Alex De Minaur vs Jakub Mensik Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In terms of second serve performance over the past six months, Jakub Mensik has been slightly more effective, winning 48.56% of points, compared to Alex De Minaur's 45.67%.
• When examining recent return game statistics, Mensik also has an advantage, capturing 46.12% of opponents' second serve points, while De Minaur has secured 42.98%. However, De Minaur edges Mensik slightly in first serve returns, with percentages of 24.58% and 23.71% respectively.
• Under pressure, Mensik has a marginal edge, saving 53.88% of breakpoints compared to De Minaur's 51.58%.
• Looking at overall recent match performance, De Minaur has a higher win rate over the last year, with 67.95% of matches won (43/25), whereas Mensik stands at 62.32% (43/26).
• Analyzing surface preferences, Mensik shows a strong performance on hard courts (70%), while De Minaur excels on grass courts with a 68% win rate.
• Regarding match experience on different levels, Mensik has been active in Masters series, winning 73.08% of such matches, while De Minaur has focused on the Main tour, with a slightly better win percentage of 75.00%.
• In direct head-to-head encounters, De Minaur has dominated Mensik, winning all three matches and six out of seven sets.
• On the topic of opponent quality, De Minaur has faced stronger competitors, with an average opponent rank of 58.63, compared to Mensik's 155.39.
• In deciding sets, De Minaur again shows superiority, having won 53% of them in the last year, while Mensik has won 45%.
• As the match approaches, current performance at the ongoing event should also be considered for a comprehensive prediction.

Editorial Prediction (September 29, 2025, UTC):

Both players showcase individual strengths with Mensik holding a slight edge in recent second serve performance and return game statistics. However, Alex De Minaur's consistent edge in overall historical head-to-head matches cannot be overlooked.

Mensik's ability to save breakpoints indicates resilience under pressure, yet De Minaur's experience against higher-ranked opponents and his superior win rate on tour levels could prove decisive.

While Mensik's strong performance on hard courts is noteworthy, De Minaur's proficiency in winning decisive sets adds to his credibility in clinching tight matches.

Based on recent forms, head-to-head statistics, and level of opposition, Alex De Minaur appears to be the more likely victor in the forthcoming match.