Prediction Of Zverev Vs Humbert H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Rolex Paris Masters 2024?

What Time Will Alexander Zverev Play Against Ugo Humbert?

Zverev and Humbert are on the Day 7 Schedule at Rolex Paris Masters 2024 on Sunday 3 November 2024. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

The head-to-head series between Alexander Zverev and Ugo Humbert is currently tied at 1-1. In their previous meetings, Humbert defeated Zverev in the round of 16 at the 2021 Halle tournament on grass, winning with a score of 7-6(4), 3-6, 6-3. Zverev, on the other hand, came out victorious in their encounter at the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Paris tournament on hard courts, winning with a score of 6-4, 6-7(3), 7-6(5).

Alexander Zverev, a 27-year-old player from Germany, is currently ranked No. 3 in the world and has a career-high ranking of No. 2. In 2024, he has achieved a win-loss record of 65-20 and won the Rome title. His record at the Paris tournament is 16-6, and he reached the final in 2020 and 2024.

Zverev’s career highlights include becoming the former World No. 1 junior and reaching a career-high ranking of No. 2 after suffering from a right ankle injury at the 2022 Roland Garros semifinals against Nadal. He has had an impressive record, winning six titles in 2021 and being the leader among players born since 1990 with a total of 22 career titles. Zverev has defeated Djokovic on multiple occasions, including at the 2018 Nitto ATP Finals, 2020 Tokyo Olympics, and 2021 Nitto ATP Finals championships. He reached his first Grand Slam final at the 2020 US Open and has achieved victories against top players such as Djokovic, Federer, and Nadal.

Zverev is currently looking for his seventh ATP Masters 1000 title, having a record of 6-5 in finals. He has already won the Rome title in 2024 by defeating Jarry and aims to win his first ATP Masters 1000 title on hard courts since the 2021 Cincinnati tournament. By reaching the final, he has guaranteed himself a return to his career-high ranking of No. 2. Zverev has an impressive record against left-handers, maintaining a perfect 25-0 win record against them since the 2023 Roland Garros.

In his previous appearances at the ATP Masters 1000 finals, Zverev has had mixed results. He won titles at Rome in 2017 and 2024, Montreal in 2017, and Madrid in 2021. He reached the finals at Paris in 2020 but lost to Medvedev and had runner-up finishes at Miami in 2018 and Madrid in 2018. He had early exits in the other tournaments.

Ugo Humbert, a 26-year-old player from France, is currently ranked No. 18 in the world with a career-high ranking of No. 13. In 2024, he has achieved a win-loss record of 39-23 and has won two titles. His record at the Paris tournament is 9-4, and he has reached the final this year.

Humbert’s rise in the rankings began in November 2023 when he broke into the top 20. He achieved his career-high ranking of No. 13 in April 2024 after winning the Dubai tournament. He became the third player in the Open Era to win six ATP Tour titles in his sixth final, joining Gulbis and Klizan. Notable victories for Humbert include defeating Zverev and Rublev in the 2021 Halle tournament and capturing titles in Metz in 2023 and Marseille in 2024. He won his first ATP Tour title at the 2020 Auckland tournament and saved four match points against Evans en route to his second title at the 2020 Antwerp tournament.

Humbert has a record of 13-16 against top 10 players and has achieved significant wins against Medvedev at the 2022 ATP Cup and Alcaraz at the 2024 ATP Masters 1000 Paris. He has also had success in the Challenger circuit, winning titles against Thiem in 2022 and titles at Cagliari and Bordeaux in 2023.

Humbert is currently on a 13-match winning streak on French indoor hard courts, having won titles in Metz last year and Marseille in February. He defeated Alcaraz in the third round of the Paris tournament to reach his first ATP Masters 1000 final. He aims to become the fourth Frenchman to win the Paris title and achieve his seventh ATP Tour title, with a record of 6-1 in finals. Winning the title would propel him to No. 11 in the PIF ATP Live Rankings.

In the history of the Paris tournament, there have been several French finalists. Guy Forget won the title in 1991 and was the runner-up in 1992. Sebastien Grosjean won in 2001, and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga emerged as the champion in 2008. Humbert is the latest Frenchman to reach the final, and he hopes to follow in the footsteps of these past champions.

The statistics for the 2024 Paris tournament show that Zverev and Humbert are evenly matched in many categories. They both have hit 43 aces, with Zverev having a slightly higher first-serve percentage at 67% compared to Humbert’s 63%. Zverev has won 80% of his first-serve points, while Humbert has won 76%. In terms of second-serve points won, Zverev has a slight advantage at 62% compared to Humbert’s 58%. Zverev has won 96% of his service games, while Humbert has won 90%. Zverev has a higher percentage of saved break points at 83% compared to Humbert’s 57%. In terms of return statistics, Zverev has won 21% of first-serve return points while Humbert has won 27%. In terms of second-serve return points won, Humbert has a slight advantage at 57% compared to Zverev’s 52%. Zverev has won 16% of return games, while Humbert has won 27%. In terms of break point conversions, Humbert has a higher percentage at 53% compared to Zverev’s 37%. Overall, Zverev leads in five out of ten categories.

To provide some historical context, the last player to defeat two top 3 players in one tournament was Jannik Sinner at the 2024 Australian Open. He defeated Djokovic in the semifinals and Medvedev in the final. Carlos Alcaraz was the last player to defeat two top 3 players to win an ATP Masters 1000 title, achieving this feat at the 2022 Madrid tournament by defeating Djokovic in the semifinals and Zverev in the final. The last Frenchman to defeat two top 3 players in one tournament was Jo-Wilfried Tsonga at the 2014 ATP Masters 1000 Toronto tournament, defeating Djokovic in the third round and Federer in the final. Some notable players in the history of the Paris tournament who have defeated two top 3 players include David Nalbandian in 2007 and Tim Henman in 2003.

Overall, the stage is set for an exciting matchup between Alexander Zverev and Ugo Humbert in the final of the Paris tournament. Both players have shown great skill and achievements throughout their careers, making it difficult to predict the outcome of the match.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Zverev will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Alexander Zverev vs Ugo Humbert, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Alexander Zverev vs Ugo Humbert prediction.