

What Time Will Andrey Rublev Play Against Nuno Borges?
Rublev and Borges are on the Day 3 Schedule at Qatar Exxonmobil Open 2025 on Wednesday 19 February 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.
Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?
Andrey Rublev has a 1-0 lead in head-to-head matches against Nuno Borges. They previously met in the first round of the Basel tournament in 2024, where Rublev emerged victorious with a score of 6-3, 6-2.
Tennis Data Innovations Insights utilizes algorithmic software to analyze ball and player tracking data in real-time. This data is used to calculate various aspects of a player’s performance, including shot type, shot quality, situation, phase of play, and tactic for each shot. More information about these insights can be found at the provided link.
Insights from their previous meeting in Basel 2024 revealed the following statistics:
– Andrey Rublev: 28% conversion rate in attacks, 85% steal score, 36% serve quality, 7.9 forehand quality, 6.1 backhand quality, 9.5 score in return quality.
– Nuno Borges: 17% conversion rate in attacks, 64% steal score, 15% serve quality, 7.7 forehand quality, 6.3 backhand quality, 7.2 score in return quality.
– Tour average: 24% conversion rate in attacks, 69% steal score, 31% serve quality, 7.9 forehand quality, 6.5 backhand quality, 7.5 score in return quality.
Rublev dominated their previous meeting, particularly showcasing a season high forehand quality. In his match against Bublik, Rublev’s forehand quality was also impressive, scoring 9.1, despite hitting at a slower speed of 76mph compared to his average speed. His consistency was at 89% in, higher than his average of 83%, and he had a spin rate of 3197rpm, higher than his average of 2894rpm.
Ugo Humbert
Fabian Marozsan
Francisco Cerundolo
Alexander Shevchenko
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Andrey Rublev
Jana Fett
Iga Swiatek
Luciano Darderi
Miomir Kecmanovic
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Varvara Gracheva
Emma Navarro
Jelena Ostapenko
Zizou Bergs
Diego Dedura-Palomero
Elise Mertens
Diana Shnaider
Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Jaqueline Cristian
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Sebastian Korda
David Goffin
Mariano Navone
Tatjana Maria
Ella Seidel
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Ben Shelton
Tallon Griekspoor
Yannick Hanfmann
Some details about Andrey Rublev include: he is 27 years old, ranked as World No. 10, has a career-high ranking of No. 5, and has a 2025 record of 5-4 with a semifinal appearance in Montpellier. He has achieved significant milestones in his career, including breaking into the Top 20 in January 2020, the Top 10 in October 2020, and the Top 5 in September 2021. He won his first ATP Masters 1000 title at the 2023 Monte-Carlo by rallying from a set down in the semifinal and final. He also defeated top-ranked players like Nadal, Medvedev, and Sinner en route to ATP Masters 1000 finals and won the 2022 Belgrade against Djokovic. He has had a successful career with multiple titles, including five in 2020 and 23 consecutive wins and four titles at ATP 500 events from 2020-2021. He has also reached the quarterfinals of Grand Slam tournaments ten times and had notable performances at the Nitto ATP Finals and the 2020 Tokyo Olympics, where he won a gold medal in mixed doubles.
Nuno Borges, on the other hand, is 28 years old, ranked as World No. 39, with a career-high ranking of No. 30. In 2025, he has a record of 9-5 with a semifinal appearance in Auckland. Borges became the second Portuguese man to break into the Top 50 in PIF ATP Rankings history in 2024, reaching a career-high rank of No. 30. He achieved his first ATP Tour title at the 2024 Bastad, defeating Nadal in the final on clay. He also made history as the first Portuguese player to reach the fourth round of the Australian Open, defeating Dimitrov along the way. Borges has performed well in Challenger tournaments, reaching ten finals and winning titles in various locations. During his college career at Mississippi State University, he was a five-time All-American and had a notable 31-match win streak.
It is worth noting that Rublev is one of two former champions remaining in the draw, alongside Medvedev. He is aiming to make it to his 78th tour-level quarterfinal, which would be his third this season after Montpellier and Rotterdam. He has the opportunity this week to win the same ATP Tour event multiple times for the first time in his career.
As for Borges, he is celebrating his 28th birthday today and is seeking his biggest career win. He currently holds a record of 0-9 against top 10 players and aims to achieve his 50th career win. He is looking to advance to his fifth ATP Tour quarterfinal, with his previous two on hard courts at Los Cabos and Auckland.
In terms of Portuguese players, Borges ranks second in the Open Era win leaders behind Joao Sousa.
My Conclusion / Prediction:
My pick is that Rublev will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.
To find out who our model thinks will win for Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges, have a look at the prediction here:
Matchstat.com Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges prediction.