Who Will Win: Rune Vs Berrettini? Prediction For ATP Cincinnati Open 2024

What Time Will Holger Rune Play Against Matteo Berrettini?

Rune and Berrettini are on the Day 3 Schedule at Cincinnati Open 2024 on Wednesday 14 August 2024. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In their previous matches, Holger Rune from Denmark and Matteo Berrettini from Italy have faced each other twice. Their head-to-head series is currently tied 1-1.

The first match took place at the ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells tournament on hard court. Berrettini won the match in a close three-set battle, with a final score of 6-3, 4-6, 6-4.

The second encounter occurred at the Acapulco tournament, also on hard court. However, this match ended prematurely, as Berrettini had to retire due to injury. Rune was leading with a score of 6-0, 1-0 before the retirement.

In their most recent meeting, which took place at the ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo tournament on clay, Rune received a walkover victory as Berrettini was unable to compete.

Holger Rune, aged 21, currently holds the world ranking of 16 and has previously achieved a career-high ranking of 4. In the year 2024, he has a win-loss record of 29-16, including a runner-up finish at the Brisbane tournament. However, he has had a tough time at the Cincinnati tournament with a 0-2 record in 2023, reaching only the second round.

Rune’s breakthrough in the tennis world occurred in 2022 when he became the highest-ranked Danish player in PIF ATP Rankings history. He broke into the Top 100 in January 2022, the Top 50 in May 2022, and reached the Top 10 in November 2022. In the same year, he captured the ATP Masters 1000 Paris title at the age of 19, becoming the first player since the start of the ATP Tour to earn five Top-10 wins at an event other than the Nitto ATP Finals.

From 2022 Paris to 2023 Rome, Rune had an impressive record in ATP Masters 1000 events, with 18 wins and 5 losses. He reached the finals in Monte Carlo and Rome, finishing as the runner-up in both tournaments. He also enjoyed a 7-match winning streak against Top 5 opponents, which was eventually broken by a loss to Medvedev in the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Rome final. Rune ended the 2022 season with a strong finish, going on a 19-2 run after struggling in January-February and June-July.

Rune achieved significant milestones in his career, including an upset victory against Stefanos Tsitsipas at the 2022 Roland Garros, where he became the first Danish man to reach the quarterfinals in tournament history and the first Danish man to reach any Grand Slam quarterfinal in the Open Era. Additionally, he has won five Challenger titles, with his most recent victory coming in Sanremo in 2022. On the same day, he also won his ATP Masters 1000 Monte Carlo qualification match against Albot.

It is worth noting that Rune has an impressive record in opening-round matches in 2024, with a 13-2 win-loss record. He is seeking his first win at the current tournament (Indian Wells), where he

lost to Norrie in 2022 and McDonald in 2023. Another ATP Masters 1000 event where he is yet to secure a win is Shanghai.

On the other hand, Matteo Berrettini, aged 28, currently holds the world ranking of 42 and has achieved a career-high ranking of 6. In the year 2024, he has a win-loss record of 21-5, including three titles. However, he has struggled at the Cincinnati tournament, with a 2-5 record, reaching the third round in 2020 and 2021.

Berrettini’s career reached new heights after he reached the semifinals of the 2022 Australian Open. This achievement propelled him to a career-high ranking of 6, making him the third-highest-ranked Italian player since the beginning of the PIF ATP Rankings in 1973. The other two players to achieve a higher ranking were Sinner, who reached No. 1 in 2024, and Panatta, who reached No. 4 in 1976.

In 2021, Berrettini made history by becoming the first Italian men’s singles finalist at Wimbledon. He was also the first Italian men’s singles finalist at a Grand Slam tournament since Panatta at the 1976 Roland Garros. Another notable feat was being the first Italian man to reach the quarterfinals of all four Grand Slam events. Additionally, he earned a win at the Nitto ATP Finals by defeating Thiem in the round-robin stage in 2019.

Berrettini excels on grass courts, with a remarkable 42-11 record and four of his ten ATP Tour titles. He notably won the London/Queen’s Club tournament in both 2021 and 2022, becoming the first player in the Open Era to win titles in each of his first two appearances at the event. Throughout his career, he has achieved major victories, including defeating Thiem in the ATP Cup team final in 2021 and defeating Ruud in the United Cup team final in 2023.

Currently, Berrettini is on a 10-match winning streak, having recently won back-to-back titles in Gstaad and Kitzbuhel. He aims to secure his first tour-level win on hard courts since the 2023 US Open. In that tournament, he defeated Humbert but lost to Auger-Aliassime in the second round.

Among the longest winning streaks in 2024, Berrettini sits alongside other notable players like Jannik Sinner, Carlos Alcaraz, Alexander Zverev, and Stefanos Tsitsipas.

Overall, Holger Rune and Matteo Berrettini have faced each other twice in previous matches, with a series tied 1-1. Rune has had a breakthrough year in 2022, reaching high rankings and capturing the ATP Masters 1000 Paris title. On the other hand, Berrettini has achieved significant milestones in his career, including reaching the semifinals of the 2022 Australian Open and becoming the first Italian men’s singles finalist at Wimbledon. Both players have had recent successes and will vie for victory in their upcoming match.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Rune will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Holger Rune vs Matteo Berrettini, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Holger Rune vs Matteo Berrettini prediction.