Prediction Of Rune Vs Tsitsipas H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Bnp Paribas Open 2025?

What Time Will Holger Rune Play Against Stefanos Tsitsipas?

Rune and Tsitsipas are on the Day 7 Schedule at Bnp Paribas Open 2025 on Tuesday 11 March 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In the upcoming match at the ATP Masters 1000 quarter-finals, [12] Holger Rune from Denmark will face [8] Stefanos Tsitsipas from Greece. Rune currently leads their head-to-head record, having won all three previous encounters between them.

Their first meeting took place at the 2022 Roland Garros on clay, where Rune defeated Tsitsipas in a four-set match, with a final score of 7-5, 3-6, 6-3, 6-4. The second match happened at the 2022 Stockholm Open on hard court, with Rune emerging victorious in straight sets, 6-4, 6-4. Lastly, they faced each other at the 2023 Nitto ATP Finals, with Rune winning through a retirement when he was leading 2-1.

Holger Rune is 21 years old and currently ranked World No. 13. He reached a career-high ranking of No. 4 in August 2023. In the 2025 season, Rune has recorded a win-loss record of 8-6, with two appearances in the fourth round of tournaments. At the 2024 Indian Wells tournament, he reached the quarter-finals and had a record of 6-4.

Rune achieved several significant milestones during his career. He broke into the top 100 in January 2022, top 50 in May 2022, and top 10 in November 2022. He became the highest-ranked Danish player in the PIF ATP Rankings history, peaking at No. 4 in August 2023. Notably, Rune captured the 2022 ATP Masters 1000 Paris title at the age of 19, becoming the first player since the start of the ATP Tour in 1990 to earn five top-10 wins at an event other than the Nitto ATP Finals. From the 2022 Paris tournament to the 2023 Rome event, he had an impressive 18-5 record in six ATP Masters 1000 tournaments, including runner-up finishes in Monte-Carlo and Rome. Rune also had a successful start against top-5 opponents, winning seven matches in a row and defeating No. 1 ranked players Alcaraz and Djokovic at the 2022 ATP Masters 1000 Paris and the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Rome, respectively. He finished the 2022 season strongly with a 19-2 record, despite a slow start and a mid-year slump.

Notably, Rune made history as the first Danish man to reach the quarter-finals at the 2022 Roland Garros and the first Danish man to reach any Grand Slam quarter-final in the Open Era. In his upcoming match against Tsitsipas, Rune will be aiming to reach his ninth ATP Masters 1000 quarter-final and become the first Scandinavian player to reach back-to-back Indian Wells quarter-finals since Swede Edberg achieved it in 1994-1995. Rune has a record of 16-23 against top-10 players (11-11 at the ATP Masters 1000 level) and is looking for his first top-10 win on an outdoor hard court, as all nine of his hard court wins against top-10 players have come indoors.

On the other hand, Stefanos Tsitsipas is 26 years old and currently ranked World No. 9. He reached a career-high ranking of No. 3 in August 2021. Tsitsipas has achieved notable success in his career, reaching six Grand Slam semi-finals, including the 2021 Roland Garros and the 2023 Australian Open finals, both of which he lost to Djokovic. At the young age of 20, Tsitsipas won the 2018 Next Gen ATP Finals title, and at 21, he won the 2019 Nitto ATP Finals title, becoming the youngest champion of the tournament since Hewitt in 2001. He has won a total of 12 ATP Tour titles, including three ATP Masters 1000 titles in Monte Carlo (2021, 2022, and 2024), as well as his first ATP 500 title at the 2025 Dubai tournament.

Tsitsipas has a remarkable record against the “Big 3” players, having defeated Djokovic, Federer, and Nadal before turning 21. He now holds a total of 11 wins against top-3 opponents, with two wins against No. 1 ranked players, four wins against No. 2 ranked players, and five wins against No. 3 ranked players. In the 2025 season, Tsitsipas is currently 10-4, with a recent title win in Dubai. He has a strong record against top-50 players, with a 7-1 record, with his only loss coming against Michelsen in the first round of the Australian Open. Tsitsipas has been particularly successful when winning the first set, as he is currently undefeated at 9-0 after winning the opening set. He will be looking to advance to his 25th ATP Masters 1000 quarter-final and reach his first outdoor hard court quarter-final since the 2022 Cincinnati tournament.

To conclude, the upcoming clash between Holger Rune and Stefanos Tsitsipas promises to be an exciting one, with Rune leading the head-to-head record and Tsitsipas currently on a seven-match winning streak. Both players have achieved significant milestones in their careers and are looking to continue their success in the ATP Masters 1000 quarter-finals.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Rune will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Holger Rune vs Stefanos Tsitsipas, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Holger Rune vs Stefanos Tsitsipas prediction.