Rinderknech vs Baena H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Djere vs Baena H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Quinn vs Baena H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Alcaraz vs Baena H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Baena vs Minaur H2H, could play in The Second round

Baena vs Etcheverry H2H, could play in The Second round

View full predicted draw for Baena in Barcelona

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Jordan Thompson

Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona

Rinderknech vs Thompson H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Djere vs Thompson H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Quinn vs Thompson H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Alcaraz vs Thompson H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Thompson vs Minaur H2H, could play in The Second round

Thompson vs Etcheverry H2H, could play in The Second round

View full predicted draw for Thompson in Barcelona

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