Prediction Of Sabalenka Vs Keys H2H, Who Will Win At WTA China Open 2024?

What Time Will Aryna Sabalenka Play Against Madison Keys?

Sabalenka and Keys are on the Round 16 (top Half Day) Schedule at China Open 2024 on Wednesday, October 2 2024. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Aryna Sabalenka, ranked #2, will be playing against Madison Keys, ranked #24, in the fourth round of the Beijing tournament. Sabalenka leads their head-to-head 3-1. Sabalenka has been on a winning streak of 14 matches, winning the Cincinnati tournament (five wins) and the US Open (seven wins). Her longest winning streak in her career was 16 matches, spanning from 2020 to 2021. She has a record of 12-2 against USA players in 2024, with her losses coming to Navarro at Indian Wells and Anisimova at Toronto. Sabalenka has won 48 matches this season, the most on the Hologic WTA Tour.

Madison Keys reached the semifinals in Beijing in 2016, losing to Konta. She has a record of 1-12 against the WTA Top 2 players, with her only win coming against Swiatek at the 2022 Cincinnati tournament. Keys is one of four USA players to reach the fourth round, which marks the first time this has happened in Beijing.

In terms of their tournament history, this is Sabalenka’s fourth appearance in Beijing, with her best result being quarterfinal runs in 2023 (lost to Rybakina) and 2018 (lost to Wang Qiang). She has a 56-17 career record against players from the United States, with a 2024 record of 12-2. She has a 104-56 career record against seeds, with a 2024 record of 23-6. Sabalenka has won 14 titles on hard courts, including the US Open, Cincinnati, and the Australian Open in 2024.

For Keys, this is her seventh appearance in Beijing, with her best result being a semifinal run in 2016 (lost to Konta). She has a career record of 28 wins against Top 10 players and 13 wins against Top 5 players. Keys has won three titles on hard courts. Serena Williams holds the best result by a USA player in Beijing, winning the title in 2013 and 2004. This is also the first time that four players from the USA have reached the fourth round in Beijing. Keys has won 24 matches so far in 2024 and has been involved in 10 three-set matches this year.

As of now, Sabalenka is ranked #2, while Keys is ranked #24. During the ASIAN swing last year, Sabalenka reached the quarterfinals in Beijing, while Keys reached the player group stage in Zhuhai.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Sabalenka will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys prediction.