Who Will Win: Sinner Vs Medvedev? Prediction For ATP Wimbledon 2024

What Time Will Jannik Sinner Play Against Daniil Medvedev?

Sinner and Medvedev are on the Day 9 Schedule at Wimbledon 2024 on Tuesday 9 July. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Match: Jannik Sinner (ITA) vs Daniil Medvedev
Head-to-Head: Medvedev leads 6-5
Previous Matches:
– 2020 Marseille Hard (I) – R16 – Medvedev wins 16-61-62
– 2021 Marseille Hard (I) – QF – Medvedev wins 62-64
– 2021 ATP Finals Hard (I) – RR – Medvedev wins 60-67(5)-76(8)
– 2022 Vienna Hard (I) – QF – Medvedev wins 64-62
– 2023 Rotterdam Hard (I) – FR – Medvedev wins 57-62-62
– 2023 Miami-1000 Hard (O) – FR – Medvedev wins 75-63
– 2023 Beijing Hard (O) – FR – Sinner wins 76(2)-76(2)
– 2023 Vienna Hard (I) – FR – Sinner wins 76(7)-46-63
– 2023 ATP Finals Hard (I) – SF – Sinner wins 63-67(4)-61
– 2024 Australian Open Hard (O) – FR – Sinner wins 36-36-64-64-63
– 2024 Miami-1000 Hard (O) – SF – Sinner wins 61-62

This will be the 12th meeting between Sinner and Medvedev, with Medvedev currently leading the head-to-head record 6-5. Sinner has won their 5 most recent meetings, including their only previous meeting at a Grand Slam, in the final of the 2024 Australian Open where Sinner came back from 0-2 down to win his first Grand Slam title.

This is the first meeting between two top 5 players at Wimbledon this year. Sinner has lost both of his previous matches against top 5 players at Wimbledon, both to Novak Djokovic. The highest-ranked player Sinner has defeated at Wimbledon is No. 7 Carlos Alcaraz in the round of 16 in 2022.

Sinner has a 3-9 win-loss record against top 5 players at Grand Slams. He lost his first 8 matches against top 5 players before defeating No. 5 Andrey Rublev, No. 1 Djokovic, and No. 3 Medvedev at the Australian Open this year. He then lost to No. 3 Alcaraz in the semifinals at Roland Garros last month.

Since losing to Djokovic in the Wimbledon semifinals last year, Sinner has won 11 of his last 14 matches against top 5 players at Tour-level, with his only defeats coming against Djokovic, No. 2 Alcaraz, and No. 3 Alcaraz.

Medvedev has won one of the two matches he has played against top 5 players at Wimbledon, defeating No. 3 Stan Wawrinka in the 1st round in 2017, but falling to No. 1 Alcaraz in the semifinals

last year. He has won one of his last 5 matches against top 5 players, with his only victory coming against No. 1 Alcaraz at the US Open last year.

Medvedev is currently on a 5-match losing streak against top 5 players at Tour-level. He has not defeated a top 5 player since the 2023 ATP Finals, where he defeated No. 5 Rublev in the group stage.

Medvedev has a 2-3 win-loss record against world No. 1 players at Grand Slams, including a victory over No. 1 Djokovic in the final of the 2021 US Open. He has a 6-5 win-loss record against world No. 1 players at Tour-level overall.

In terms of their paths to the quarterfinals, Sinner has defeated Yannick Hanfmann, Aleksandar Kovacevic, Matteo Berrettini, and Miomir Kecmanovic. Medvedev has defeated Alexandre Muller, Jan-Lennard Struff, Ben Shelton, and Grigor Dimitrov, with Dimitrov retiring due to a knee injury.

Sinner is currently ranked No. 1, while Medvedev is ranked No. 5. Sinner has 15 career titles, while Medvedev has 21. Their career Grand Slam records are 54-17 for Sinner and 83-27 for Medvedev. On grass, Sinner has a career record of 21-8, while Medvedev has a record of 45-21.

In 2024, Sinner has a record of 42-3, including a 9-0 record on grass. Medvedev has a record of 32-9 for the year, with a 5-1 record on grass. Sinner has a 6-8 record in five-set matches, while Medvedev has a 7-10 record.

Sinner is looking to reach the semifinals at Wimbledon for the second time, which would equal his best result at the tournament. He is also bidding to become the first Italian man to reach the Wimbledon semifinals multiple times. Sinner is aiming for his 4th Grand Slam semifinal, which would put him in 2nd place on the all-time list for most Grand Slam semifinal appearances by an Italian man.

Medvedev is also looking to reach the semifinals at Wimbledon for the second time, matching his best result at the tournament. He is bidding to reach his 9th Grand Slam semifinal and is currently tied for the 6th-most appearances in men’s singles semifinals at Grand Slams among active players.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Sinner will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev prediction.