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Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Djokovic vs Alcaraz analysis and find out who is favored!
Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Djokovic has won 57.61% of points on his second serve, while Alcaraz has won 56.97%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Djokovic, in recent form, has won 55.37% of his opponent's second serve points, while Alcaraz has won 56.41%. The same stats for first serve returns are 29.54% and 35.3% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Djokovic has saved 62.07% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Alcaraz has saved 59.3% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Djokovic has won 85% of matches played (W/L 51/ 9), with Alcaraz winning 81.82% (W/L 63/ 14) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Djokovic has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 86% (W/L 119/ 20), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 79% (W/L 200/ 52). Alcaraz has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 16/ 2), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 13/ 10).
- Player level: In the last year, Djokovic has played most of their matches on the Grand Slam, winning 92.59% of matches (W/L 25/ 2), where as Alcaraz has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 80% of matches (W/L 24/ 6). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 5 times before with Djokovic winning 3 times. They have played 17 sets in total, with Djokovic winning 10 and Alcaraz winning 7. The last match between Djokovic and Alcaraz was at the Nitto ATP Finals - Turin, 18-11-2023, Semifinals, I.hard with Novak Djokovic getting the victory .
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 3:23:59.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Djokovic and Alcaraz have played a deciding set 3 times, with Djokovic winning 1 times and Alcaraz 2 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 5 tiebreaks against each other with Djokovic winning 3, and Alcaraz 2.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Djokovic has played against opponents with an average rank of 90.92 while Alcaraz has played against players with an average rank of 87.29.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Djokovic has won 65% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Alcaraz has won 76% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Djokovic has converted 40.64% of breakpoint opportunities, and Alcaraz has converted 41.84% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Djokovic 3 - 2 Alcaraz
1
Rank
1
High
36
Age
R
Plays
3
Total2
1
Hard0
1
Clay1
1
Indoor0
0
Grass1
3
Rank
1
High
20
Age
R
Plays
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
L
Form
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
83% (1200-241)
Career Total W/L
79% (245-67)
73% (11-4)
YTD W/L
79% (15-4)
$128,033,620
Career Prize Money
$18,748,645
0
YTD Titles
1
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Novak Djokovic | Carlos Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Sets Won | 10 | 7 |
| Games Won | 95 | 79 |
| Aces (Total) | 22 | 37 |
| DFs (Total) | 14 | 19 |
| Avg Match Time | 3:23:59 | 3:23:59 |
| 1st Serve % | 65% (402/621) | 68% (391/578) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 68% (272/402) | 67% (263/391) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 58% (126/219) | 49% (91/187) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 33% (19/57) | 24% (13/55) |
| Return Points W% | 39% (224/578) | 36% (223/621) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 67% (2/3) | 33% (1/3) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 50% (1/2) | 50% (1/2) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 60% (3/5) | 40% (2/5) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 33% (1/3) | 67% (2/3) |
| 1st set W, W | 50% (4/2) | 0% (1/0) |
| 1st set W, L | 50% (4/2) | 100% (1/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 100% (1/1) | 50% (4/2) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-3 6-2 |
Stats 
Novak Djokovic
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
67%
(
37 of
55)
1st Serve %
84%
(
47 of
56)
2
Aces
10
1
Double Faults
1
81%
(
30 of
37)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
29 of
47)
56%
(
10 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
3 of
9)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
27%
(
15 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
24 of
56)
64
Total Points Won
47
|
||||
| 5-7 7-6(7) 7-6(4) |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
57%
(
73 of
128)
1st Serve %
64%
(
85 of
133)
2
Aces
11
5
Double Faults
5
67%
(
49 of
73)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
61 of
85)
64%
(
35 of
55)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
23 of
48)
19%
(
3 of
16)
Break Points Won
40%
(
4 of
10)
34%
(
44 of
128)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
49 of
133)
133
Total Points Won
128
|
||||
| 1-6 7-6(6) 6-1 3-6 6-4 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Novak Djokovic
63%
(
94 of
150)
1st Serve %
64%
(
118 of
184)
9
Aces
2
7
Double Faults
3
70%
(
66 of
94)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
73 of
118)
50%
(
28 of
56)
2nd Serve Won
56%
(
37 of
66)
26%
(
5 of
19)
Break Points Won
33%
(
5 of
15)
37%
(
56 of
150)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
74 of
184)
168
Total Points Won
166
|
||||
| 6-3 5-7 6-1 6-1 |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
70%
(
88 of
125)
1st Serve %
72%
(
74 of
103)
8
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
2
72%
(
63 of
88)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
40 of
74)
43%
(
16 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
14 of
29)
58%
(
7 of
12)
Break Points Won
17%
(
2 of
12)
37%
(
46 of
125)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
49 of
103)
128
Total Points Won
100
|
||||
| 6-7(5) 7-5 7-6(5) |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Novak Djokovic
67%
(
91 of
136)
1st Serve %
67%
(
86 of
129)
4
Aces
8
4
Double Faults
2
74%
(
67 of
91)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
57 of
86)
51%
(
23 of
45)
2nd Serve Won
65%
(
28 of
43)
20%
(
2 of
10)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
34%
(
46 of
136)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
44 of
129)
134
Total Points Won
131
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Novak Djokovic | Carlos Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 73% (11/4) | 79% (15/4) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 68% (30/14) | 78% (35/10) |
| Games Win/Loss | 58% (240/176) | 61% (248/159) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 73% (8/3) | 87% (13/2) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 75% (3/1) | 50% (2/2) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.56 | 0.3 |
| Aces Total | 114 | 61 |
| DFs per game | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| DFs Total | 28 | 31 |
| Avg Match Time | 2:22:24 | 1:44:44 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 104.33 | 132.47 |
| 1st Serve % | 63% (785/1241) | 67% (802/1191) |
| 1st Serve W% | 75% (589/785) | 75% (598/802) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 57% (258/456) | 57% (222/389) |
| BPs Won% Total | 42% (60/143) | 43% (68/159) |
| Return Pts W% | 41% (535/1299) | 44% (595/1361) |
| Slam W/L | 83% (5/1) | 80% (4/1) |
| Masters W/L | 67% (4/2) | 90% (9/1) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 67% (2/1) | 50% (2/2) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 67% (6/9) | 85% (11/13) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 83% (5/6) | 80% (4/5) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 67% (4/6) | 63% (5/8) |
| Deciding Set W% | 50% (2/4) | 100% (2/2) |
| 1st set W, W | 100% (11/11) | 100% (13/13) |
| 1st set W, L | 0% (11/0) | 0% (13/0) |
| 1st set L, W | 0% (4/0) | 40% (5/2) |
Novak Djokovic Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF |
Stats
Casper Ruud
Player
Novak Djokovic
56%
(
44 of
78)
1st Serve %
58%
(
46 of
79)
4
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
2
64%
(
28 of
44)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
31 of
46)
47%
(
16 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
58%
(
19 of
33)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
80%
(
4 of
5)
44%
(
34 of
78)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
29 of
79)
73
Total Points Won
84
|
6-4 1-6 6-4 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Alex De Minaur
66%
(
42 of
64)
1st Serve %
42%
(
30 of
71)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
64%
(
27 of
42)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
18 of
30)
59%
(
13 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
49%
(
20 of
41)
45%
(
5 of
11)
Break Points Won
43%
(
3 of
7)
38%
(
24 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
33 of
71)
73
Total Points Won
62
|
7-5 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
69%
(
46 of
67)
1st Serve %
53%
(
33 of
62)
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
67%
(
31 of
46)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
20 of
33)
52%
(
11 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
12 of
29)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
3 of
6)
37%
(
25 of
67)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
30 of
62)
72
Total Points Won
57
|
7-5 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Roman Safiullin
65%
(
22 of
34)
1st Serve %
43%
(
26 of
61)
1
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
77%
(
17 of
22)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
16 of
26)
92%
(
11 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
31%
(
11 of
35)
26%
(
5 of
19)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
18%
(
6 of
34)
Rtn Points Won
56%
(
34 of
61)
62
Total Points Won
33
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Luca Nardi
Player
Novak Djokovic
71%
(
64 of
90)
1st Serve %
60%
(
57 of
95)
6
Aces
4
7
Double Faults
1
69%
(
44 of
64)
1st Serve Won
77%
(
44 of
57)
50%
(
13 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
16 of
38)
27%
(
3 of
11)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
37%
(
33 of
90)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
35 of
95)
92
Total Points Won
93
|
6-4 3-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Aleksandar Vukic
61%
(
46 of
76)
1st Serve %
56%
(
56 of
100)
11
Aces
9
5
Double Faults
3
83%
(
38 of
46)
1st Serve Won
79%
(
44 of
56)
53%
(
16 of
30)
2nd Serve Won
27%
(
12 of
44)
38%
(
5 of
13)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
29%
(
22 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
44 of
100)
98
Total Points Won
78
|
6-2 5-7 6-3 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Jannik Sinner
Player
Novak Djokovic
58%
(
64 of
110)
1st Serve %
68%
(
79 of
116)
9
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
4
83%
(
53 of
64)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
53 of
79)
63%
(
29 of
46)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
17 of
37)
45%
(
5 of
11)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
25%
(
28 of
110)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
46 of
116)
128
Total Points Won
98
|
6-1 6-2 6-7(6) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Taylor Fritz
63%
(
72 of
115)
1st Serve %
58%
(
90 of
154)
20
Aces
16
3
Double Faults
2
82%
(
59 of
72)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
59 of
90)
58%
(
25 of
43)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
31 of
64)
19%
(
4 of
21)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
27%
(
31 of
115)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
64 of
154)
148
Total Points Won
121
|
7-6(3) 4-6 6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Adrian Mannarino
70%
(
48 of
69)
1st Serve %
59%
(
34 of
58)
17
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
0
81%
(
39 of
48)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
17 of
34)
62%
(
13 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
8 of
24)
64%
(
7 of
11)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
25%
(
17 of
69)
Rtn Points Won
57%
(
33 of
58)
85
Total Points Won
42
|
6-0 6-0 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
68%
(
57 of
84)
1st Serve %
72%
(
72 of
100)
10
Aces
13
0
Double Faults
1
86%
(
49 of
57)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
51 of
72)
59%
(
16 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
10 of
28)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
23%
(
19 of
84)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
39 of
100)
104
Total Points Won
80
|
6-3 6-3 7-6(2) | H2H | ||
view more
Carlos Alcaraz Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QF |
Stats
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
63%
(
35 of
56)
1st Serve %
58%
(
34 of
59)
4
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
77%
(
27 of
35)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
19 of
34)
48%
(
10 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
13 of
25)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
34%
(
19 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
27 of
59)
64
Total Points Won
51
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
64%
(
35 of
55)
1st Serve %
68%
(
40 of
59)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
74%
(
26 of
35)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
25 of
40)
55%
(
11 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
7 of
19)
36%
(
4 of
11)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
33%
(
18 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
27 of
59)
64
Total Points Won
50
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Gael Monfils
81%
(
38 of
47)
1st Serve %
64%
(
30 of
47)
1
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
6
76%
(
29 of
38)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
20 of
30)
44%
(
4 of
9)
2nd Serve Won
18%
(
3 of
17)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
30%
(
14 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
24 of
47)
57
Total Points Won
37
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Roberto Carballes Baena
71%
(
34 of
48)
1st Serve %
62%
(
33 of
53)
3
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
3
79%
(
27 of
34)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
19 of
33)
36%
(
5 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
30%
(
6 of
20)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
33%
(
16 of
48)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
28 of
53)
60
Total Points Won
41
|
6-2 6-1 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Daniil Medvedev
65%
(
40 of
62)
1st Serve %
61%
(
48 of
79)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
75%
(
30 of
40)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
30 of
48)
68%
(
15 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
14 of
31)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
27%
(
17 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
35 of
79)
80
Total Points Won
61
|
7-6(5) 6-1 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jannik Sinner
65%
(
47 of
72)
1st Serve %
62%
(
46 of
74)
0
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
70%
(
33 of
47)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
30 of
46)
52%
(
13 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
54%
(
15 of
28)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
36%
(
26 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
29 of
74)
75
Total Points Won
71
|
1-6 6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Alexander Zverev
79%
(
31 of
39)
1st Serve %
78%
(
49 of
63)
1
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
2
87%
(
27 of
31)
1st Serve Won
51%
(
25 of
49)
75%
(
6 of
8)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
7 of
14)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
15%
(
6 of
39)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
31 of
63)
64
Total Points Won
38
|
6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Fabian Marozsan
63%
(
31 of
49)
1st Serve %
55%
(
32 of
58)
4
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
1
84%
(
26 of
31)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
23 of
32)
67%
(
12 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
10 of
26)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
22%
(
11 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
25 of
58)
63
Total Points Won
44
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
73%
(
32 of
44)
1st Serve %
67%
(
35 of
52)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
5
78%
(
25 of
32)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
19 of
35)
67%
(
8 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
8 of
17)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
25%
(
11 of
44)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
25 of
52)
58
Total Points Won
38
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Matteo Arnaldi
57%
(
43 of
76)
1st Serve %
57%
(
52 of
92)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
86%
(
37 of
43)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
31 of
52)
55%
(
18 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
17 of
40)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
28%
(
21 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
44 of
92)
99
Total Points Won
69
|
6-7(5) 6-0 6-1 | H2H | ||
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