Prediction Of Rune Vs Baez H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell 2025?

What Time Will Holger Rune Play Against Sebastian Baez?

Rune and Baez are on the Day 3 Schedule at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell 2025 on Wednesday 16 April 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

[6] Holger Rune (DEN) and Sebastian Baez (ARG) have faced each other four times, with the series currently tied at 2-2.

Their first meeting took place in Santiago, Chile, on clay, where Rune defeated Baez in the Round of 32 with a score of 6-3 6-2. In their second encounter in Buenos Aires, Argentina, on clay, it was Baez who emerged victorious in the Round of 32, winning with a score of 7-6(4) 6-3.

Their third match took place in Basel, Switzerland, on a hard court, where Rune defeated Baez in the Round of 16 with a score of 7-6(2) 6-1. Their most recent meeting occurred in the R32 of the ATP Masters 1000 Rome in Italy on clay, where Baez came out on top in a close three-set battle, winning 2-6 6-2 6-3.

Apart from these four meetings, they had one other encounter in Santiago CH, Chile, on clay, where Baez defeated Rune in the Round of 32 with a score of 6-2 6-4.

Now let’s look at the insights from their 52-week averages. In terms of player in attack, conversion score, steal score, serve quality, return quality, forehand quality, and backhand quality, Rune has a conversion score of 25%, steal score of 69%, serve quality of 7.8, return quality of 6.4, forehand quality of 7.5, and backhand quality of 7.4. On the other hand, Baez has a conversion score of 20%, steal score of 67%, serve quality of 7.1, return quality of 6.3, forehand quality of 7.4, and backhand quality of 6.9. The tour average for these parameters is a conversion score of 24%, steal score of 69%, serve quality of 7.9, return quality of 6.5, forehand quality of 7.5, and backhand quality of 7.1.

Let’s also take a closer look at both players individually. Holger Rune is currently 21 years old and ranked 13th in the world. He achieved a career-high ranking of number 4 in August 2023. In 2025, his record stands at 12-9, reaching the finals of Indian Wells and reaching the second round of the Barcelona tournament. He broke into the top 100 in January 2022, the top 50 in May 2022, and the top 10 in November 2022, making him the highest-ranked Dane in ATP Rankings history. Rune won the ATP Masters 1000 Paris title in 2022 at the age of 19, becoming the first player since the start of the ATP Tour to earn 5 Top-10 wins at an event other than the Nitto ATP Finals. From 2022 Paris to 2023 Rome, he had an 18-5 record in ATP Masters 1000 events, with runner-up results in Monte-Carlo and Rome. He also had a 7-match winning streak against Top 5 opponents and upset Tsitsipas at the 2022 Roland Garros to become the first Danish man to reach the quarterfinals in tournament history. Rune aims to record his first Top 40 win on clay since defeating No. 9 Dimitrov in the 2024 ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo.

Sebastian Baez is currently 24 years old and ranked 35th in the world. He achieved a career-high ranking of number 18 in June. In 2025, his record stands at 13-8, with a title win in Rio and a second-round appearance in the Barcelona tournament. He broke into the top 20 in March 2024 after winning consecutive ATP Tour titles in Rio de Janeiro and Santiago. In the 2023 season, he had a career-best 12-match winning streak, winning titles in Kitzbuhel and Winston-Salem, and reaching the third round of a Grand Slam for the first time at the US Open. Baez won his first ATP Tour title at the 2022 Estoril and his second title on home soil at the 2023 Cordoba, despite entering the tournament with 6 straight losses and 17 losses in the previous 18 matches. He also broke into the top 300, 200, and 100 in 2021, with a 6-3 record in Challenger finals. Baez achieved the World No. 1 junior ranking in March 2018 and had notable performances at Roland Garros and the Youth Olympics. Baez leads the ATP Tour in clay wins this season with 13 victories, including a title win in Rio and runner-up finishes in Santiago and Bucharest. He has a record of 3-29 against Top 20 opponents and aims to earn his first win since defeating No. 12 Rune in the ATP Masters 1000 Rome to reach his 23rd ATP Tour quarterfinal. Baez’s previous Top 20 wins include victories over Garin and Rublev.

This provides a comprehensive breakdown of the head-to-head record, insights from 52-week averages, and the background and achievements of both players.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Rune will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Holger Rune vs Sebastian Baez, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Holger Rune vs Sebastian Baez prediction.