Prediction of Carlos Alcaraz [3rd] vs Novak Djokovic [5th] Head-to-Head At The 1970
By Wojtek Kolan
Form
W W W L L W W W W W
Form
L L L W W W W W L LH2H: Alcaraz 3 - 5 Djokovic
They have played 26 sets in total, with Alcaraz winning 11 and Djokovic winning 15. The last match between Alcaraz and Djokovic was at the Australian Open - Melbourne, 21-01-2025, Quarterfinals, Hard with Novak Djokovic getting the victory 4-6 6-4 6-3 6-4.
| Players | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 3 |
| Novak Djokovic | 5 |
| Alcaraz | Stats | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| 83% (20-4) | YTD Win/Loss | 67% (12-6) |
| 3 | Head-to-Head | 5 |
| 3 | Ranking | 5 |
| 1 | Highest Rank | 1 |
| 21 | Age | 37 |
| R | Plays | R |
| 26 | Titles | 104 |
| 79% (309-80) | Career Total W/L | 83% (1238-252) |
| $27,560,065 | Career Prize Money | $132,702,820 |
| 2 | YTD Titles | 0 |
| 0 | Hard H2H | 2 |
| 1 | Clay H2H | 2 |
| 0 | Indoor H2H | 1 |
| 2 | Grass H2H | 0 |
Recent Performance Stats (Last 6 Months)
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 6-4 6-3 6-4 |
Stats 
Novak Djokovic
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
63%
(
86 of
136)
1st Serve %
74%
(
92 of
125)
5
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
5
63%
(
54 of
86)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
62 of
92)
58%
(
29 of
50)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
11 of
33)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
39%
(
53 of
136)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
52 of
125)
135
Total Points Won
126
|
||||
| 7-6(3) 7-6(2) |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
74%
(
69 of
93)
1st Serve %
66%
(
65 of
98)
1
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
78%
(
54 of
69)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
47 of
65)
50%
(
12 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
16 of
33)
0%
(
0 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
8)
29%
(
27 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
35 of
98)
101
Total Points Won
90
|
||||
| 6-2 6-2 7-6(4) |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Novak Djokovic
59%
(
56 of
95)
1st Serve %
70%
(
71 of
101)
5
Aces
8
6
Double Faults
4
84%
(
47 of
56)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
47 of
71)
51%
(
20 of
39)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
12 of
30)
36%
(
5 of
14)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
29%
(
28 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
42 of
101)
109
Total Points Won
87
|
||||
| 6-3 6-2 |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
67%
(
37 of
55)
1st Serve %
84%
(
47 of
56)
2
Aces
10
1
Double Faults
1
81%
(
30 of
37)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
29 of
47)
56%
(
10 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
3 of
9)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
27%
(
15 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
24 of
56)
64
Total Points Won
47
|
||||
| 5-7 7-6(7) 7-6(4) |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
57%
(
73 of
128)
1st Serve %
64%
(
85 of
133)
2
Aces
11
5
Double Faults
5
67%
(
49 of
73)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
61 of
85)
64%
(
35 of
55)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
23 of
48)
19%
(
3 of
16)
Break Points Won
40%
(
4 of
10)
34%
(
44 of
128)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
49 of
133)
133
Total Points Won
128
|
||||
| 1-6 7-6(6) 6-1 3-6 6-4 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Novak Djokovic
63%
(
94 of
150)
1st Serve %
64%
(
118 of
184)
9
Aces
2
7
Double Faults
3
70%
(
66 of
94)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
73 of
118)
50%
(
28 of
56)
2nd Serve Won
56%
(
37 of
66)
26%
(
5 of
19)
Break Points Won
33%
(
5 of
15)
37%
(
56 of
150)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
74 of
184)
168
Total Points Won
166
|
||||
| 6-3 5-7 6-1 6-1 |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
70%
(
88 of
125)
1st Serve %
72%
(
74 of
103)
8
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
2
72%
(
63 of
88)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
40 of
74)
43%
(
16 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
14 of
29)
58%
(
7 of
12)
Break Points Won
17%
(
2 of
12)
37%
(
46 of
125)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
49 of
103)
128
Total Points Won
100
|
||||
| 6-7(5) 7-5 7-6(5) |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Novak Djokovic
67%
(
91 of
136)
1st Serve %
67%
(
86 of
129)
4
Aces
8
4
Double Faults
2
74%
(
67 of
91)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
57 of
86)
51%
(
23 of
45)
2nd Serve Won
65%
(
28 of
43)
20%
(
2 of
10)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
34%
(
46 of
136)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
44 of
129)
134
Total Points Won
131
|
||||
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 3 | H2H Matches | 5 |
| 11 | Sets Won | 15 |
| 127 | Games Won | 141 |
| 53 | Aces (Total) | 36 |
| 31 | Total Double Faults | 23 |
| 3:14:29 | Average Match Time | 3:14:29 |
| 67% (604/896) | 1st Serve % | 66% (628/951) |
| 69% (419/604) | 1st Serve Win % | 68% (427/628) |
| 47% (138/292) | 2nd Serve Win % | 55% (179/323) |
| 25% (22/88) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 33% (26/79) |
| 36% (345/951) | Return Points Win % | 38% (339/896) |
| 25% (1/4) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 75% (3/4) |
| 50% (2/4) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 50% (2/4) |
| 38% (3/8) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 63% (5/8) |
| 67% (2/3) | Deciding Set Win % | 33% (1/3) |
| 33% (3/1) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 60% (5/3) |
| 67% (3/2) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 40% (5/2) |
| 40% (5/2) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 67% (3/2) |
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Alcaraz 3 - 5 Djokovic
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Alcaraz has won 42.57% of points on their second serve, while Djokovic has won 42.47%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Alcaraz, in recent form, has won 42.24% of their opponent's second serve points, while Djokovic has won 39.49%. The same stats for first serve returns are 26.82% and 23.24% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Alcaraz has saved 53.7% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Djokovic has saved 57.75% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Alcaraz has won 81.94% of matches played (W/L 59/ 13), with Djokovic winning 77.55% (W/L 38/ 11) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Alcaraz has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 24/ 3), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 70% (W/L 30/ 13). Djokovic has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 86% (W/L 124/ 21), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 79% (W/L 201/ 52).
- Player level: In the last year, Alcaraz has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 72.73% of matches (W/L 16/ 6), where as Djokovic has played most of their matches on the Grand Slam, winning 84.21% of matches (W/L 16/ 3). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 8 times before with Alcaraz winning 3 times and Djokovic being victorious 5 times. They have played 26 sets in total, with Alcaraz winning 11 and Djokovic winning 15. The last match between Alcaraz and Djokovic was at the Australian Open - Melbourne, 21-01-2025, Quarterfinals, Hard with Novak Djokovic getting the victory 4-6 6-4 6-3 6-4.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 3:14:29.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Alcaraz and Djokovic have played a deciding set 3 times, with Alcaraz winning 2 times and Djokovic 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 8 tiebreaks against each other with Alcaraz winning 3, and Djokovic 5.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Alcaraz has played against opponents with an average rank of 53.82 while Djokovic has played against players with an average rank of 84.37.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Alcaraz has won 68% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Djokovic has won 60% in all matches played on tour.
- Current event H2H stats: Past player performance is very useful in predicting tennis matches, but once an event is under way we should also look at current event stats for in form player indication, so check the section below (if they have played a match in the current event). Some players also perform better at certain events and this should be taken into account when picking the outcome.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Alcaraz has converted 27.63% of breakpoint opportunities, and Djokovic has converted 34% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
- If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
Carlos Alcaraz Recent Matches Played
Before:
| OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
72%
(
56 of
78)
1st Serve %
63%
(
43 of
68)
3
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
1
70%
(
39 of
56)
1st Serve Won
49%
(
21 of
43)
50%
(
11 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
13 of
25)
75%
(
6 of
8)
Break Points Won
22%
(
2 of
9)
36%
(
28 of
78)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
34 of
68)
84
Total Points Won
62
|
3-6 6-1 6-0 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
66%
(
48 of
73)
1st Serve %
68%
(
74 of
109)
0
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
65%
(
31 of
48)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
47 of
74)
64%
(
16 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
34%
(
12 of
35)
16%
(
3 of
19)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
36%
(
26 of
73)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
50 of
109)
97
Total Points Won
85
|
7-6(2) 6-4 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Arthur Fils
61%
(
62 of
101)
1st Serve %
60%
(
62 of
103)
3
Aces
0
7
Double Faults
5
69%
(
43 of
62)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
45 of
62)
49%
(
19 of
39)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
13 of
41)
36%
(
5 of
14)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
39%
(
39 of
101)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
45 of
103)
107
Total Points Won
97
|
4-6 7-5 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Daniel Altmaier
59%
(
35 of
59)
1st Serve %
46%
(
24 of
52)
0
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
2
60%
(
21 of
35)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
12 of
24)
63%
(
15 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
13 of
28)
71%
(
5 of
7)
Break Points Won
10%
(
1 of
10)
39%
(
23 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
27 of
52)
63
Total Points Won
48
|
6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Francisco Cerundolo
54%
(
41 of
76)
1st Serve %
60%
(
33 of
55)
1
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
5
68%
(
28 of
41)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
17 of
33)
54%
(
19 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
9 of
22)
75%
(
6 of
8)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
38%
(
29 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
29 of
55)
76
Total Points Won
55
|
3-6 6-0 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
David Goffin
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
65%
(
58 of
89)
1st Serve %
67%
(
67 of
100)
3
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
2
69%
(
40 of
58)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
43 of
67)
55%
(
17 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
55%
(
18 of
33)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
36%
(
32 of
89)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
39 of
100)
96
Total Points Won
93
|
5-7 6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Jack Draper
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
68%
(
47 of
69)
1st Serve %
56%
(
39 of
70)
4
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
4
64%
(
30 of
47)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
25 of
39)
50%
(
11 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
14 of
31)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
44%
(
4 of
9)
41%
(
28 of
69)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
31 of
70)
72
Total Points Won
67
|
6-1 0-6 6-4 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Francisco Cerundolo
66%
(
48 of
73)
1st Serve %
78%
(
57 of
73)
5
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
4
75%
(
36 of
48)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
38 of
57)
60%
(
15 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
31%
(
5 of
16)
67%
(
2 of
3)
Break Points Won
11%
(
1 of
9)
30%
(
22 of
73)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
30 of
73)
81
Total Points Won
65
|
6-3 7-6(4) | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
75%
(
30 of
40)
1st Serve %
54%
(
34 of
63)
6
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
4
77%
(
23 of
30)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
17 of
34)
70%
(
7 of
10)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
11 of
29)
36%
(
5 of
14)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
25%
(
10 of
40)
Rtn Points Won
56%
(
35 of
63)
65
Total Points Won
38
|
6-1 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Denis Shapovalov
71%
(
45 of
63)
1st Serve %
53%
(
31 of
59)
2
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
8
69%
(
31 of
45)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
23 of
31)
56%
(
10 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
10 of
28)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
35%
(
22 of
63)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
26 of
59)
67
Total Points Won
55
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
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Novak Djokovic Recent Matches Played
Before:
| OPPONENT | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 |
Stats
Alejandro Tabilo
Player
Novak Djokovic
63%
(
37 of
59)
1st Serve %
54%
(
30 of
56)
2
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
2
81%
(
30 of
37)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
20 of
30)
50%
(
11 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
11 of
26)
38%
(
3 of
8)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
31%
(
18 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
25 of
56)
66
Total Points Won
49
|
6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Jakub Mensik
Player
Novak Djokovic
67%
(
52 of
78)
1st Serve %
76%
(
56 of
74)
14
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
1
77%
(
40 of
52)
1st Serve Won
77%
(
43 of
56)
54%
(
14 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
9 of
18)
33%
(
1 of
3)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
31%
(
24 of
78)
Rtn Points Won
30%
(
22 of
74)
76
Total Points Won
76
|
7-6(4) 7-6(4) | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Grigor Dimitrov
87%
(
39 of
45)
1st Serve %
53%
(
23 of
43)
5
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
3
79%
(
31 of
39)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
16 of
23)
33%
(
2 of
6)
2nd Serve Won
30%
(
6 of
20)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
27%
(
12 of
45)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
21 of
43)
54
Total Points Won
34
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Sebastian Korda
83%
(
49 of
59)
1st Serve %
66%
(
37 of
56)
11
Aces
7
0
Double Faults
0
84%
(
41 of
49)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
26 of
37)
60%
(
6 of
10)
2nd Serve Won
68%
(
13 of
19)
100%
(
2 of
2)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
20%
(
12 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
30%
(
17 of
56)
64
Total Points Won
51
|
6-3 7-6(4) | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
70%
(
32 of
46)
1st Serve %
70%
(
39 of
56)
1
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
75%
(
24 of
32)
1st Serve Won
51%
(
20 of
39)
57%
(
8 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
6 of
17)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
30%
(
14 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
30 of
56)
62
Total Points Won
40
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
77%
(
49 of
64)
1st Serve %
50%
(
32 of
64)
10
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
2
80%
(
39 of
49)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
23 of
32)
47%
(
7 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
15 of
32)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
28%
(
18 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
26 of
64)
72
Total Points Won
56
|
6-1 7-6(1) | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Rinky Hijikata
80%
(
39 of
49)
1st Serve %
68%
(
43 of
63)
9
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
85%
(
33 of
39)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
29 of
43)
80%
(
8 of
10)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
7 of
20)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
16%
(
8 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
27 of
63)
68
Total Points Won
44
|
6-0 7-6(1) | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Player
Novak Djokovic
71%
(
58 of
82)
1st Serve %
67%
(
49 of
73)
4
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
3
60%
(
35 of
58)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
31 of
49)
71%
(
17 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
29%
(
7 of
24)
63%
(
5 of
8)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
37%
(
30 of
82)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
35 of
73)
87
Total Points Won
68
|
6-2 3-6 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Matteo Berrettini
Player
Novak Djokovic
75%
(
47 of
63)
1st Serve %
69%
(
45 of
65)
13
Aces
9
1
Double Faults
1
85%
(
40 of
47)
1st Serve Won
84%
(
38 of
45)
50%
(
8 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
30%
(
6 of
20)
33%
(
2 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
24%
(
15 of
63)
Rtn Points Won
32%
(
21 of
65)
69
Total Points Won
59
|
7-6(4) 6-2 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Alexander Zverev
Player
Novak Djokovic
76%
(
29 of
38)
1st Serve %
54%
(
29 of
54)
8
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
0
83%
(
24 of
29)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
21 of
29)
78%
(
7 of
9)
2nd Serve Won
60%
(
15 of
25)
0%
(
0 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
18%
(
7 of
38)
Rtn Points Won
33%
(
18 of
54)
49
Total Points Won
43
|
7-6(5) ret. | H2H | ||
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Where To Watch Alcaraz vs Djokovic?
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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 79% (309/80) | Win/Loss | 83% (1238/252) |
| 72% (726/279) | Sets Win/Loss | 76% (2999/937) |
| 57% (5509/4117) | Games Win/Loss | 59% (22143/15192) |
| 0.28 | Aces Per Game | 0.41 |
| 1299 | Aces Total | 7467 |
| 0.19 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.17 |
| 894 | Total Double Faults | 3015 |
| 1:56:26 | Average Match Time | 1:15:6 |
| 186.13 | Average Opponent Rank | 378.26 |
| 66% (19093/29110) | 1st Serve % | 65% (65845/101415) |
| 70% (13353/19093) | 1st Serve Win % | 74% (48919/65845) |
| 55% (5546/10017) | 2nd Serve Win % | 56% (19792/35573) |
| 42% (1484/3498) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 44% (5122/11591) |
| 42% (13051/30884) | Return Points Win % | 42% (44963/106968) |
| 78% (240/307) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 81% (821/1013) |
| 86% (67/78) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 88% (408/462) |
| 65% (105/162) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 65% (361/553) |
| 70% (84/120) | Deciding Set Win % | 72% (242/338) |
| 93% (280/259) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 96% (1119/1076) |
| 8% (280/21) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 4% (1119/42) |
| 45% (107/48) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 44% (369/161) |
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