Prediction Of Shapovalov Vs Giron H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Abierto Mexicano Telcel Presentado Por Hsbc 2025?

What Time Will Denis Shapovalov Play Against Marcos Giron?

Shapovalov and Giron are on the Day 4 Schedule at Abierto Mexicano Telcel Presentado Por Hsbc 2025 on Thursday 27 February 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In their previous encounters, Marcos Giron has a 2-0 lead over Denis Shapovalov. The first match took place in Houston on clay, with Giron winning 6-2 7-5. The second match was in Adelaide on hard court, where Giron won again, this time with a score of 7-5 6-2. Insights from their meeting in Adelaide revealed that Giron had a 53% Steal Score, indicating that he won over half of his defensive points. On the other hand, Shapovalov struggled with his forehand, only making 54% of shots from an attacking position.

In the Acapulco tournament, Giron achieved a 52% Steal Score in his first match. Shapovalov, on the other hand, has shown successful performance with a Conversion Score of 74%, an increase from his average of 72%, and a Forehand Shot Quality of 8.5, compared to the average of 7.8. These improvements have contributed to his impressive run of form.

Denis Shapovalov, aged 25 and ranked World No. 32, achieved a career-high ranking of No. 10. In 2025, he has a record of 9-3, including winning the title in Dallas. He was the first Canadian man to reach the quarterfinals of the US Open in 2020, and later became the second Canadian man to break into the Top 10. Shapovalov’s notable victories include defeating two-time champion Andy Murray and earning five-set wins over Philipp Kohlschreiber and Karen Khachanov to reach his first Grand Slam semifinal at Wimbledon in 2021. He also reached the Paris final in 2019 and four other ATP Masters 1000 semifinals, including the 2017 Montreal tournament where he upset Rafael Nadal and became the youngest semifinalist in the series’ history at the age of 18. Shapovalov has won all three of his ATP Tour titles on indoor hard courts, including his recent victory in Dallas where he defeated three Top 10 players. He began his career by winning the Wimbledon boys’ singles title in 2016 and broke into the Top 50 PIF ATP Rankings less than 15 months later. Currently, Shapovalov is on a seven-match winning streak after winning the biggest title of his career in Dallas.

Marcos Giron is 31 years old and ranked World No. 52, with a career-high ranking of No. 37. In 2025, he has a record of 7-3, including reaching the quarterfinals in Acapulco. Giron, a former UCLA Bruin, broke into the Top 50 during the 2022 season, along with fellow Bruins Maxime Cressy and Mackenzie McDonald. He achieved his career-high ranking after saving a match point in the Newport final to win his first ATP Tour title. Giron reached his first ATP Tour final at the age of 29 in his home state of California at the 2022 San Diego tournament. He has qualified for 11 ATP Masters 1000 events, including the 2023 Toronto tournament, where he earned his biggest career win against Holger Rune in the second round. Giron has reached the third round of both the 2021 and 2023 Roland Garros tournaments, as well as the third round of the 2025 Australian Open. He won the NCAA singles title for UCLA in 2014 and broke into the Top 100 in 2020 after recovering from hip surgeries. Currently, Giron advanced to the quarterfinals in Acapulco after a walkover by No. 3 seed Tommy Paul. He aims to reach his ninth ATP Tour semifinal, with his previous one at the ATP 500 level being the 2023 Tokyo tournament. Giron is one of three Americans remaining in the draw, alongside Brandon Nakashima and JJ Wolf, as they all strive to become the second American men’s champion in the history of the event, following Sam Querrey’s victory in 2017.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Shapovalov will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Denis Shapovalov vs Marcos Giron, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Denis Shapovalov vs Marcos Giron prediction.